Pagaya Technologies Ltd. reported record third‑quarter results and lifted its 2025 outlook before today’s earnings call, citing broad‑based growth across personal loans, auto, and point‑of‑sale financing. The company also outlined a stronger funding posture heading into year‑end. [1]
Key numbers (Q3 2025)
- Total revenue & other income:$350.2M, +36% YoY (in line to above the prior outlook of $330–$350M).
- Network volume:$2.8B, +19% YoY.
- Fee revenue less production costs (FRLPC):$139M, +39% YoY.
- Adjusted EBITDA:$107M, up 91% YoY (above guidance of $90–$100M).
- Adjusted net income:$93M; GAAP net income attributable to shareholders:$23M.
These figures were disclosed in the company’s morning press release and supporting materials. [2]
A detailed 8‑K filed today adds the unaudited P&L, including $80.0M in GAAP operating income for Q3 and line‑item breakdowns. [3]
Guidance raised; Q4 outlook set
- Full‑year 2025 (FY25) guidance:
- Revenue & other income:$1.30B–$1.325B
- Adjusted EBITDA:$372M–$382M
- GAAP net income:$72M–$82M
- Implied Q4 2025 outlook:
- Revenue & other income:$333M–$358M
- Adjusted EBITDA:$99M–$109M
- GAAP net income:$25M–$35M
The company reiterated that it will discuss these ranges on today’s call at 8:30 a.m. ET with a replay available through Nov. 24, 2025. [4]
What’s driving the upgrade
Management highlighted a mix of volume growth and improved unit economics, particularly in Auto and Point‑of‑Sale (POS), alongside operating leverage as FRLPC scales faster than volume. The shareholder letter notes POS and Auto volumes at a $1.4B and $2.2B annualized run‑rate, respectively, and says roughly half of current volumes now come from newer products and features (e.g., affiliate optimizer, direct marketing engine). [5]
Funding & balance‑sheet moves
Pagaya underscored expanded and diversified funding channels:
- Corporate debt: Completed a $500M senior unsecured notes offering (rated by the three major agencies) and expanded its revolver to $132M while lowering its interest rate, actions the company frames as a “step‑function” improvement in funding costs. [6]
- Asset‑backed markets: Closed its second AAA‑rated $300M POSH revolving ABS in November and sold residual certificates in its November AAA‑rated Auto ABS, supported by One William Street Capital Management. [7]
- Forward flow in Auto: One week ago, Pagaya announced an auto loan forward‑flow agreement with Castlelake for up to $500M, adding to previously disclosed forward‑flow capacity and supporting the auto platform’s expansion. [8]
Street reaction & context
- Market response: Pre‑market coverage flagged a double‑digit pop after the record profit print; intra‑day moves will evolve as the call progresses and investors parse the outlook. [9]
- Coverage today: Wire services summarized the beat and guidance raise shortly after the release. [10]
Today’s events & near‑term catalysts
- Earnings call:Nov. 10, 2025 at 8:30 a.m. ET (webcast replay for 90 days). [11]
- Investor conferences: Management is slated to appear at KBW FinTech Payments (Nov. 12, New York) and Citi’s 14th Annual FinTech (Nov. 18, New York), with participation also listed at Stephens NASH2025 (Nov. 18, Nashville). [12]
Why it matters
Pagaya’s model—providing AI‑driven underwriting and credit infrastructure to banks and fintechs—depends on partner growth, predictable funding, and credit performance. The combination of record revenue, higher FRLPC, raised guidance, and fresh funding capacity suggests the company is scaling with improving margins into Q4. The auto forward‑flow and ABS executions are also notable in a year when consumer credit risk and funding costs have been under scrutiny. [13]
The bottom line
- Beat and raise: Q3 topped internal targets on profitability, and FY25 guidance moved higher across revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and GAAP net income. [14]
- Funding breadth: New corporate notes, a larger revolver, repeat AAA ABS, and a fresh auto forward‑flow deal broaden and stabilize liquidity. [15]
- Watch next: Q4 execution against the $333M–$358M revenue range, partner onboarding pace, and any commentary on credit trends in personal loans and auto. [16]
Sources: Company press release and 8‑K filing (Nov. 10, 2025); investor conference announcement (Oct. 30, 2025); Reuters and company IR on the Castlelake auto forward‑flow (Nov. 3, 2025); real‑time market coverage and price chart as shown above. [17]
Disclosure: This article is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.
References
1. www.businesswire.com, 2. www.businesswire.com, 3. www.sec.gov, 4. www.businesswire.com, 5. www.sec.gov, 6. www.businesswire.com, 7. www.businesswire.com, 8. www.reuters.com, 9. www.investing.com, 10. www.tradingview.com, 11. www.businesswire.com, 12. www.businesswire.com, 13. www.businesswire.com, 14. www.businesswire.com, 15. www.businesswire.com, 16. www.businesswire.com, 17. www.businesswire.com
