Broadcom’s $10B AI Chip Deal Ignites Stock Surge – What’s Powering This Tech Giant’s Boom
9 November 2025
3 mins read

AVGO Stock: What to Know Before the Bell on November 10, 2025

Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO) closed around $349.43 on Friday, November 7. Here’s your concise, fact-checked pre‑market briefing for Monday, November 10, 2025.

Key takeaways

  • Jefferies’ fresh call: AVGO is Jefferies’ new Top Pick, with analysts highlighting a powerful inflection in custom AI chips (ASICs) and lifting their price target to $480. Expect this to frame sentiment into the open. 1
  • OpenAI partnership confirmed: OpenAI and Broadcom announced a multi‑year collaboration to develop and deploy 10 gigawatts of custom AI accelerators starting in the second half of 2026—one of the clearest signs of Broadcom’s long‑run AI pipeline. 2
  • AI order book and outlook: Broadcom recently disclosed more than $10 billion of AI infrastructure orders from a new customer and guided Q4 FY25 revenue to about $17.4 billion, with AI semiconductor sales expected to reach $6.2 billion in the quarter. 3
  • Calendar watch: Broadcom is expected to report fiscal Q4 and full‑year results around December 11, 2025 (after the close); traders will be looking for updates on AI, VMware software, buybacks and the dividend. 4
  • Macro backdrop: U.S. stock markets are open Monday and Tuesday, but the bond market is closed Tuesday (Veterans Day)—a nuance that can affect liquidity and settlement flows. 5

What could move AVGO today

1) Analyst momentum and AI narrative
Jefferies’ upgrade to Top Pick status underscores a growing Street view that Broadcom’s ASIC programs with hyperscalers (and the broader shift to Ethernet‑based AI networks) provide more room for estimate upside than many peers. Expect any follow‑through commentary or media pickups to keep AVGO on traders’ short lists at the open. 1

2) OpenAI–Broadcom build‑out
OpenAI and Broadcom’s 10‑GW accelerator plan, running through 2029, is now an on‑the‑record, multi‑year demand signal. While financial terms weren’t disclosed, the scale and timeline align with Broadcom’s strategy to be the go‑to partner for custom AI accelerators and Ethernet‑based AI fabrics. Any fresh color on timelines, power infrastructure or Ethernet vs. InfiniBand adoption can sway AI‑hardware sentiment—and with it, AVGO. 2

3) Order visibility since September
After Q3 FY25, Broadcom told investors that AI revenue was up 63% year over year to $5.2B, and management guided Q4 revenue to ~$17.4B while flagging sequential softness in some non‑AI semis. The separate disclosure of $10B in AI orders from a new customer sparked a sharp, post‑earnings rally. Any incremental chatter about that customer, ramps or 2026 capacity can influence pre‑market positioning. 6

4) Macro and policy risk (China watch)
Reuters reported last week that China is banning foreign AI chips in state‑funded data centers, another sign of tightening tech policy that could reshape where and how AI infrastructure gets built. While Broadcom’s AI strategy is heavily tied to U.S. and global hyperscalers, traders will keep an eye on any read‑through to networking shipments and software sales in China‑exposed lines. 7


Fundamentals snapshot (latest public markers)

  • Q3 FY25 results (reported Sept. 4): Revenue $15.95B (+22% y/y). AI semi revenue $5.2B (+63% y/y). Management guided Q4 revenue to ~$17.4B and indicated AI semi revenue could reach $6.2B in Q4. 6
  • $10B AI order disclosed (Sept. 5): Shares jumped on news of a blockbuster order from a new customer, reinforcing the custom‑AI thesis. 3
  • Networking roadmap: Broadcom’s Tomahawk 6 (102.4 Tbps) and related Ethernet solutions target cluster‑scale AI networking; product updates tied to OCP and recent launches keep the “Ethernet‑for‑AI” theme front and center. 8

Corporate actions, dividend & split

  • Dividend: Broadcom paid a quarterly dividend of $0.59 per share on Sept. 30, 2025 (ex‑date Sept. 22). Investors will watch December’s earnings for any update to the fiscal‑2026 rate. 9
  • Buybacks: The board authorized a $10 billion share repurchase program in April 2025, running through year‑end 2025—another lever supporting EPS and downside protection on pullbacks. 10
  • Stock split (for reference): AVGO completed a 10‑for‑1 split with split‑adjusted trading beginning July 15, 2024—use split‑adjusted levels when comparing historical charts and options strikes. 11

Software (VMware) integration—what still matters

Broadcom continues to emphasize profitability and focus in infrastructure software. Notably, it divested VMware’s End‑User Computing (EUC) business to KKR (now Omnissa) in 2024, narrowing the software portfolio while retaining core infrastructure assets that tie into AI data center demand. Expect investors to look for cross‑sell and margin commentary next month. 12


Trading setup for Monday

  • Tape context: AVGO ended the week near $349; the stock tends to be sensitive to AI‑cycle headlines, hyperscaler capex signals and analyst estimate revisions. Watch early desk notes referencing the Jefferies call and any weekend follow‑ups on OpenAI’s chip program. 1
  • Liquidity note: With the U.S. bond market closed Tuesday (Nov. 11) for Veterans Day, some dealers may position for lighter cross‑asset liquidity early in the week even as U.S. equities trade on normal hours. 5

Bottom line

Into the Nov. 10 open, AVGO’s story is still about scale and specificity in AI: a visible, multi‑year accelerator collaboration with OpenAI; a deepening Ethernet‑for‑AI networking franchise; and an order book that keeps growing. Pair that with an expected mid‑December print and ongoing capital returns (dividend plus buybacks), and the near‑term focus will be how much of 2026–2027 AI upside is already in the stock—and how quickly new customer ramps show up in revenue. 2


Data and news are current as of Sunday, Nov. 9, 2025. This article is for information only and not investment advice.

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