Conduent Stock Plunges 24% After Q3 Miss and Revenue Guidance Cut—Analysts Still See Upside (Nov. 10, 2025)

10 November 2025

Conduent (CNDT) shares are in focus after a brutal post‑earnings slide. Coverage today highlights a roughly 24–25% drop tied to a weaker‑than‑expected Q3 and a cut to full‑year 2025 revenue guidance, deepening investor concerns about the turnaround. ^[1]

Key takeaways at a glance

Q3 2025 headline numbers: Revenue $767M (‑5% YoY), adjusted EBITDA $40M with a 5.2% margin, and GAAP net loss of $46M (pre‑tax loss $38M). Conduent also reported adjusted free cash flow of ‑$54M and new signings ACV of $111M. ^[2]
Guidance reset: Management now sees FY 2025 adjusted revenue of $3.05B–$3.10B and adjusted EBITDA margin of 5.0%–5.5%—a cautious outlook that underpins the sell‑off. ^[3]
Why the stock is down ~24–25%: The miss on Q3 revenue and EPS, plus the softer top‑line outlook, triggered heavy selling pressure, as widely noted in today’s coverage. ^[4]
Analyst angle: Despite the stumble, some coverage emphasizes consensus “buy” stances and a 12‑month price target around $7—well above the stock’s recent lows—citing balance‑sheet progress and public‑sector traction. ^[5]

What happened: Q3 in detail

Conduent’s third‑quarter 2025 print fell short of Street expectations and showed continued year‑over‑year revenue pressure:

Revenue: $767M (‑5% YoY); adjusted revenue: $767M (‑1.8% YoY).
Profitability:Adjusted EBITDA: $40M (up YoY), margin: 5.2%; GAAP net loss: $46M; pre‑tax loss: $38M.
Cash & capital:Cash balance: $264M; undrawn credit capacity: $198M; share repurchases: ~4.7M shares during the quarter.
Sales metrics:New business signings ACV: $111M; TTM net ARR activity: $25M.

These figures come directly from the company’s Q3 release. ^[6]

Why the guidance cut matters

Management’s FY 2025 outlook now points to $3.05B–$3.10B in adjusted revenue and 5.0%–5.5% adjusted EBITDA margins—signaling a slower growth trajectory and tight profitability. That reset is a key driver behind the sell‑off highlighted in today’s coverage. ^[7]

Strategy signals: AI push, refinancing, and government momentum

Amid the disappointing quarter, Conduent underscored several initiatives:

AI rollouts across document processing, customer experience, and fraud prevention, including GenAI additions to government solutions.
Transportation pipeline momentum, including a Pay‑by‑Plate tolling contract in Richmond.
Balance‑sheet work:Refinancing completed and credit facility renewed, which the company says bolsters liquidity.

These operational notes appeared alongside the earnings release and related updates. ^[8]

Market reaction & today’s media coverage

Stock move: Reporting today frames the drop at about 24–25% following Q3 and the guidance cut. ^[9]
Street read: Finimize notes that, despite the miss, analysts remain optimistic, with consensus price targets materially above current levels (cited around $7). Rationale: cleaner balance sheet post‑refi and steadier public‑sector revenue. ^[10]
Additional context: A separate note from late October shows S&P cut Conduent’s rating to ‘B’, reflecting leverage and cash‑flow concerns—part of the broader risk picture investors are weighing. ^[11]

By the numbers

Revenue (Q3 2025): $767M
Adjusted EBITDA / margin: $40M / 5.2%
GAAP net loss: $46M
Adjusted FCF: ‑$54M
Cash / undrawn revolver: $264M / $198M
New signings ACV: $111M
FY25 adjusted revenue guide: $3.05B–$3.10B
FY25 adj. EBITDA‑margin guide: 5.0%–5.5%
All from the company’s Q3 materials. ^[12]

What to watch next

Execution vs. guidance: Can Conduent stabilize revenue and expand margins toward the 5%+ target range in 2025? ^[13]
Public sector & transportation wins: Follow‑through on government programs and tolling opportunities is key to offsetting commercial softness. ^[14]
Balance‑sheet discipline: The refinancing helps liquidity, but rating pressure (S&P ‘B’) keeps the spotlight on free cash flow and leverage. ^[15]
Analyst stance and targets: Will the consensus “buy” and $7 target hold if near‑term results stay choppy? ^[16]

FAQ

Why is Conduent stock down today?
Coverage today ties the slide to Q3 misses and a cut in 2025 revenue guidance, which undercut near‑term growth expectations. ^[17]

What did Conduent report for Q3 2025?
Revenue $767M, adjusted EBITDA $40M (5.2% margin), GAAP net loss $46M, adjusted free cash flow ‑$54M, and new signings ACV $111M. ^[18]

What is Conduent’s 2025 outlook?
Adjusted revenue $3.05B–$3.10B with 5.0%–5.5% adjusted EBITDA margins. ^[19]

Are analysts still positive?
A roundup published this week points to broad “buy” ratings and a consensus price target near $7, despite the Q3 disappointment. ^[20]

Sources cited

Company Q3 press release and highlights (Nov. 7, 2025). ^[21]
Channelchek posting of the company’s detailed Q3 table. ^[22]
Yahoo Finance: “Why Conduent (CNDT) Is Down ~24.6%…” (Nov. 10, 2025). ^[23]
Finimize: “Conduent’s Earnings Fall Short But Analyst Optimism Stays High” (3 days ago). ^[24]
S&P Ratings notice (Oct. 10, 2025). ^[25]

Editor’s note: This article is intended for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

Conduent Stock Analysis CNDT Stock Result Company Info

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Mateusz Kaczmarek Latest posts

A technology and finance expert writing for TS2.tech. He analyzes developments in satellites, telecommunications, and artificial intelligence, with a focus on their impact on global markets. Author of industry reports and market commentary, often cited in tech and business media. Passionate about innovation and the digital economy.

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