DraftKings Earnings Preview Today (Nov. 6, 2025): ESPN Picks DKNG as Official Betting Partner; PENN Misses Q3; Flutter Set for Nov. 12

DraftKings Earnings Preview Today (Nov. 6, 2025): ESPN Picks DKNG as Official Betting Partner; PENN Misses Q3; Flutter Set for Nov. 12

DraftKings (NASDAQ: DKNG) reports third‑quarter results after today’s closing bell, just hours after ESPN scrapped its ESPN BET venture with PENN Entertainment and struck a new multi‑year pact naming DraftKings the official sportsbook and odds provider for ESPN. PENN posted third‑quarter results this morning, while Flutter (NYSE: FLUT) will update investors next week. Here’s what to watch and why it matters for U.S. sports betting stocks. [1]


What changed today

  • ESPN pivots to DraftKings; ESPN BET winds down. ESPN and PENN agreed to end their U.S. online‑betting partnership effective December 1, 2025. At the same time, Disney/ESPN entered a new multi‑year agreement that makes DraftKings ESPN’s official betting site and odds provider. PENN and ESPN will rebrand the current ESPN BET app to theScore Bet and halt PENN’s fixed media payments; ESPN retains vested warrants while unvested warrants are forfeited. DKNG shares rose in early trading on the news, according to Bloomberg. [2]
  • PENN’s Q3: bigger loss, in‑line revenue. Before the open, PENN reported Q3 revenue of ~$1.72B and an adjusted loss of $0.22/share; GAAP results reflected a net loss of ~$864.6M (‑$6.03/share). Management said it will refocus on iCasino and a leaner digital cost structure. [3]
  • Flutter timing confirmed. Flutter will release its Q3 2025 update after market close on Nov. 12 at ~4:05 p.m. ET, with a call at 4:30 p.m. ET. [4]

DraftKings: today’s earnings preview & investor checklist

When & where: Results drop after the close today (Nov. 6); the conference call is Friday, Nov. 7. [5]

Street setup: Recent previews peg Q3 revenue consensus around $1.23–$1.24 billion, with investors focused on customer growth, margin trajectory, and state‑by‑state expansion pacing. [6]

What to watch in the release and guide:

  1. Active users & ARPMUP (average revenue per monthly unique payer) through the NFL/CFB ramp, plus hold (win rate) variability—an area several analysts flagged as a profit swing factor this fall. [7]
  2. Promotional intensity and gross margin mix between same‑game parlays, in‑game, and iGaming. (Preview focus echoed by Seeking Alpha.) [8]
  3. Tax & regulatory commentary—notably Illinois’ progressive operator tax (effective since 2024) and operator responses; FanDuel, for instance, introduced a 50‑cent fee per wager in Illinois this year. [9]
  4. Competition from prediction markets (Kalshi, Polymarket) and DraftKings’ own push into event contracts via the Railbird acquisition; management’s positioning could shape 2026 expectations. [10]

Options market expectations: Ahead of earnings, options were pricing an ~14% next‑day swing for DKNG, well above its two‑year average move, per Schaeffer’s. [11]

Editorial note: On Wednesday, The Motley Fool outlined three things to watch—continued top‑line growth, bottom‑line progress, and the limits of consensus estimates—useful context for tonight’s print. [12]


Why the ESPN deal could be pivotal for DKNG

The ESPN alignment materially boosts DraftKings’ brand distribution and media reach just as NFL season‑ality peaks and ahead of college bowls. Reuters details the unwind mechanics with PENN (rebrand to theScore Bet, media spend changes, warrant treatment) and confirms ESPN’s new DKNG relationship; Bloomberg reported a sharp premarket pop for DKNG shares on the headline. While revenue impacts will depend on execution, investor focus will turn to user acquisition efficiency and cross‑sell lift in 2026 guidance. [13]


PENN: takeaways from this morning

  • Top line held near expectations (~$1.72B), but adjusted EPS missed; GAAP results included sizable non‑cash charges. The company emphasized an iCasino‑first digital strategy following the ESPN exit. [14]
  • With ESPN BET winding down, watch management’s commentary on customer migration, brand architecture, and any updated 2025–2026 capex/media outlook. (The company hosts its Q3 call this morning.) [15]

Flutter next week: what’s on deck

Flutter reports after the close on Nov. 12. Given FanDuel’s U.S. scale, investors will parse U.S. unit margins, promo cadence, and any commentary on U.K./Ireland tax headwinds—another variable analysts have highlighted this fall. [16]


Macro currents shaping the group

  • Taxes: Progressive operator taxes in Illinois (effective July 1, 2024) continue to pressure unit economics across the industry; operators have responded with new fees and product mix shifts. [17]
  • Prediction markets: The CFTC cleared a path for Polymarket’s U.S. relaunch this fall, while DraftKings moved to enter event markets via Railbird—two developments likely to feature in Q&A as investors assess wallet‑share dynamics. [18]
  • Volatile “hold” in football season: Banks and research shops have cautioned that streaky outcomes can swing quarterly earnings for DKNG and FLUT; tonight’s commentary on October/early‑November hold will be key. [19]

Key times & numbers (Nov. 6, 2025)

  • DraftKings Q3 2025: Results after close; call Nov. 7 (IR schedule). Consensus revenue ~$1.23–$1.24B. [20]
  • PENN Q3 2025 (reported pre‑market): Revenue ~$1.72B; adj. EPS −$0.22; GAAP EPS −$6.03. Strategy pivot to iCasino; ESPN BET to theScore Bet by Dec. 1. [21]
  • Flutter Q3 2025: Update Nov. 12, 4:05 p.m. ET; call 4:30 p.m. ET. [22]

Bottom line

Today’s ESPN‑DraftKings tie‑up reshapes U.S. sportsbook media dynamics hours before DKNG’s earnings. Add PENN’s miss and strategic pivot and next week’s Flutter update, and investors get a condensed, market‑moving read‑out on customer growth, promo spend, and taxes heading into the key holiday sports window.

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

How I Turned $1 Into $400 With This DraftKings Sports Bet

References

1. draftkings.gcs-web.com, 2. www.reuters.com, 3. www.marketscreener.com, 4. www.globenewswire.com, 5. draftkings.gcs-web.com, 6. www.benzinga.com, 7. www.barrons.com, 8. seekingalpha.com, 9. sportshandle.com, 10. www.investopedia.com, 11. www.schaeffersresearch.com, 12. www.fool.com, 13. www.reuters.com, 14. www.marketscreener.com, 15. investors.pennentertainment.com, 16. www.globenewswire.com, 17. sportshandle.com, 18. www.reuters.com, 19. www.barrons.com, 20. draftkings.gcs-web.com, 21. www.marketscreener.com, 22. www.globenewswire.com

Stock Market Today

  • JPMorgan urges investors to buy the dips as the stock bull market rages on
    November 6, 2025, 2:36 PM EST. JPMorgan strategists argue that investors can view dips as opportunities in a robust bull market. They point to resilient earnings, ample liquidity, and a continued appetite for risk as reasons to buy on pullbacks rather than panic. While the stance favors select, high-quality names and disciplined position sizing, it also warns that macro shocks or a regime shift in policy could alter the balance. The note emphasizes diversification, risk controls, and a clear plan to ride incremental gains while avoiding overexposure to crowded trades. In short, dips may be optimal entry points, but success depends on patience, risk management, and focus on fundamentals in a bull market.
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    November 6, 2025, 2:32 PM EST. U.S. equities opened lower on Thursday as investors weighed ongoing earnings results against worries over inflated tech valuations, lingering tariffs, and a patchy set of economic data. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 55.9 points to 47,255.12 (-0.12%), the S&P 500 declined 8.7 points to 6,787.59, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 38.5 points to 23,461.289. In the commodities complex, gold held near $4,000 an ounce, supported by a softer dollar and safe-haven demand, with spot gold at $3,998.65 and December futures at $4,005.40. Silver rose to $48.24, while platinum and palladium slipped. Oil prices were broadly flat as sanctions on Russian producers started to bite and supply concerns persisted despite rising OPEC output: Brent at $63.55 and WTI at $59.62.
  • Wheat Falls Across Exchanges as China Buys US Wheat; Export Tender Activity Boosts Outlook
    November 6, 2025, 2:30 PM EST. Wheat was down across the CBOT, KCBT and MGEX futures on Thursday morning as traders weighed demand from abroad alongside export sales uncertainty from a government shutdown. Overnight news that China bought 120,000 metric tons of US wheat-split evenly between soft red and spring-helped support, but prices remain pressured by mixed weekly action and short covering in some contracts. South Korea issued tenders for 60,000 MT of optional-origin wheat while a US mill importer sought 50,000 MT with a Friday deadline, highlighting ongoing export demand for US supplies. The USDA export-sales report will not be published for the sixth week in a row. In yesterday's settlements, December and March CBOT wheat traded near the mid-$5s, with KCBT and MGEX quotes also in the $5s.
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