AppLovin Corporation (NASDAQ: APP) is back in rally mode today. As of late Wednesday trading on November 26, 2025, the AI‑driven advertising technology stock is trading around $587 per share, up roughly 5–6% on the day from Tuesday’s close near $556. Volume is elevated at roughly 2.7–2.8 million shares, with the stock moving between about $563 and $590 during the session. [1]
The surge comes against a backdrop of:
- Fresh intraday coverage highlighting AppLovin as one of today’s top gainers in liquid option names [2]
- A same‑day institutional‑ownership update showing Manchester Capital Management trimming its stake and continued heavy insider selling [3]
- Ongoing focus on the SEC investigation into AppLovin’s data‑collection practices, which remains a key overhang on the story [4]
Below is a full rundown of today’s AppLovin stock news (26.11.2025) and how it fits into the broader bull–bear debate around this high‑growth, high‑volatility AI advertising play.
AppLovin stock price today: a sharp rebound from last week’s slide
According to intraday and historical quote data, AppLovin shares are:
- Trading around $587–588 this afternoon, up about 5.6% versus yesterday’s close of $556.03 [5]
- Moving in a day range of roughly $563.5 to $590.5 [6]
- Up about 80% year to date, handily outpacing the S&P 500 [7]
- Sitting roughly 21% below its 52‑week (and all‑time) high near $745.61, set on September 29, 2025, and well above its 52‑week low of $200.50 in April [8]
At a share price in the high‑$580s, AppLovin’s market capitalisation is hovering around $188–189 billion, putting it among the world’s 100 most valuable public companies. [9]
Valuation remains rich even after the recent pullback from September’s peak:
- Trailing P/E in the high 60s to low 70s [10]
- Price‑to‑sales ratio around 30x [11]
- Beta above 2.5, underlining how volatile APP tends to be relative to the broader market [12]
In other words, today’s move is significant, but it’s happening within an already high‑octane, richly valued story.
Same‑day news #1: GuruFocus flags APP as a top intraday gainer with “exceptional” profitability
This morning, GuruFocus published a note titled “AppLovin (APP) Stock Surges With Notable Gains”, calling out APP as one of the top performers among liquid option names after the stock jumped about $25 to $581.35 early in the session. [13]
Key points from that report:
- Business model: GuruFocus highlights AppLovin’s position as a vertically integrated ad‑tech platform, operating both a demand‑side platform (AppDiscovery) and a supply‑side platform (MAX). Around 80% of revenue comes from the DSP side, with the rest from the SSP. [14]
- AI engine: The article underscores AXON 2, AppLovin’s AI‑powered ad optimizer, as “pivotal for future growth,” enabling advertisers to bid based on specific return thresholds. [15]
- Profitability metrics:
- Operating margin ~52%
- Net margin ~43%
- Three‑year revenue CAGR ~18%
- Return on equity approaching 270% [16]
- Balance sheet quality: A current ratio of 3.25 and debt‑to‑equity ratio of ~2.38 indicate strong liquidity but a leveraged capital structure. [17]
- Risk & valuation:
- Piotroski F‑Score of 9 and Altman Z‑Score above 26, suggesting low financial‑distress risk
- At the same time, a P/E above 70 and P/S near 30 mark APP as a premium‑priced growth stock [18]
- Insider activity: GuruFocus notes 10 insider selling transactions in the last three months totaling ~288,000 shares, reinforcing the narrative that management and directors have been taking some chips off the table into strength. [19]
Overall, the GuruFocus piece frames today’s jump as momentum rooted in strong fundamentals and profitability, but layered over elevated valuation and intense volatility.
Same‑day news #2: AInvest focuses on 5.55% surge, AI Axon growth – and SEC overhang
Fintech news outlet AInvest published a detailed intraday analysis, “AppLovin Soars 5.55% Amid Regulatory Clouds and AI‑Driven Momentum: What’s Fueling This Surge?”, time‑stamped late Wednesday morning. [20]
Key takeaways from that article:
- Price action: AInvest pegs AppLovin’s move as a 5.55% intraday rally to roughly $586.9, with an intraday high just above $587. [21]
- Dual narrative: The report frames the move as driven by a “dual narrative”:
- Explosive AI‑driven ad‑tech growth centered on the Axon platform, which AInvest says now accounts for a large share of AppLovin’s ad revenue
- Persistent regulatory overhang from the SEC probe into AppLovin’s data‑collection practices [22]
- Earnings context: AInvest reiterates that AppLovin’s Q3 2025 results showed:
- Revenue around $1.41 billion, up 68% year over year
- A nearly 90% jump in adjusted EBITDA following strong performance of AXON and the software platform [23]
- Technical snapshot:
- 200‑day moving average near $425, well below the current price
- RSI around 36, suggesting the stock was approaching oversold territory before today’s bounce
- Short‑term resistance flagged around $622, with support near today’s intraday low in the mid‑$560s [24]
- Back‑test on big up‑days: AInvest also includes a quantitative back‑test, examining 77 prior days since 2022 when APP jumped 6% or more in a session. Historically, those spikes:
- Often mean‑revert in the 1–10 day window, showing mild negative excess returns
- Turn modestly positive over 30 trading days, but still underperform the market by about 4–5 percentage points on average [25]
The message from AInvest is essentially: today’s rally fits a familiar pattern for AppLovin – violent upside moves after selloffs – and short‑term traders should be cautious about chasing a big green day while the SEC investigation remains unresolved. [26]
Same‑day news #3: MarketBeat highlights institutional trim, insider selling & a wall of “buy” ratings
A fresh MarketBeat article, “AppLovin Corporation $APP Shares Sold by Manchester Capital Management LLC,” also hit today and digs into regulatory filings and analyst sentiment. [27]
Manchester Capital trims stake – but institutions remain deeply involved
- Manchester Capital Management LLC reduced its APP holdings by 19% in Q2, selling 476 shares and ending the quarter with 2,027 shares worth about $710,000. [28]
- Several other small institutions – including Hilltop National Bank, LFA Lugano Financial Advisors, Hoey Investments, Trust Co. of Vermont, and ORG Partners – recently opened or increased positions, albeit in modest size. [29]
- In total, institutional investors and hedge funds own around 42% of AppLovin’s float, while insiders control roughly 13–14% of the company. [30]
Insider selling intensifies into the rally
MarketBeat also details recent insider activity:
- Director Craig Scott Billings sold 2,350 shares at an average price around $593, cutting his stake by nearly 39% but still holding about 3,700 shares. [31]
- CEO Arash Adam Foroughi sold 30,888 shares at roughly $520, a 1.2% reduction in his huge position, and still owns more than 2.5 million shares (over $1.3 billion at current prices). [32]
- Across the last quarter, insiders have sold about 288,000 APP shares worth roughly $169 million, according to MarketBeat’s tally. [33]
For investors watching governance and incentives, today’s MarketBeat piece reinforces a simple reality: management is still heavily invested but is actively taking profits after a remarkable run‑up.
Analysts keep raising the bar
The same article and linked research surveys outline an almost uniformly bullish Wall Street stance: [34]
- A wide analyst group rates the stock between “Moderate Buy” and “Strong Buy.”
- Recent price‑target increases include:
- Jefferies: $560 → $615 (Buy)
- Royal Bank of Canada: $700 → $750 (Outperform)
- Piper Sandler: $740 → $800 (Overweight)
- Wells Fargo: $633 → $721 (Overweight)
- BTIG: $664 → $693 (Buy)
- Benchmark: up to around $700 (Buy)
- MarketBeat’s consensus target sits near $658, while StockAnalysis’s aggregation of 18 analysts shows an average 12‑month target of about $709, implying roughly 20–25% upside from current levels. [35]
Other relevant mentions today: insider‑heavy growth stock, derivatives demand
A couple of additional items from November 26, 2025 round out today’s picture:
- Top growth + insider ownership: A Yahoo Finance feature on “top growth companies with strong insider ownership” includes AppLovin on its list, reinforcing the idea that insiders still hold a meaningful stake even after recent selling. [36]
- Structured products tied to APP: A new Bank of Montreal market‑linked note filed with the U.S. SEC lists AppLovin Class A stock as the underlying “Market Measure,” with a pricing date of November 26, 2025. [37]
- The note is auto‑callable and contingent on APP’s performance, underscoring how deeply the stock has penetrated into derivatives and structured‑product markets.
Together, today’s coverage paints a picture of a widely followed, institutionally owned, highly engineered stock that is now embedded across funds, options markets, and structured notes.
Fundamental backdrop: AI ad‑tech engine, blowout Q3, and S&P 500 membership
Today’s move doesn’t come out of nowhere. It’s anchored in a powerful three‑part fundamental story: AI, earnings, and index inclusion.
1. Q3 2025: massive beats on revenue and profit
AppLovin’s Q3 2025 earnings, reported on November 5, ignited much of the recent enthusiasm: [38]
- Revenue: about $1.405 billion, up 68% year over year
- Net income: roughly $836 million, up more than 90% year over year
- Adjusted EBITDA: about $1.158 billion, up 79%, with a staggering ~82% adjusted EBITDA margin
- Q4 2025 guidance: revenue guidance around $1.59 billion, above Wall Street’s expectations and up from ~$1.37 billion in Q4 2024
Those numbers confirm what many bulls are betting on: AppLovin has turned its ad‑tech stack into an extremely high‑margin, cash‑generating machine, led by its AI‑driven AXON platform. [39]
2. AXON 2 and the AI advertising wave
Multiple recent reports – including today’s AInvest and GuruFocus pieces – emphasise AXON 2 as the core growth engine: [40]
- AXON uses machine‑learning models and massive first‑party data to optimise ad targeting and bidding.
- Management has previously said AXON‑driven campaigns deliver meaningfully higher returns for advertisers, which helps justify premium pricing and high retention.
- This positions AppLovin not just as a “mobile ads” company, but as a scaled AI infrastructure play for performance marketing, which is why it often trades alongside AI beneficiaries rather than traditional gaming or ad‑tech peers.
3. S&P 500 inclusion and a 700%+ run since IPO
AppLovin’s rise has also been fueled by index inclusion and rerating:
- The company was added to the S&P 500 in September 2025, prompting a wave of passive inflows and a sentiment re‑rating as it joined the “megacap” AI cohort. [41]
- Long‑term performance has been extraordinary: various analyses point out that APP has delivered several hundred percent returns since its IPO, vastly outpacing the broader market and most software peers. [42]
That backdrop helps explain why analysts remain overwhelmingly positive even after a fierce rally – and why insider profit‑taking hasn’t completely derailed the bull case.
The big risk still hanging over AppLovin: the SEC probe into data practices
While today’s gainers‑list headlines are bullish, regulatory risk has not gone away – and it features prominently in today’s coverage.
A Reuters report from October 6, 2025 revealed that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is probing AppLovin’s data‑collection practices, following a whistleblower complaint and several short seller reports. [43]
According to that report and subsequent commentary:
- The SEC is examining allegations that AppLovin violated platform partners’ terms of service (including large platforms like Meta and Google) by collecting and structuring user IDs to power more granular ad targeting. [44]
- Short‑seller firms such as Fuzzy Panda Research, Culper Research, and Muddy Waters have accused AppLovin of aggressive and potentially non‑compliant data practices. [45]
- The company has hired law firm Quinn Emanuel to review the allegations and has said it does not comment on potential regulatory matters. [46]
- Importantly, the SEC has not accused AppLovin of wrongdoing, and it’s unclear how far along the probe is. [47]
The original Reuters story sent APP down about 14% in a single day, and subsequent follow‑up pieces – including a Yahoo Finance note on the stock “tumbling” after the probe headlines – have kept that risk front and centre for investors. [48]
Today’s AInvest article explicitly frames the current rally as a tug‑of‑war between: [49]
- AI‑driven earnings momentum (as seen in Q3 results)
- and regulatory uncertainty, which could impact how AppLovin collects and uses data across the mobile ecosystem
For long‑term holders, any material update from the SEC – positive or negative – is likely to be one of the biggest catalysts for the stock.
How today’s move fits the recent volatility pattern
The November 26 spike comes just days after a sharp drawdown that saw APP briefly trade below $500:
- On November 21, 24/7 Wall St. highlighted AppLovin in an article on “spiraling” tech stocks, noting that shares had fallen under $500 after recently trading above $600 following S&P 500 inclusion and strong Q3 earnings. [50]
- Earlier in November, other coverage pointed to double‑digit drops on days when regulatory headlines or profit‑taking overwhelmed the AI‑growth narrative. [51]
Put differently, APP has been trading like a high‑beta AI momentum stock: big gains on good news, and equally big drawdowns when sentiment turns. Today’s 5–6% pop is consistent with that pattern – and with the historical back‑test AInvest published showing that 6%+ up‑days are not uncommon and often followed by choppy consolidation. [52]
What investors might watch next
For readers following AppLovin stock after today’s move, here are the key themes to monitor over the coming weeks and months (this is not investment advice, just a summary of issues the market is reacting to):
- Any update on the SEC investigation
- Formal charges, a settlement, or a statement of no action could all dramatically shift sentiment, in either direction. [53]
- Regulatory signals from big platforms and privacy regulators
- Changes to platform rules from Apple, Google, or Meta around tracking, IDs or ad targeting could directly impact how AppLovin’s AXON engine operates. [54]
- Q4 2025 performance vs. elevated expectations
- Management guided to another strong quarter; a miss – or even just “good, not great” results – could hit a stock trading at 60–70x earnings. [55]
- Insider and institutional behaviour
- Continued insider selling or notable hedge‑fund exits could signal that big holders see limited near‑term upside. Conversely, new strategic investors or buybacks could support the shares. [56]
- AI‑ad‑tech competition
- Rivals in mobile advertising, gaming, and broader AI‑powered marketing platforms are investing aggressively. Sustaining 60–70% revenue growth will get harder as AppLovin’s revenue base gets larger. [57]
Bottom line: a powerful AI growth story, priced for perfection and shadowed by regulation
As of November 26, 2025, AppLovin stock is once again ripping higher, supported by:
- Blowout Q3 numbers and raised guidance
- A scaled AI advertising platform (AXON) driving exceptional margins and returns
- Strong analyst support with double‑digit percentage upside embedded in most price targets
- Ongoing institutional and derivative market interest, from ETFs and mutual funds to structured notes and options
At the same time, today’s news flow also underscores why APP remains a high‑risk, high‑reward stock:
- Valuation sits at premium multiples on both earnings and sales. [58]
- Insiders are selling into strength, even if they still hold large stakes. [59]
- The SEC investigation into data practices is unresolved, and prior headlines on that front have triggered double‑digit declines. [60]
For traders, today’s pop will look like another chapter in APP’s ongoing volatility saga. For longer‑term investors, it’s a reminder that AppLovin may be one of the purest publicly traded plays on AI‑driven mobile advertising – but it’s also a stock where regulatory and execution risks are very real.
References
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