KLA stock tumbles on cautious outlook: what to watch before Monday’s open

KLA stock tumbles on cautious outlook: what to watch before Monday’s open

New York, Jan 31, 2026, 18:14 EST — The market has closed for the day.

  • KLA shares tumbled 15.2% on Friday following the chip-tool maker’s quarterly report and outlook.
  • Although results surpassed estimates, investors zeroed in on the cautious wording about 2026 tool spending.
  • Next week’s chip-equipment earnings could shift the outlook for the sector.

KLA Corp shares tumbled 15.2% to close at $1,427.94 on Friday, wiping out gains made ahead of the earnings report.

The company topped Wall Street estimates for fiscal second-quarter revenue and profit, but its outlook was less clear-cut. “The problem is that the stock had already sprinted into the print,” said Michael Ashley Schulman, chief investment officer at Running Point Capital Advisors. He noted that KLA’s March-quarter forecast suggested more “steady growth” than “renewed acceleration.” (Reuters)

KLA reported $3.30 billion in revenue for the quarter ending Dec. 31, with adjusted earnings of $8.85 per share. The company forecasted March-quarter revenue at $3.35 billion, plus or minus $150 million, and adjusted profit of $9.08 per share, with a margin of 78 cents. CEO Rick Wallace dubbed it a “record quarter” and noted KLA returned $797.4 million to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. (KLA Corporation)

The flash point is wafer fab equipment, or WFE — chipmakers’ spending on production tools. Jefferies raised its price target on KLA to $1,850 from $1,500 but noted KLA’s 2026 WFE growth forecast is more cautious than Lam Research’s. Traders quickly picked up on that gap after the earnings release. (Investing)

KLA matters now because it plays a key role on the “picks and shovels” side of the AI buildout. When forward spending assumptions falter, the whole chip-equipment sector usually reprices quickly.

Investors remain focused on China exposure and evolving trade regulations. In recent years, U.S. export controls have tightened, expanding restrictions on advanced semiconductor manufacturing equipment and related goods bound for China. These policy shifts can alter demand and shipment flows from one quarter to the next. (Bureau of Industry and Security)

KLA filed a batch of reports tied to its earnings, including a current report and the quarterly filing. Investors often dive into these documents next, searching for shifts in customer concentration, inventory levels, or risk disclosures following a major stock move. (KLA Corporation)

There’s a more straightforward risk at play: guidance is only guidance. If customers delay deliveries or shift their spending away from the segments where KLA’s tools excel, Friday’s selloff may not be the final chapter.

Traders will zero in on peer signals in the week ahead. Applied Materials is set to release fiscal first-quarter results on Feb. 12. This report could steer forecasts for 2026 tool demand across the industry. (Appliedmaterials)

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