
This month’s gold rally has been truly historic. After repeatedly breaching $4,000/oz in early October, spot gold surged to about $4,378.69 late on Friday Oct 17 ts2.tech. By the next trading session gold eased back slightly but still held around $4,300/oz. On Oct 21 spot gold was trading near $4,287.89/oz, down about 1.6% from the prior session after peaking at $4,381.21 on Oct 20 reuters.com. Even with this dip, the metal is up roughly 60–63% so far in 2025 reuters.com, making it one of the year’s top-performing assets by a wide margin.
The catalysts most likely to move markets.
Policy tone can move rates, USD, equities, gold and crypto simultaneously.
A weak final reading or elevated inflation expectations could pressure risk assets.
A surprise versus 58.0 may alter the near-term manufacturing-growth narrative.