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Intel Corporation stock price drops 4.5% into the weekend — what could move INTC next
31 January 2026
2 mins read

Intel Corporation stock price drops 4.5% into the weekend — what could move INTC next

New York, Jan 31, 2026, 15:36 ET — Market closed.

  • Intel shares dropped Friday following a turbulent week marked by earnings and guidance swings.
  • Traders enter Monday focused on rates, chip sector sentiment, and potential insights from big-tech earnings.

Intel (INTC.O) shares dropped 4.5% on Friday to close at $46.47, wrapping up a turbulent week for the chipmaker’s stock. During the session, the shares fluctuated between $45.96 and $49.58, and saw minimal movement after hours. Investing.com

This shift is crucial as Intel Corporation aims to convert AI-driven demand into actual chip shipments, while expanding its contract chipmaking—or “foundry”—operations. Investors have reacted sharply whenever supply, rather than demand, appears to be the bottleneck.

The timing is tricky for tech. Next week brings a packed slate of earnings and U.S. economic reports that could shift rate expectations once more, putting pressure on chip stocks with high valuations right away.

U.S. stocks closed down Friday following President Donald Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh to replace Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve chair. Investors also weighed earnings reports and inflation figures. “Markets are calibrating to Trump’s pick of Kevin Warsh … and the outlook for monetary policy,” noted Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Wealth. Reuters

The Producer Price Index, measuring prices businesses receive, climbed 0.5% in December, surpassing the 0.2% gain expected in a Reuters poll, the Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics reported. “This report validates the pivot of the Fed away from labor market risks back toward price stability,” said Carl Weinberg of High Frequency Economics. Reuters

Regulatory news provided another, quieter push. On Friday, The Vanguard Group disclosed ownership of 404.5 million Intel shares, representing 8.11% of the company as of Dec. 31. Their amended Schedule 13G — the SEC filing passive investors use to report stakes over 5% — also noted an internal reshuffle at Vanguard in January. Intel

Intel flagged last week that demand for its server CPUs designed to work with Nvidia’s AI chips is outpacing supply. The company projected first-quarter revenue between $11.7 billion and $12.7 billion, missing analysts’ $12.51 billion consensus from LSEG. CFO David Zinsner noted cloud clients were “a little bit caught off guard,” while Michael Schulman of Running Point Capital Advisors said the recovery is “supply-constrained rather than demand-constrained.” Meanwhile, Intel continues to lose PC market share to rivals Advanced Micro Devices and Arm Holdings. Reuters

Intel reported a 4% drop in fourth-quarter revenue from last year, hitting $13.7 billion. The company’s non-GAAP earnings per share came in at 15 cents. CFO David Zinsner noted, “We expect our available supply to be at its lowest level in Q1 before improving in Q2 and beyond.” Intel

The next hurdle is external. Earnings from megacaps like Alphabet and Amazon, along with chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices, are set to drop in the coming days. Then, the U.S. January jobs report arrives on Feb. 6. “The onus is going to be on them to deliver,” said Jim Baird, chief investment officer at Plante Moran Financial Advisors. Reuters

But Intel can’t afford another misstep. If supply issues stretch into the March quarter or if new production ramps hit gross margins harder than anticipated, investors may zero in again on market-share declines and the hefty cash burn from the turnaround.

Traders head into Monday focused on rates, chip sentiment, and any new signals from peers and customers. The next key event is the Feb. 6 jobs report, while Intel’s capacity to boost supply in the second quarter remains the main company-specific issue.

Stock Market Today

  • US March Jobs Report Preview and Middle East Conflict Impact on Hiring
    April 3, 2026, 8:19 AM EDT. The U.S. March jobs report, due Friday at 8:30 a.m. ET, is expected to show a 60,000 job gain and steady 4.4% unemployment rate, indicating a potential normalization after unpredictable months. Economists note that February's 92,000 job loss was influenced by strikes and weather, and March may reflect return-to-work effects from striking workers. The ongoing Middle East conflict, though under six weeks old, has yet to meaningfully influence employment but introduces uncertainty. Supply disruptions and higher costs raise concerns about possible delayed hiring freezes rather than immediate layoffs. Report surveys ended mid-month, so broader economic fallout from the war could impact future labor data rather than March's figures.
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