BP share price: Mona wind buyout and buyback put BP stock on watch for Monday
18 January 2026
2 mins read

BP share price: Mona wind buyout and buyback put BP stock on watch for Monday

LONDON, Jan 18, 2026, 08:47 GMT — Market closed

  • On Friday, BP shares ended the day 0.54% higher, closing at 440.25 pence
  • JERA Nex BP, the offshore wind venture, stepped in to buy EnBW’s stake in the Mona project and put Morgan on hold
  • BP announced another round of share buybacks, keeping investors focused on cash returns ahead of earnings season

BP’s shares on the London market are in the spotlight this week following its offshore wind joint venture, JERA Nex BP, seeking to acquire German utility EnBW’s stake in a UK project. The stock closed Friday at 440.25 pence, rising 2.35 pence, or 0.54%, after fluctuating between 433.60 and 443.25 pence.

JERA Nex BP, a joint venture between BP and Japan’s JERA, announced it will acquire EnBW’s stake in the Mona offshore wind project following a lease agreement with the Crown Estate. The partners said the project could generate up to 1.5 gigawatts. However, they confirmed they won’t move forward with the Morgan project lease under current market conditions. No financial terms were revealed.

This is crucial now as offshore wind has become a capital drain for some in the sector, with costs and financing remaining tricky and power prices weaker than developers initially expected. For BP investors, each shift in renewable strategy hits the core debate: how much investment stays in “transition” projects versus flowing back to oil, gas, and payouts to shareholders.

BP disclosed in a regulatory filing late Friday that it purchased 3,038,773 shares under its buyback program announced on Nov. 4, 2025. The shares were bought at a volume-weighted average price of roughly 439.7 pence on the London Stock Exchange. The company plans to place these shares into treasury, increasing the treasury holdings to 742,851,215.

Oil prices continue to steer the entire sector. Brent closed at $64.13 a barrel on Friday, up 0.58%, with U.S. crude settling at $59.44. Traders pointed to position-covering ahead of the U.S. holiday weekend as a key driver. “Buying today seems to be people not wanting to be caught short over the long weekend,” said Price Futures Group senior analyst Phil Flynn. Phillip Nova analyst Priyanka Sachdeva described Brent as “range-bound,” hovering mostly between $57 and $67 unless demand picks up or supply tightens. Reuters

Broker talk is still buzzing. After BP’s Q4 update this week, Berenberg cut their price target to 520 pence from 525 pence, according to a Sharecast report featured by Hargreaves Lansdown.

U.S. equity markets are closed Monday for Martin Luther King Jr. Day, which can lead to lighter trading in BP’s U.S.-listed ADRs and other energy stocks early this week.

On Jan. 14, BP announced it expects $4 billion to $5 billion in impairments for the fourth quarter, largely linked to its low-carbon energy ventures. The company also pointed to weaker oil trading and falling prices as headwinds for earnings. These impairments won’t affect BP’s “underlying replacement cost profit,” its adjusted net income metric. RBC analyst Biraj Borkhataria described the move as “a first step” in management’s effort to “clear the decks.” Reuters

There’s a sharp risk on the downside. Should oil prices slide back from last week’s rally—whether due to increased supply or reduced geopolitical tensions—BP’s near-term cash flow and buyback momentum could stall fast. Investors won’t tolerate another wave of write-downs or setbacks in expensive wind projects.

Shan Ahmed Khan is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic trends. A graduate of the Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS), he previously worked in investment research and market analysis. His coverage helps readers understand the key developments influencing global financial markets and emerging industries.

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TS2 TECH • DAILY MODEL PORTFOLIO

Stocks to Buy Today

Five stocks stand out, supported by recent earnings or more attractive entry points. Today's selection highlights companies raising their outlooks and reporting firm orders, rather than focusing on heavily traded chipmakers.

Today’s market stance Selective • earnings-led
#1 • HIGHEST CONVICTION 24% weight

Xylem

NYSE: XYL
STRONG BUY
Model score 92 / 100
★★★★★

A 12-cent earnings beat and raised 2026 profit outlook highlight the results, while quarterly revenue matched expectations. The water treatment segment offers AI infrastructure exposure without increasing semiconductor holdings.

Why today

Earnings per share surpassed expectations; the company raised its guidance, citing increased water demand from data centers.

Next catalyst

Order conversions are being monitored to confirm that the new margin level is sustainable.

Main risk: Annual revenue guidance moved to about $9.2bn, and project timing can shift.
#2 • BEST CONTRARIAN 22% weight

Alphabet

NASDAQ: GOOGL
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Model score 89 / 100
★★★★½

Google Cloud's revenue surged 82%, with its operating margin hitting 35.6%. However, shares declined as capital expenditures increased. The reset offers a better entry point, but exposure remains limited since quarterly free cash flow moved into negative territory.

Why today

Cloud segment outperformed expectations; company reset guidance following earnings; search operations continue to drive strong cash flow.

Next catalyst

Cloud backlog is being converted more efficiently, leading to improved alignment between expenditures and cash flow.

Main risk: 2026 capex is now $195bn to $205bn, while depreciation is rising.
#3 • DEFENSIVE GROWTH 20% weight

Unilever

LON: ULVR • NYSE: UL
BUY ON PULLBACKS
Model score 87 / 100
★★★★☆

Underlying sales increased by 5.8%, driven by a 5.5% rise in volume—the company's strongest volume growth in over ten years. Guidance has been raised, but after today's significant share price jump, a gradual approach to buying may be more prudent.

Why today

Strong volumes drive results; outlook raised; steady cash flow in low-beta environment

Next catalyst

Second-half pricing trends and updates on the Foods transaction.

Main risk: Commodity inflation, currency moves and a large one-day gap.
#4 • EARNINGS MOMENTUM 18% weight

Sherwin-Williams

NYSE: SHW
ACCUMULATE
Model score 84 / 100
★★★★☆

Sales and adjusted earnings surpassed expectations, prompting management to raise its full-year guidance. The company is benefiting from higher prices and increased market share, but the stock's rapid three-day rally suggests investors may want to hold off on buying at the open.

Why today

The company beat expectations, raised its outlook, demonstrated strong pricing power, and continued to gain market share.

Next catalyst

The company is targeting adjusted EPS between $11.80 and $12.20.

Main risk: Weak housing demand, raw-material inflation and a richer entry.
#5 • TACTICAL UPSIDE 16% weight

PayPal

NASDAQ: PYPL
TACTICAL BUY
Model score 81 / 100
★★★★☆

Adjusted earnings surpassed expectations, prompting an increase in full-year profit guidance. The reported $60.50 per share approach offers added flexibility, though its smaller weighting signals lower margins and uncertainty regarding a potential deal.

Why today

Earnings surpass forecasts; guidance raised; strategic options under review.

Next catalyst

Focus is on the $400 million cost program, margin trends, and any official response to the deal.

Main risk: Operating margin fell to 17.4%, and no sale is assured.
Portfolio structure
Water & infrastructure 24%
Technology & cloud 22%
Consumer staples 20%
Coatings & materials 18%
Payments 16%
Build positions in two or three tranches.

Avoid buying a stock that's trading more than 5% above its previous close. Revisit the list after Wednesday's Fed decision and this week's mega-cap earnings.

Strong companies, weaker entries today
Coca-Cola NYSE: KO
WAIT FOR PULLBACK

Strong quarter with improved guidance, but a nearly 6% rally limits short-term upside.

Visa NYSE: V
WAIT FOR RESULTS

Visa is set to report earnings after the close. The portfolio won’t be taking on new event risk ahead of the results.

Nvidia NASDAQ: NVDA
WATCH

While long-term demand is solid, questions persist around chip momentum and AI financing.

Portfolio heat 6.4 / 10

Moderate. Recent earnings provide solid support, though event risk is still elevated.

Market risk check

The Nasdaq faces continued pressure as chip stocks endure a steep correction. With the Federal Reserve set to announce its decision on Wednesday, investors should brace for increased intraday volatility.

TS2 DAILY MODEL PORTFOLIO 100% allocated

This is an editorial model portfolio and does not constitute personalized investment advice. The scores reflect how today's five holdings compare to the current opportunity set, rather than predicting future returns.

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