LONDON — Tuesday, 18 November 2025. British Airways owner International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. (IAG) was active on multiple fronts today, with fresh buyback disclosures, a capacity increase on a growing UK–US route, an operational update for Zurich, and supportive analyst commentary. IAG’s shares finished around 372.6p, down roughly 2.2% from Monday’s close as the market continued to digest early‑November results and guidance. [1]
Today’s highlights at a glance
- Daily buyback disclosed: IAG reported the purchase of 970,610 shares on 17 November under its ongoing repurchase programme; treasury shares now stand at 149,421,649 following the latest trades executed across London and Madrid. [2]
- Transatlantic capacity uplift:British Airways (BA) and Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport announced the CVG–London Heathrow route will step up to six weekly flights from 29 March 2026, with an aircraft upgrade to the Boeing 777‑200 (48 business suites / 40 premium economy / 184 economy). [3]
- Operational change at Zurich: BA notified travel partners that Zurich Airport (ZRH) check‑in now closes 60 minutes before departure, effective 18 November 2025. [4]
- Analyst support intact:Bernstein reaffirmed Buy on IAG with a 475p target; Deutsche Numis maintained a positive stance and refreshed forecasts following Q3, highlighting steady margins and continued buybacks. [5]
- Vueling’s network expands: IAG low‑cost carrier Vueling formally entered the Slovenian market with a Barcelona–Ljubljana link (2x weekly), a move published today after an inaugural rotation over the weekend. [6]
Market snapshot
IAG last traded near 372.6p in London on Tuesday, compared with 381.0p at Monday’s close (‑2.2% day‑on‑day). Intraday ranges were tight, suggesting sentiment remains in “wait‑and‑see” mode as investors track buyback execution and winter traffic trends. [7]
Corporate actions: buyback engine still running
IAG filed a Transaction in Own Shares notice detailing 970,610 shares repurchased on 17 November 2025 (584,502 on the LSE between £3.7860–£3.8860 and 386,108 on the Madrid exchange between €4.3020–€4.4120). Treasury shares now total 149,421,649, leaving 4,577,779,498 shares outstanding (ex‑treasury). The trades were carried out by Morgan Stanley Europe SE under the programme announced earlier this year. Regular daily disclosures of this kind remain a near‑term support for per‑share metrics while the programme runs. [8]
(Context: the second tranche of the 2025 repurchase was scheduled to run into late November, keeping a steady drumbeat of market purchases.) [9]
Network & operations: Cincinnati gets more BA, Zurich tightens cut‑off
Cincinnati / Northern Kentucky (CVG): BA will lift CVG–Heathrow service from five to six weekly flights for the summer season starting 29 March 2026, and upgauge from the 787‑8 to the 777‑200. The swap adds premium capacity (48 Club World suites) and boosts belly‑hold cargo, with local authorities flagging a 55–60% year‑over‑year capacity increase on the route. The frequency will operate daily except Thursdays through October. [10]
Zurich check‑in closure: BA told trade partners that ZRH check‑in now closes 60 minutes pre‑departure starting today, a housekeeping change that matters for tight connections and peak‑period queues. Travellers via Zurich should plan earlier airport arrivals to avoid missed flights. [11]
Vueling in Slovenia: Vueling’s Barcelona–Ljubljana entry—2x weekly with A319/A320 equipment (one A321 rotation on 28 December)—goes into the book today with an 85% load factor reported on the inaugural. It’s a small but telling sign of IAG’s continued point‑to‑point build in Europe. [12]
Street view: targets and tone remain constructive
Bernstein reiterated Buy this morning with a 475p price objective, arguing IAG’s multi‑brand portfolio and premium demand mix leave it well positioned into 2026. Deutsche Numis kept a positive stance after re‑running 2025–2027 forecasts post‑Q3, pointing to mid‑teens operating margins, resilient demand in higher‑yield cabins, and ongoing share buybacks as support for returns. [13]
A separate note today distilled the same thesis for retail investors: steady profits, premium demand and planned buybacks (with €1.5bn in 2026 and €2bn in 2027 flagged by the broker) underpin the long‑term case—though fuel and FX remain swing factors. [14]
What this means for investors
- Buybacks are doing their job: Daily execution continues to shrink free float and offset volatility after early‑November weakness. Today’s RNS confirms the programme remains on schedule heading into late November. [15]
- Network momentum matters: The CVG upgauge signals confidence in North America flows and premium demand. It also leans into BA’s brand strength in the US corridor—an area that drives group yields. [16]
- Ops discipline reduces friction: Zurich’s stricter T‑60 check‑in cut‑off is an operational hygiene move—small on its own, but these tweaks add up to on‑time performance and customer satisfaction. [17]
- Sell‑side tone: steady‑positive: The combination of Buy ratings and refreshed models suggests the Q3 wobble hasn’t changed the medium‑term narrative of capital returns + premium demand + cost control. [18]
Numbers to know (18 November 2025)
- IAG share price (LSE): ~372.6p last trade (‑2.2% vs prior close 381.0p). Range 371.3–375.3p today. [19]
- Buyback (filed today):970,610 shares purchased on 17 Nov; 149.42m in treasury post‑trade; outstanding (ex‑treasury) 4.578bn shares. [20]
- BA CVG–LHR summer 2026:6x weekly, 777‑200, 48J/40W/184Y; 55–60% YoY capacity increase. [21]
- Analysts:Bernstein Buy, TP 475p; Deutsche Numis reiterates positive outlook and margins. [22]
Outlook
Into year‑end, watch (1) pace and size of daily buybacks (and any extension beyond late November), (2) holiday demand and yields across BA, Iberia, Aer Lingus and Vueling, and (3) premium cabin trends—a swing variable that underpins today’s supportive research notes. If management keeps the buyback cadence steady and winter bookings hold up, the capital‑return story should remain the centre of gravity for IAG’s shares.
This article reflects developments published on 18 November 2025 and market data available at the London close. [23]
References
1. markets.ft.com, 2. www.investegate.co.uk, 3. nkytribune.com, 4. www.britishairways.com, 5. www.marketscreener.com, 6. www.exyuaviation.com, 7. markets.ft.com, 8. www.investegate.co.uk, 9. www.londonstockexchange.com, 10. nkytribune.com, 11. www.britishairways.com, 12. www.exyuaviation.com, 13. www.marketscreener.com, 14. finimize.com, 15. www.investegate.co.uk, 16. nkytribune.com, 17. www.britishairways.com, 18. www.marketscreener.com, 19. markets.ft.com, 20. www.investegate.co.uk, 21. nkytribune.com, 22. www.marketscreener.com, 23. markets.ft.com
