ARM Stock Skyrockets 11% on OpenAI AI Chip News — Is It a Buy?

Arm Stock Today (ARM): Q2 FY26 Beat and Upbeat Q3 Outlook Lift Shares — November 5, 2025

TL;DR

  • Arm beat expectations for fiscal Q2 FY26 and guided above consensus for Q3, citing AI-driven demand. Reuters
  • Shares closed near $160 and moved higher after hours following the release. MarketBeat
  • Management’s call is scheduled for 5:00 p.m. ET today; a shareholder letter and materials are posted. Arm Newsroom

Price Action (Nov. 5, 2025)

Arm (ARM) finished regular trading around $160.29 (-0.27%) and traded near $163–164 (+~2%) in early after-hours shortly after results crossed the wire (around 4:09 p.m. ET). Levels were volatile as headlines hit. MarketBeat


By the Numbers — Q2 FY26 Results (quarter ended Sept. 30)

  • Revenue:$1.14B, +34% y/y (consensus ~$1.06B).
  • Adj. EPS:$0.39 (consensus $0.33).
  • Royalty revenue:$620M, +21% y/y.
  • Licensing revenue:$515M, +56% y/y (timing of high‑value contracts).
    These figures came alongside commentary that AI compute demand—and power efficiency constraints—are tailwinds for Arm’s architecture (“the bottleneck is power,” CEO Rene Haas told Reuters). Reuters

Outlook — Q3 FY26 (current quarter)

  • Revenue guidance (midpoint): $1.23B, ahead of the ~$1.10B analyst average cited by LSEG. Shares initially spiked on the outlook before paring gains in extended trading. Reuters

What’s Driving the Story Today

  • AI everywhere: Management continues to point to AI workloads in data centers, along with momentum in smartphones and auto. After the report, Arm reiterated that growth spans its target markets. Reuters
  • Company disclosures worth noting: In its shareholder materials, Arm highlights steady adoption of Compute Subsystems (CSS) and says it signed three new CSS licenses in Q2, bringing the total to 19 across 11 companies (including plans for Samsung to leverage CSS for Exynos). Treat these as company claims until independently verified. Arm Newsroom

Key Chart & Comparative Context

  • The live chart above shows today’s session and the immediate after-hours reaction.
  • For high-level performance context, ARM shares are up roughly the high‑20%s year to date as of today’s trade. (Exact YTD figure varies intraday; MarketWatch’s dashboard showed ~28% YTD earlier today.) MarketWatch

What to Watch on Today’s Call (5:00 p.m. ET)

  • Royalty mix & Armv9 uplift: How much of the royalty growth is tied to newer Armv9‑based designs with higher rates? Reuters
  • Licensing cadence: Management said Q2 licensing strength reflected timing of large deals—does Q3 guide embed a normalization? Reuters
  • Data center traction: Any quantified updates on Arm’s share with top hyperscalers and new CSS wins (the company cites momentum in its materials). Arm Newsroom
  • Expense trajectory: With investment in platform and potential “finished chips”/CSS efforts, how should investors think about opex vs. revenue growth into FY26–FY27? (Background from prior disclosures.) Reuters
  • Call logistics: Audio webcast is scheduled for 5:00 p.m. ET (2:00 p.m. PT / 22:00 GMT) with materials on the investor site. Arm Newsroom

Quick News Roll‑Up — Nov. 5, 2025

  • Earnings headline: Arm beats on Q2, guides above Street for Q3; shares rise after hours. (Reuters) Reuters
  • After-hours snapshot:+~2% shortly after the print; closing price near $160.29. (MarketBeat) MarketBeat
  • Follow‑on coverage: Financial media noted the beat-and-raise setup with shares moving higher post‑close. (Barron’s live update) Barron’s
  • Company post: Arm published Q2 FY26 shareholder materials and confirmed today’s 5:00 p.m. ET call. Arm Newsroom

Why It Matters

Arm’s business model—up‑front licenses + per‑chip royalties—gives it broad exposure to AI’s spread from phones to data centers. Today’s results show royalty growth alongside outsized licensing in the quarter, and guidance implies continued demand into Q3. The near‑term debate: how durable is licensing strength, and how quickly do higher‑royalty designs (like Armv9) scale in data centers and flagship devices? Reuters


Source Notes

  • Core financials and guidance are from Reuters’ Nov. 5 coverage, which also cites LSEG consensus and includes a CEO interview. Reuters
  • After-hours pricing/close reference from MarketBeat’s real‑time dashboard shortly after the release. MarketBeat
  • Call time / company disclosures pulled from Arm’s newsroom posts published today. Arm Newsroom

Disclosure: This article is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. Prices and percentages refer to Nov. 5, 2025 and may have changed since publication.

Stock Market Today

  • OSG (TSE:6136) Valuation: DCF Fair Value ~¥3,096 Ahead of ¥2,498 Price as Momentum Builds
    January 11, 2026, 8:40 PM EST. OSG (TSE:6136) trades at ¥2,498 as momentum builds. The stock's 1-day and 7-day gains sit with a 1-year total return of 51.49%, signaling longer-term participation. The P/E is 14.3x, below the peer average (17x) but above the broader JP Machinery index at 13.3x. Relative to peers, the P/E looks cheaper, yet the model's SWS DCF fair value of ¥3,096.89 implies a ~19.3% gap to the current price, suggesting room for re-rating if earnings hold. Against the wider industry, the multiple is slightly elevated versus the model's implied fair P/E of 13.1x. Risks include exposure to cyclical end markets such as automotive and aerospace, plus the stock's premium to analyst targets. SWS notes the P/E as ABOUT RIGHT, framing the valuation as a potential gap to close.
Mega Metal Rally! Gold Rockets Past $4,000 as Silver Nears $52 on Debasement Fears
Previous Story

Silver Price Today, November 5, 2025 (5.11.2025): XAG/USD Reclaims $48 as Safe‑Haven Demand Returns; COMEX December Tests $48

Duolingo Stock Surges on AI Buzz – Latest Price, Bold Forecasts & Big Risks in 2025
Next Story

Duolingo (DUOL) Jumps After Q3 Beat, Raises 2025 Outlook — AI Tier, 50M DAUs in Focus | Stock Update for 5 November 2025

Go toTop