NatWest Stock Rockets as Q3 Profit Soars – What’s Next for Investors?

NatWest Group Share Price Today (20 November 2025): NWG Edges Lower As UK Budget Jitters Meet Ongoing Buybacks

NatWest Group’s London‑listed shares were slightly weaker on Thursday as traders weighed ongoing share buybacks, fresh product and investment announcements, and mounting nerves ahead of next week’s UK Budget.

By late morning in London, NatWest Group plc (LON: NWG) was trading around 580p, down roughly 0.24% on the day. The stock opened at 585p and has traded in a 577.2p–585.4p range so far, on volume of about 1.6 million shares. [1]

Despite today’s modest dip, NatWest remains one of the FTSE 100’s standout banking performers over the past year, with the shares up around 45% over 12 months and sitting comfortably within a 52‑week range of 369p to 626.6p. [2]

With a market capitalisation of roughly £47 billion, NatWest is firmly established as a heavyweight in the UK banking sector. [3]


NatWest Group share price today: key numbers

Based on data available on 20 November 2025, key metrics for the UK‑listed NatWest Group share are:

  • Latest LSE price: ~580p (down 0.24% on the day) [4]
  • Intraday range: 577.2p–585.4p [5]
  • Opening price: 585p [6]
  • 1‑day change vs Wednesday close (581.4p): about –1.4p [7]
  • 52‑week range: 369p–626.6p [8]
  • Market cap: around £47bn [9]
  • Dividend yield: various data providers place the trailing yield at roughly 4–4.5%, based on a total cash dividend of about 25p per share for 2025 so far. [10]

NatWest also trades in New York under the ticker NWG, where the ADR most recently changed hands at about $15.31, implying a broadly consistent valuation between the UK and US lines once FX is taken into account. [11]


Why NatWest shares are drifting lower today

1. UK Budget jitters keep bank stocks in check

The big macro story overshadowing UK equities this week is next week’s Budget from Chancellor Rachel Reeves. A Reuters analysis published today highlights that investors are nervous about how much fiscal tightening Reeves will pursue, and what mix of tax rises and spending cuts she may deploy. [12]

Sterling has been under pressure and UK bond yields have been volatile as markets weigh the risk of more aggressive revenue‑raising. The article notes that bank stocks, including NatWest, Barclays and Lloyds, fell sharply last Fridayamid speculation that the sector could face extra taxes or a windfall levy, even though the UK bank index is still up more than 40% this year. [13]

A separate Proactive Investors piece today argues that a bank levy would likely be a headwind for near‑term growth but may not permanently damage long‑term earnings power, as banks can adjust pricing and capital allocation over time. [14]

For NatWest, this macro backdrop helps explain why the share price is treading water despite solid fundamentals: investors are reluctant to push valuations higher until the Budget risk is out of the way.


2. Share buyback continues to quietly support the price

If Budget uncertainty is a drag, NatWest’s aggressive capital return programme is doing the opposite.

Regulatory filings show that on 18 November, the bank repurchased 917,778 ordinary shares at a volume‑weighted average price of 581.68p (with trades between 576.6p and 587.8p). [15]

On 19 November, NatWest bought back a further 905,959 shares at an average price of 582.78p, inside a daily trading range of about 576.2p to 585.8p. [16]

These purchases are part of a £750m share buyback announced alongside strong first‑half results in July, when NatWest also declared a 9.5p interim dividend and upgraded its 2025 income and returns guidance. [17]

Buybacks at prices close to today’s level reduce the free‑float share count and can underpin earnings per share over time. With NatWest still running a robust CET1 capital ratio and generating attractive returns on tangible equity, the board has room to keep returning cash to shareholders if trading stays on track. [18]


3. NatWest backs new British growth fund through Cushon

Away from the trading screen, NatWest is also in the news today for its role in a new British Business Bank investment vehicle.

The Growth Partnership Fund I, announced today, will channel pension savings into high‑growth UK companies. Cornerstone investors include Aegon UK, NatWest’s workplace pension arm Cushon, and M&G, with an initial fund size of around £200m and ambitions to expand. [19]

For NatWest, this is more about strategic positioning than immediate earnings: it reinforces the group’s identity as a UK‑focused lender committed to supporting domestic growth and the pension system’s pivot towards productive finance. While unlikely to move the share price on its own, it adds to the bank’s ESG and “stakeholder” narrative, which matters for longer‑term institutional investors.


4. NatWest Markets unveils an options “creation” tool

In capital markets, Risk.net reports today that NatWest has “retuned” an internal options‑hedging algorithm so it can be used not just to hedge risk but to manufacture structured exposures for clients who are unable to trade options directly. [20]

The tool effectively replicates non‑linear option pay‑offs using spot market trades, enabling corporate and institutional customers to access more tailored risk profiles while NatWest manages the underlying derivatives book.

This development is niche but notable:

  • It signals continued investment in trading technology at NatWest Markets.
  • It may help deepen relationships with corporates and asset‑managers who want more sophisticated hedging or yield‑enhancing strategies without dealing with derivatives directly.
  • It underscores NatWest’s efforts to generate fee and trading income in a way that should be capital‑efficient and risk‑controlled.

Again, it’s not a driver of today’s small share‑price move, but it contributes to the story that NatWest is using its strong balance sheet to innovate rather than simply shrink.


5. Customer‑facing headlines: app outage and account changes

NatWest is also featuring in consumer‑press headlines today.

  • A report on The Sun’s money pages says some customers complained overnight that the NatWest app and online banking were temporarily down, leaving users unable to log in to check balances or make payments. [21]
  • A separate article from the same outlet highlights that NatWest is changing the pricing of certain business banking services, effectively adjusting fees on some accounts. [22]

Digital outages and fee changes are fairly common across large banks and usually have limited short‑term market impact, especially when balanced against strong profitability and capital returns. However, they can affect brand perception and customer satisfaction, both of which investors increasingly monitor as indicators of long‑term franchise health.


6. NatWest tweaks its investment exposures

A MarketBeat summary of US regulatory filings notes that NatWest Group plc reduced its holding in NVIDIA Corporation by about 7.3% in the second quarter. [23]

This detail relates to NatWest’s asset‑management and custodial activities rather than its core banking book, but it does underline the bank’s risk‑management and profit‑taking discipline in highly volatile parts of the market such as big‑tech equities.


How today fits into the bigger NatWest story

Strong 2025 performance so far

NatWest’s muted share‑price reaction today has to be seen in the context of a very strong 2025:

  • H1 2025: the bank reported an 18% rise in first‑half profit, slightly ahead of expectations, and launched the current £750m buyback, boosting its return on tangible equity guidance to about 16.5%. [24]
  • Q3 2025: pre‑tax profit jumped about 30% year‑on‑year and total income was up roughly 16% versus Q3 2024, with management lifting full‑year income guidance to around £16.3bn ex‑notable items and targeting a ROTE above 18%. [25]

These upgrades, combined with the UK government’s sale of its final stake earlier this year, which returned NatWest to full private ownership, have helped re‑rate the shares sharply. [26]

Analysts: bullish on earnings, cautious on valuation

Today’s sideways trading also reflects a more nuanced analyst stance:

  • RBC Capital Markets recently raised its price target from £6.50 to £7.25 (650p to 725p) after the strong Q3 numbers and now sees adjusted pre‑tax profit growing 2% in 2025, 8% in 2026 and 6% in 2027, with an estimated £13.5bn of capital returns to shareholders over the next three years. [27]
  • However, RBC and Morningstar both caution that the stock looks “a bit pricey” or “moderately overvalued”relative to historic averages and peers, suggesting much of the good news is already in the price. [28]
  • A Simply Wall St analysis this month notes that NatWest’s share price has risen about 263% over five years, while total shareholder return including dividends has exceeded 400%, implying a roughly 38% compound annual return for long‑term holders. [29]

In short, analysts largely agree that earnings quality and capital returns are attractive, but see less obvious upside from current levels unless the macro backdrop — or regulatory environment — turns out better than feared.


What to watch next for NatWest shareholders

For investors tracking NatWest Group’s share price beyond today’s small move, key upcoming catalysts include:

  1. The UK Budget next week
    • Any decision on bank taxes, levies or changes to the bank surcharge will be crucial for the whole sector. NatWest’s management has already warned that heavier taxes could dampen investment and growth. [30]
  2. Investor events
    • NatWest will host an “Investor Spotlight: Retail Banking” session on 25 November 2025, giving more detail on its UK retail strategy, margins and digital investment. [31]
  3. Ongoing fraud and cyber initiatives
    • Business clients can tune into NatWest’s “Fraud Unmasked – Protecting Your Business” webinar today, part of a broader programme focused on cyber‑security and scam prevention — an area that regulators and investors are watching closely. [32]
  4. Full‑year 2025 results in February 2026
    • Management has pencilled in 13 February 2026 for FY 2025 results, when it will confirm whether it met or exceeded its updated guidance for income and returns — and how much additional capital it plans to return to shareholders. [33]

Bottom line: NatWest share price today

On 20 November 2025, NatWest Group’s UK share price is drifting slightly lower around 580p, reflecting:

  • Caution ahead of a high‑stakes UK Budget that could tighten the tax screw on banks.
  • Steady support from a large ongoing share buyback and an attractive dividend stream.
  • A string of positive corporate developments — from investment in UK growth companies via Cushon to new capital‑markets technology — that strengthen the long‑term equity story even if they don’t spark immediate price jumps.

For existing shareholders, today’s move looks like a pause for breath rather than a change in direction. For potential buyers, the core question remains whether NatWest’s robust balance sheet, high returns and generous capital returns justify current valuations in a world where tax and regulatory risks may still surprise.

As always, this article is for information only and does not constitute personal investment advice. Anyone considering buying or selling NatWest Group shares should do their own research and, if needed, consult a regulated financial adviser.

UK Banks Escape Tax Hikes in Rachel Reeves Budget - Stock Surge & Economic Impact

References

1. www.investing.com, 2. www.investing.com, 3. www.londonstockexchange.com, 4. www.investing.com, 5. www.investing.com, 6. www.investing.com, 7. www.investing.com, 8. www.investing.com, 9. markets.ft.com, 10. dividendstocks.cash, 11. www.macrotrends.net, 12. cyprus-mail.com, 13. cyprus-mail.com, 14. www.proactiveinvestors.com.au, 15. www.investegate.co.uk, 16. www.londonstockexchange.com, 17. www.natwestgroup.com, 18. investors.natwestgroup.com, 19. www.uktech.news, 20. www.risk.net, 21. www.thesun.co.uk, 22. www.thesun.co.uk, 23. www.marketbeat.com, 24. www.reuters.com, 25. www.natwestgroup.com, 26. en.wikipedia.org, 27. finimize.com, 28. finimize.com, 29. simplywall.st, 30. cyprus-mail.com, 31. investors.natwestgroup.com, 32. www.natwest.com, 33. investors.natwestgroup.com

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