Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMD) shares traded sharply lower today after a blowout Q3 and upbeat Q4 outlook earlier this week put a spotlight on what comes next for the chipmaker’s AI roadmap. The pullback comes as Wall Street reassesses richly valued tech names and turns its attention to AMD’s Financial Analyst Day on Tuesday, Nov. 11, where management is expected to detail long‑term product plans and growth targets. [1]
At a glance
- Today’s move: AMD shares fell intraday amid a broader tech sell‑off; investors are rotating ahead of next week’s Analyst Day. [2]
- Fresh commentary: New analyst wrap‑ups today highlighted the strong Q3 print and framed Analyst Day as the next catalyst. [3]
- The numbers that matter: Q3 revenue $9.25B (+36% Y/Y) and non‑GAAP EPS $1.20, both above estimates; Q4 revenue guided to about $9.6B (±$300M). Data‑center sales rose 22% to $4.3B; client revenue hit a record $2.8B (+46%). [4]
- China watch: AMD says Q3 did not include any revenue from MI308 shipments to China; the company has licenses for modified MI300‑series chips but hasn’t begun sales. [5]
What’s new today (Nov. 6)
Analyst chatter turns to Nov. 11. Fresh notes and summaries today reiterated that AMD’s next major catalyst is its Financial Analyst Day in New York, where investors expect updated AI goals and product roadmaps. TipRanks and MarketWatch coverage framed Cowen/Melius and other voices as looking for longer‑term AI revenue visibility and share gains versus Nvidia. [6]
Macro pressure weighs on semis. The broader U.S. market was under pressure Thursday as another tech‑led sell‑off hit major indexes, amplifying moves in high‑beta AI names like AMD. [7]
Earnings recap: AMD’s AI and PC engines are firing
AMD’s Q3 2025 results (reported Nov. 4) topped expectations and showcased momentum across data center and PC:
- Revenue: $9.25B vs. $8.74B consensus; non‑GAAP EPS: $1.20 vs. $1.16 consensus.
- Segment highlights: Data center revenue $4.3B (+22% Y/Y); client revenue $2.8B (+46% Y/Y); gaming and client combined $4.0B (+73% Y/Y); embedded $857M (‑8% Y/Y).
- Q4 outlook: About $9.6B (±$300M), above Street. [8]
On the call and in its release, AMD underscored that Q3 excluded revenue from MI308 shipments to China. Management also reiterated the scaling of Instinct accelerators and EPYC CPUs, with non‑GAAP gross margin at 54%. [9]
“We delivered an outstanding quarter, with record revenue and profitability as our compute franchise and rapidly scaling data center AI business drive growth.” — Dr. Lisa Su, AMD chair & CEO. [10]
OpenAI partnership remains a key backdrop. Last month, AMD announced a multi‑year AI chip deal with OpenAI—including an option for OpenAI to acquire up to 10% of AMD via warrants tied to milestones—which management has characterized as a potential tens‑of‑billions revenue opportunity over time. [11]
What to watch at Financial Analyst Day (Nov. 11)
AMD’s Investor Relations calendar confirms the event on Nov. 11 at 1:00 p.m. ET. Expect strategy, long‑term financial targets, and multi‑year product roadmaps. Coverage ahead of the event points to updates across Zen 6 CPUs, RDNA/client GPUs, CDNA/Instinct accelerators (e.g., MI450/MI500 trajectory), and the Helios rack‑scale AI system. [12]
- Helios rack‑scale system: Positioned as a 2026 challenge to Nvidia’s full‑stack AI infrastructure. [13]
- AI accelerator cadence: AMD’s Q3 materials highlighted expanding Instinct deployments and partners; watch for performance, supply, and software (ROCm) updates. [14]
China & export‑control context (why it matters now)
- Licensing status: AMD said it has licenses to sell modified MI300‑series chips in China but has not begun those sales—so they’re not reflected in Q3 or guidance. [15]
- Policy backdrop: Over the summer, multiple outlets reported an unusual U.S. revenue‑sharing arrangement (15% on certain AI chip sales) linked to export licenses for Nvidia’s H20 and AMD’s MI308; lawmakers scrutinized the policy. This framework—if sustained—could affect AMD’s future China revenue mix and margins. [16]
Rumor watch (Nov. 6)
Unconfirmed X3D desktop CPU leaks appeared today (e.g., Ryzen 5 7500X3D, Ryzen 7 9700X3D), hinting at mid‑range gaming additions to the AM5 platform. AMD has not announced these products; treat as speculation until official. [17]
The bottom line
Today’s sell‑off looks more positioning and macro than a reversal of AMD’s fundamental momentum. The company just printed record results, guided above consensus, and is leaning into full‑stack AI with Instinct GPUs, EPYC CPUs, and the Helios platform—plus an OpenAI deal that could reshape its long‑term AI revenue base. The next checkpoint is Nov. 11, when AMD is expected to connect the dots from product roadmaps to multi‑year financial targets. [18]
Sources & further reading
- AMD Q3 2025 press release & tables (earnings, segment detail, MI308 note). [19]
- Reuters (Nov. 4–6): Q4 outlook above estimates; market sell‑off context; China license status. [20]
- MarketWatch / TipRanks (Nov. 6): Analyst Day expectations and post‑earnings takeaways. [21]
- AMD IR Calendar:Financial Analyst Day — Nov. 11, 2025. [22]
- Export‑control reporting: Reuters/AP and congressional letter on revenue‑sharing framework. [23]
- Helios & next‑gen Instinct coverage: The Register; AMD PR highlights. [24]
This article is for informational purposes and not investment advice.
References
1. www.reuters.com, 2. www.reuters.com, 3. www.tipranks.com, 4. www.reuters.com, 5. ir.amd.com, 6. www.tipranks.com, 7. www.reuters.com, 8. www.reuters.com, 9. ir.amd.com, 10. ir.amd.com, 11. www.reuters.com, 12. ir.amd.com, 13. www.theregister.com, 14. ir.amd.com, 15. www.reuters.com, 16. www.reuters.com, 17. www.tomshardware.com, 18. www.reuters.com, 19. ir.amd.com, 20. www.reuters.com, 21. www.marketwatch.com, 22. ir.amd.com, 23. www.reuters.com, 24. www.theregister.com
