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Amazon (AMZN) Stock Skyrockets: Q3 Beats, Cloud Boom & $2.5B FTC Win

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  • Stock Snapshot (Oct 30, 2025): AMZN shares are around $227, down about 1.1% intraday [1]. The stock has traded in a $223–228 range today and sits near its 50-day moving average after a recent rally. Year-to-date AMZN is modestly up (~4%), lagging some tech peers. Market participants note that broader tech is volatile: Nvidia hit a $5 trillion market cap amid an AI-led rally [2], while Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments after a 25 bps rate cut dampened hopes for further easing [3]. Under these mixed conditions, Amazon heads into earnings on Oct. 30 as investors look for cues on cloud growth and profitability.
  • Q3 Earnings Expectations: Amazon reports Q3 2025 results (July–Sept) after the close on Oct. 30. The company had guided net sales of $174–179.5 billion (10–13% YoY growth) [4], and Wall Street consensus was roughly $177–178 billion in revenue with $1.57 EPS [5]. Key questions are whether AWS (cloud) growth will re-accelerate and how AI investments affect margins. Last year’s Q3 saw improved margins despite cautious consumers [6]; investors will watch if that continues. (Analyst benchmarks are high – for example, Benchmark’s Daniel Kurnos is forecasting ~20% AWS growth and says a strong cloud beat could “give AMZN stock a boost” [7].)
  • AWS & AI Growth: Amazon Web Services remains the crown jewel. In Q2 AWS revenue was $30.9 billion (up ~17.5% YoY) [8], and Q3 consensus sees roughly 18–20% cloud growth. AWS is being leveraged heavily for AI: Amazon in September announced new Alexa+ AI devices and big investments like a $4 billion stake in AI startup Anthropic [9]. CEO Andy Jassy has emphasized this bet, saying Amazon will “continue to invest more capital in chips, data centers, and power to pursue this unusually large opportunity that we have in generative AI” [10]. Such spending is a long-term play on AI infrastructure, but it could pressure near-term profit. Analysts note that accelerating AWS growth (above already-strong levels) would be a major positive.
  • Advertising & Media: Amazon’s advertising business is also a high-growth engine. In Q2 ad sales grew roughly 23% YoY [11], and continue to account for roughly 10–15% of total sales. Demand for digital ads has been strong (boosted by election spending last year [12]), and Amazon’s ad slots (on its website, video, etc.) are highly sought by brands. Wall Street expects ad revenue to keep pace. As one Bank of America analyst notes, “healthy retail sales” and strength in “online advertising” both point to upside in earnings [13]. In short, ads are an increasingly important profit contributor, with growth rates often much higher than overall retail.
  • Retail Sales & Logistics: Amazon’s core e-commerce business is stabilizing. It kicked off the holiday season with a second “Prime Big Deal Days” sale Oct. 7–8, which reportedly drew solid demand [14]. Online store sales grew about 11% in Q2 [15]. Amazon is preparing for peak season by hiring roughly 250,000 U.S. seasonal workers (same as last year) for warehouses and delivery [16]. These steps support the company’s fast-shipping promise. At the same time, Amazon is cutting costs: on Oct. 28 it announced plans to trim its white-collar workforce by about 14,000 roles as AI adoption increases [17]. (This is part of a wider plan – Reuters reports it may cut up to 30,000 roles over 2025–26 to compensate for pandemic over-hiring and limit costs entering holiday season [18].) Amazon still faces competition from discount rivals like Shein and Temu [19], and pressure from tariffs, but improved fulfillment efficiency and demand for Prime shipping have helped margins [20].
  • Expert & Analyst Commentary: Analysts are generally bullish on AMZN. JPMorgan maintains an “overweight” rating with a $265 price target, though it warns about Amazon’s AI positioning relative to rivals [21]. Bank of America is “upbeat”, noting strong retail and ad trends and forecasting upside to operating income [22]. Benchmark’s Kurnos (mentioned above) is optimistic on AWS. At the same time, Motley Fool analyst Jennifer Saibil argues that the current valuation is reasonable: “At its recent price, Amazon trades at 29 times forward one-year earnings… For a business with double-digit revenue growth [and] fast-growing high-margin segments (AWS and ads), this isn’t a bad price to pay,” she wrote [23]. Nearly all analysts rate AMZN a Buy: the average 12‑month consensus target is around $268 (roughly 18% above today’s price) [24], with top targets ranging into the high $260s (and a few into the $270–$280s) [25].
  • Outlook & Forecasts: Looking ahead, Wall Street expects Amazon’s growth to accelerate. The consensus for full-year 2025 EPS is about $7.60 (versus $2.90 in 2023) [26], reflecting a bounce from 2024 lows. Revenue is projected to grow ~15–20% annually over the next few years [27], assuming cloud and ads continue to gain traction. If those bets pay off, some commentators even speculate Amazon’s market cap could approach $3 trillion in the coming years [28]. Technically, traders note that a sustained break above ~$242 (the Feb 2025 high) could propel shares toward ~$270 [29]. However, Amazon still trades at about 33–34× forward earnings (higher than the S&P 500 average) [30], so most investors expect solid execution before justifying higher prices. In summary, after easing earlier in October Amazon appears to have rebounded: with earnings and holiday guidance on deck, many see the current levels as a buying opportunity if AWS and profitability trends hold up [31] [32].

Sources: Contemporary news and analysis, including Reuters [33] [34] [35] [36], company guidance and press releases, as well as reports from CNBC, Bloomberg, MarketWatch, MarketBeat, and tech analysis (e.g. TS2.tech) [37] [38] [39] [40], among others. All quotes and data points are drawn from the cited sources.

Jim Cramer: 'I like that Amazon’s never done trying to make you money'
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References

1. www.reuters.com, 2. www.reuters.com, 3. www.reuters.com, 4. ts2.tech, 5. ts2.tech, 6. www.reuters.com, 7. ts2.tech, 8. ts2.tech, 9. ts2.tech, 10. ts2.tech, 11. ts2.tech, 12. www.reuters.com, 13. www.businessinsider.com, 14. ts2.tech, 15. ts2.tech, 16. ts2.tech, 17. www.reuters.com, 18. www.reuters.com, 19. www.reuters.com, 20. www.reuters.com, 21. www.businessinsider.com, 22. www.businessinsider.com, 23. ts2.tech, 24. ts2.tech, 25. ts2.tech, 26. ts2.tech, 27. ts2.tech, 28. ts2.tech, 29. ts2.tech, 30. ts2.tech, 31. ts2.tech, 32. www.reuters.com, 33. www.reuters.com, 34. www.reuters.com, 35. www.reuters.com, 36. www.reuters.com, 37. ts2.tech, 38. www.ftc.gov, 39. www.businessinsider.com, 40. ts2.tech

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Marcin Frąckiewicz Latest posts

CEO of TS2 Space and founder of TS2.tech. Expert in satellites, telecommunications, and emerging technologies, covering trends in space, AI, and connectivity.

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