Bunker‑Buster Earthquake: New Satellite Images Expose Fordow’s Ruin—What the Bombs Hit, What Survived, and Why It Matters

Israeli Satellite Images of Iran Attack – 2025 Deep‑Dive Report, Expert Quotes & Latest Evidence

  • During Operation Rising Lion in mid-June 2025, Israel ingested more than 12,000 fresh satellite images during the shooting phase from the Ofek optical and SAR constellation and commercial vendors, with tens of millions of square kilometers imaged day and night.
  • The domestic space stack centers on Ofek-16 (optical) and Ofek-13 SAR, delivering 0.5 m visual resolution and all-weather radar with rapid tip-and-cue via the Space-Moons control net.
  • Eros-B and Eros-C3 provide commercial licensing to the IDF and the National Image‑Exploitation Center for change-detection sweeps that flag new pads and roadbuilding.
  • Allied assets include KH-11/NRO radar and sub-30 cm product from Maxar and Planet, enabling post-strike BDA and high-confidence assessments.
  • Fordow showed six bomb-blast holes on the ridge, with trucks and cranes arriving two days after the strike, while analysts cautioned the centrifuge hall is too deeply buried to verify damage visually.
  • Natanz revealed dust plumes and cratered surfaces with tunnel entrances suggesting partial penetration, as Iranian crews bulldozed spoil into portals.
  • Isfahan research center displayed scorched concrete and collapsed roofs at surface labs, with France 24 noting isotope‑production buildings were struck but deeper tunnels may remain intact.
  • Real-time retasking relied on AI‑fusion software feeding Ofek-16 refreshes to cockpit tablets, enabling at least 27 high‑value mobile launchers to be hit within an hour of orbital sighting.
  • Public BDAs were shaped by Maxar, Planet, and Airbus imagery, with WSJ reporting Maxar shots from June 29 and AP using Planet passes to document spoil clearing at Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan.
  • Looking ahead, Israel plans Ofek-17 (multi-spectral) in late 2025 and hyperspectral cubesats, while Iran contracted Russia’s Glavkosmos to launch Pars-2 high-resolution imaging satellite by 2026.

1. Why space was decisive in “Operation Rising Lion”

When Israel and the United States struck dozens of Iranian nuclear‑ and missile‑related targets in mid‑June 2025, every phase of the campaign—target discovery, mission‑planning, precision‑guidance and battle‑damage assessment (BDA)—ran on a constant stream of satellite imagery.

  • Israel’s Defense Ministry says its military intelligence directorate ingested more than 12 000 fresh images during the shooting phase alone, generated by the Ofek optical and SAR constellation as well as commercial vendors. The Space Directorate adds that “tens of millions of km² were imaged day and night,” allowing analysts to retask strike aircraft in near‑real time. [1]
  • A parallel Jerusalem Post briefing put the longer‑term number even higher—“tens of millions of photos of multiple locations in Iran” were banked in the run‑up to war, giving planners baseline views of every high‑value site. [2]

2. How Israel’s spy‑satellite stack works

TierPrincipal satellitesKey strengths (2025)Imagery role in the Iran strikes
Domestic, militaryOfek‑16 (optical) and the new Ofek‑13 SAR0.5 m visual & all‑weather radar; rapid tip‑and‑cue tasking via IDF’s “Space‑Moons” control netHigh‑resolution aim‑points for underground entrances; night/cloud penetration for missile‑launcher hunts
Domestic, commercialEros‑B / C3Commercial licensing to IDF, National Image‑Exploitation Center (NIX)Change‑detection sweeps of broad desert areas to flag new pads, roadbuilding
Allied / USUSA – KH‑11 / NRO radar, commercial Maxar & PlanetGlobal persistence, sub‑30 cm productPost‑strike BDA and confidence‑building with Washington

(Capabilities compiled from public tender documents and material released at Israel’s 19 June 2025 Space Symposium.)

3. What the satellites revealed after the bombs fell

SiteWhat imagery showedExpert assessment
Fordow (deep‑mountain enrichment plant)Six bomb‑blast holes on the ridge, trucks and cranes arriving two days later. [3] [4]“They just punched through with MOPs…I expect the facility is toast,” said former IAEA inspector David Albright. But analyst Decker Eveleth cautions that the centrifuge hall is “too deeply buried for us to evaluate damage visually.” [5]
Natanz (new tunnel complex)Dust plumes and covered craters on June 24 Planet/Maxar passes. [6]RFE/RL imagery specialists note visible impact but say tunnel entrances suggest “partial penetration; Iranian crews have already bulldozed spoil into portals.”
Isfahan research centerScorched concrete and collapsed roofs at surface labs; evidence of secondary explosions. [7]France 24’s geospatial desk concludes “precision standoff weapons struck known isotope‑production buildings but left deeper tunnels intact.”

4. Real‑time retasking and “dynamic target updates”

Brig. Gen. (res.) Dr. Danny Gold, head of Israel’s Defense R&D Directorate, told reporters that AI‑fusion software fed optical refreshes from Ofek‑16 directly into cockpit tablets:

“Technologies developed over 25 years—up to just weeks before the war—were integrated into the battlefield with extraordinary effectiveness.” [8]

IAF planners say at least 27 high‑value mobile launchers were hit within one hour of being spotted from orbit, a feat Gold attributes to “machine‑vision tipping” that flags anomalies against a live map background.

5. How commercial imagery kept the world informed

Because most Israeli military imagery is classified, the public picture has been shaped by Maxar, Planet and Airbus products:

  • Wall Street Journal analysis published 1 July showed diggers at Fordow “assessing bomb impact holes,” citing Maxar shots taken 29 June. [9]
  • Associated Press used Planet Labs passes to document Iranian crews clearing spoil at tunnel mouths and confirmed government spokesperson Fatemeh Mohajerani’s admission that Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan were “seriously damaged.” [10]

6. What the damage means for Iran’s program

  • Rafael Grossi, IAEA Director General, privately told diplomats (per WSJ) that despite the devastation, Iran “retains the knowledge and industrial base to resume 60 % enrichment in a matter of months.” [11]
  • Arms‑control scholar Jeffrey Lewis warns that some highly enriched uranium was likely moved before the strike and that “there are almost certainly facilities we don’t know about.” [12]

7. Strategic take‑aways

  1. Space is Israel’s most cost‑effective precision weapon: One Ofek tasking cycle costs a fraction of a single strike sortie yet enabled scores of time‑sensitive hits.
  2. Commercial constellations are leveling the transparency field: Within hours, NGOs and journalists were producing independent BDAs, constraining propaganda on all sides.
  3. Undergrounding is not a guarantee: Fordow’s mountain cover, once thought immune, was breached—though at high cost in 30 000‑lb MOPs.
  4. Expect an Iranian “shadow program”: Every expert interviewed expects Tehran to disperse R&D activity into smaller facilities that blend into civilian infrastructure.

8. What comes next in the satellite duel

Israel Aerospace Industries is scheduled to launch Ofek‑17 (multi‑spectral) in late 2025, while the Defense Ministry is funding hyperspectral cubesats to sniff out chemical signatures around suspected sites. Iran, for its part, has contracted Russia’s Glavkosmos to loft its first high‑resolution imaging satellite, Pars‑2, by 2026—a move likely to intensify the orbital intelligence race.


Sources used

Ynet, Jerusalem Post, Reuters, Associated Press, Wall Street Journal, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, France 24 (citations embedded above).

Israel-Iran War: Satellite Images Show Iran Repairing Bombed Nuclear Sites | WION Fineprint

References

1. www.ynetnews.com, 2. www.jpost.com, 3. www.reuters.com, 4. www.wral.com, 5. www.reuters.com, 6. www.rferl.org, 7. www.france24.com, 8. www.ynetnews.com, 9. www.wsj.com, 10. www.wral.com, 11. www.wsj.com, 12. www.reuters.com

Latest Developments in AI (June–July 2025)
Previous Story

Најновији развоји у вештачкој интелигенцији (јун–јул 2025)

Space News Roundup: July 2025 / Updated: 2025, July 2nd, 00:00 CET
Next Story

Space News Roundup: July 2025 / Updated: 2025, July 2nd, 00:00 CET

Stock Market Today

  • Noteworthy Wednesday Options Activity: CMC, BG, ENVX
    October 16, 2025, 6:54 AM EDT. Noteworthy Wednesday options activity covered three names in the Russell 3000: CMC saw 6,390 contracts traded, about 639,000 shares, roughly 58.2% of its 1-month average. The standout was the $65 strike call expiring October 17, 2025, with 5,396 contracts. BG posted 10,132 contracts, about 1.0 million underlying shares and 56.3% of its 1-month average volume; the $85 strike call expiring October 17, 2025 drew 1,671 contracts. ENVX chalked up 42,186 contracts, about 4.2 million shares or 56.2% of average volume; the $20 strike call expiring January 15, 2027 had 5,127 contracts. For more expirations, visit StockOptionsChannel.com. (Disclaimer: views are those of the author.)
  • Notable Wednesday Option Activity: NXT, VKTX, GPRE Highlight Large Call Volume
    October 16, 2025, 6:53 AM EDT. Notable Wednesday option activity surfaced in three Russell 3000 components: Nextracker Inc (NXT), Viking Therapeutics (VKTX), and Green Plains Inc (GPRE). NXT saw 9,521 contracts traded (about 952,100 shares), roughly 43.7% of its 1-month average volume. The standout was the $120 strike call expiring Jan 16, 2026, with 5,216 contracts (~521,600 shares). VKTX posted 22,823 contracts (~2.3 million shares), about 42.2% of its 1-month ADV, led by the $50 strike call expiring Jan 16, 2026 with 6,175 contracts (~617,500 shares). GPRE traded 9,419 contracts (~941,900 shares), around 41.8% of ADV; notable was the $22 strike call expiring Jan 16, 2026 with 2,975 contracts (~297,500 shares).
  • Noteworthy Wednesday Options Activity: U, FSLY and PHAT Show Heavy Call Volume
    October 16, 2025, 6:52 AM EDT. Wednesday's notable options flow surfaced in U (Unity), FSLY (Fastly) and PHAT (Phathom). In U, about 49,227 contracts traded, ≈4.9 million underlying shares, roughly 45% of its monthly ADV. The standout was the $39.50 call expiring Oct 17, 2025, with 10,192 contracts. In FSLY, 17,303 contracts traded, ≈1.7 million shares, about 45% of its monthly ADV; the $8.50 call expiring Oct 17, 2025 drew 10,991 contracts. For PHAT, 6,205 contracts traded, ≈620,500 shares, ~44.6% of its monthly ADV; the $10 call expiring Nov 21, 2025 saw 2,394 contracts. Charts accompany each name.
  • Trustmark (TRMK) Valuation in Focus After 3% Gain: Is There More Upside?
    October 16, 2025, 6:50 AM EDT. Trustmark (TRMK) continued its momentum after a 3% bump, with shares up 14.45% year-to-date and a 17.75% total return over the past year. The stock's steady lift comes as investors weigh improving fundamentals against the bank's growth catalysts and valuation. The consensus narrative currently points to a fair value around $43.60, suggesting the stock remains undervalued near a close of $39.61. Key drivers include regional expansion in the Sun Belt/Southeast, digital initiatives, and rising fee-based wealth management that could boost noninterest income. However, a Southeastern concentration and slower digital adoption pose risks if economic headwinds intensify. The core question remains whether the valuation already reflects future growth or if there's still upside from demographic and product diversification.
  • Treasuries Retreat After Early Strength as 10-Year Yield Hits 4.046%; NY Fed Manufacturing Improves
    October 16, 2025, 6:49 AM EDT. After an early session pop, Treasuries pulled back, with bond prices turning negative and the benchmark 10-year yield climbing about 2.4 basis points to 4.046%. The move followed a brief safe-haven bid sparked by trade tensions between the U.S. and China after a late Tuesday Trump post, but buying interest waned as traders booked gains. The session left the 10-year briefly under 4.00% intraday for the first time since mid-September before rebounding. On the data front, New York manufacturing surprised to the upside in October, with the general activity index at +10.7 from -8.7 in September. The Beige Book showed little overall change across districts. Data releases are delayed by the government shutdown, keeping traders focused on Fed remarks.
Go toTop