AI Frenzy Fuels Record Wall St Rally as Shutdown Drags On – Key Market News (Oct 6-7, 2025)

Stock Market Today 18.10.2025


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Three Cryptocurrencies to Buy Now: Bitcoin, Polkadot, and Chainlink

October 18, 2025, 8:18 AM EDT. During a volatile week, Bitcoin remains a hedge against geopolitical risk and currency instability, even as it trades down temporarily. The piece argues BTC offers a measured long-term thesis in a stressed macro environment. Polkadot sits about 70% below its 52-week high, but it's undergoing major upgrades (Polkadot 2.0) and a shift to inflation-resistant staking that could curb supply growth. Finally, Chainlink continues to play a vital role by delivering real-world data to smart contracts, anchoring the broader crypto ecosystem. While the market haircut has hit many names, quality crypto assets with clear use cases may offer upside once macro headwinds ease. Use caution, diversify, and avoid meme coins in favor of proven, technology-driven projects.

Is Ares Management Stock Undervalued After the Pullback? Valuation, Risks, and Growth Outlook

October 18, 2025, 8:16 AM EDT. Stocks talk: Ares Management (ARES) slipped over 20% in the last month as broader financials weighed on sentiment, despite solid earnings growth. The pullback has sparked talk of an undervalued entry point, with one narrative projecting a fair value around $191. The stock still shows a 268% total shareholder return over five years, but near-term momentum cooled. Bulls highlight diversification, growing perpetual capital, and a robust investment pipeline that supports recurring revenue and profit visibility. Bears point to a rich 84.2x earnings multiple versus industry peers (25.4x) and a fair multiple near 26.6x, suggesting valuation risk if market sentiment shifts. Key risks include intensified competition in private markets and tighter regulation that could pressure fee revenues. Readers should weigh growth prospects against price today and the broader industry backdrop.

iShares QUAL ETF Factor Report: Momentum and Quality Dominate

October 18, 2025, 8:12 AM EDT. iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF (QUAL) is a Large-Cap Quality ETF with Technology the largest sector and Business Services the top industry. The Validea report catalogs factor exposure: Value 22, Momentum 84, Quality 99, and Low Volatility 72 (scores 1-99). The standout is Quality at 99, supported by Momentum (84) and Low Volatility (72); Value remains modest at 22. This mix points to a core tilt toward high-quality, resilient holdings, with upside potential from momentum-driven tech leadership while emphasizing stability. The analysis reflects Validea's ETF fundamentals framework and includes standard disclosures.

XLU ETF Factor Report: High Momentum and Low Volatility in Utilities

October 18, 2025, 8:10 AM EDT. Validea's ETF fundamental review of SPDR Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) shows a tilt toward momentum and low volatility. As a Large-Cap Momentum ETF, XLU concentrates in the Utilities sector, with Electric Utilities as its largest industry. Factor scores place Value 63, Momentum 95, Quality 25, and Low Volatility 97, making Momentum and Low Volatility the standout attributes. The high Momentum and near-top Low Volatility readings imply potential for steady performance and upside in favorable markets, while the modest Quality score suggests durability considerations. This analysis comes from Validea's framework and highlights how XLU's profile aligns with utilities cyclicality and investors' risk tolerance.

IWO ETF Factor Report: Momentum Dominates, Technology Tilt Highlights Exposure

October 18, 2025, 8:08 AM EDT. Validea's ETF fundamental report on iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF (IWO) flags a strong Momentum tilt (score 78) with modest Value (18), Quality (8) and Low Volatility (6). IWO is a Mid-Cap Momentum ETF whose largest sector is Technology and biggest industry is Biotechnology & Drugs. The factors are scaled 1-99, with 99 signaling the highest exposure. The report highlights IWO's alignment with growth-oriented strategies, and notes Validea's research framework behind the analysis. Investors considering IWO should weigh the elevated momentum exposure against the comparatively weaker signals on Quality and Low Volatility.

XLK ETF Factor Report: Momentum and Quality Lead, Value and Low Volatility Lag

October 18, 2025, 8:06 AM EDT. The Validea fundamental report on SPDR Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) flags strong momentum (94) and quality (98) signals, with comparatively weak value (3) and low volatility at 29. As a Large-Cap tech ETF, XLK's portfolio is tech-heavy, with the largest sector exposure in Technology and the top industry in Software & Programming. The analysis notes XLK's tilt toward high-momentum and high-quality factors, which may influence performance in tech rallies, while the subdued value and lower low-volatility signals suggest sensitivity to market swings. Investors should weigh momentum/quality strength against weak value signals when assessing XLK's risk-return profile.

IWD ETF Fundamental Review: Value, Quality, Momentum and Low Volatility Exposure

October 18, 2025, 8:04 AM EDT. IWD, the iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF, is a Large-Cap, Multi-Factor ETF with its largest exposure in the Financial sector and Biotechnology & Drugs as the top industry. The factor scores show Value 64, Quality 51, Low Volatility 79 and Momentum 27. The standout is Low Volatility, signaling a bias toward more stable holdings within the Russell 1000 Value universe, while Momentum remains a secondary driver. As a value-oriented fund, IWD targets cheaper, financially stronger companies, balancing earnings quality with price. Investors should consider its sector tilt and industry exposures when evaluating risk/return, especially in periods of rate volatility and regulatory changes.

Assessing TSMC Valuation as Momentum Builds in 2024

October 18, 2025, 8:02 AM EDT. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC) keeps momentum as a key supplier in semiconductors. The stock has surged ~12.3% in the last month, with a YTD gain around 46.4% and a TTM return of ~48.6%, outperforming peers. At a P/E of 23.9x, the stock trades below the US peer group and broader sector averages, hinting at value opportunities versus a fair value benchmark near 43.5x. Our DCF model, however, suggests the stock trades slightly above fair value, signaling more muted upside than multiples might imply. Risks include demand shifts and supply-chain disruptions. If sentiment pushes valuations toward sector norms, TSMC could extend its upside, though near-term headwinds deserve monitoring.

Newmont (NEM) Valuation in Focus After 2024 Rally

October 18, 2025, 8:00 AM EDT. Newmont (NEM) has surged in 2024, sparking a closer look at its valuation. The stock gained about 136.6% YTD and roughly 56% over the last three months, delivering a 60.7% one-year total return including dividends. Market narrative pins a fair value of $88.91 – slightly below the recent close – setting up a tight valuation debate on whether the move reflects fundamentals or momentum. A rival DCF view yields a lower fair value around $78.85, suggesting the rally may outpace discounted cash flows. Key drivers include gold demand, successful integration of acquisitions, and efficiency/ESG initiatives supporting margins and capital access. Still, risks like production hiccups at major assets could reprice the story. Readers can build their own narrative using the latest data.

Stock Market Today – Oct 18, 2025: SoundHound AI, IIIN, SKHSY & FTLF Upgrades

October 18, 2025, 7:18 AM EDT. Markets are mixed as investors weigh growth vs valuation. SoundHound AI faces concerns despite $25M quarterly revenue, with a 300% rally since October; long-term upside tempered by execution risk and competition. On the upgrade front, IIIN climbs to 85% per Validea Zweig Strategy; Sekisui House (SKHSY) upgrades to 100% on O'Shaughnessy's framework, signaling durable earnings and valuation fit; FITLIFE Brands (FTLF) earns an 80% Joel Greenblatt score. Straits Research projects ~17% annual market growth through 2032 for voice AI, underscoring long-term tailwinds but valuation risk amid broad market rally.

Genmab's Rina-S Achieves 50% ORR in Advanced Endometrial Cancer, FDA Grants Breakthrough Therapy Designation

October 18, 2025, 7:16 AM EDT. Genmab A/S reports updated B2 cohort results from the Phase 1/2 RAINFOL-01 trial evaluating rinatabart sesutecan (Rina-S), an investigational ADC targeting folate receptor alpha (FRα) with a TOPO1 payload. At a median 1-year follow-up, 100 mg/m² every 3 weeks (Q3W) yielded an ORR of 50%, including two CR in heavily pretreated advanced endometrial cancer patients. Importantly, 63.6% of responders remained on treatment with ongoing responses at one year, and efficacy was observed irrespective of FRα expression. Genmab is continuing Rina-S as a single agent in Phase 2 (RAINFOL-01) and Phase 3 (RAINFOL-03) trials. FDA granted Breakthrough Therapy Designation (BTD) for adults with recurrent/progressive EC after platinum and PD-(L)1 therapy.

Diversified Energy to Transition Primary Listing to NYSE with London Secondary Listing

October 18, 2025, 7:14 AM EDT. Diversified Energy Company (GB:DEC) plans to transition its primary listing to the NYSE, while maintaining a secondary listing on the London Stock Exchange (LSE) through a UK scheme of arrangement that would form a new US parent holding company (NewCo). The circular outlines the transaction and shareholder meetings, with an expected effective date of 21 November 2025 and listing of NewCo shares on the NYSE and LSE by 24 November 2025. The latest analyst rating is Buy with a target of £18.00. Spark's AI analyst notes a Neutral stance despite a strong earnings call, citing high leverage and declining revenues. Technicals show bearish momentum and a negative P/E offset by a high dividend yield. Diversified Energy operates in natural gas and liquids, focusing on long-life assets, sustainability, and attracting shareholder value.

SoundHound AI (SOUN): Millionaire Dream or Market Risk by 2035?

October 18, 2025, 6:52 AM EDT. SoundHound AI is a specialized voice AI and speech-recognition company leveraging LLM tech to power hands-free and conversational interfaces. Customers like Toast, White Castle, Stellantis, and Pandora have adopted its technology, contributing $25 million in quarterly revenue (up 89% year over year). Projections from Straits Research put the global market growing around 17% annually through 2032, underscoring long-term upside. Yet the stock's 300% run since October signals rising enthusiasm, and valuation remains a concern. While the addressable market is real, the odds of SoundHound transforming into a millionaire-maker by 2035 look limited, given valuation risk, execution hurdles, and competitive pressure. Investors should balance growth potential with risk tolerance and consider how large a position to take.

Validea Zweig Strategy Upgrade: IIIN Rating Climbs to 85%

October 18, 2025, 6:50 AM EDT. Validea's Growth Investor model based on Martin Zweig has upgraded INSTEEL INDUSTRIES INC (IIIN) to 85% from 77%. The move reflects favorable fundamentals and valuation, with 80% often signaling interest and 90% signaling strong interest. IIIN is a small-cap in Construction – Supplies & Fixtures that manufactures steel wire reinforcing for concrete, including PC strand and Welded Wire Reinforcement (WWR) sold across the U.S., Canada, Mexico and beyond. The scoring table shows multiple tests passed, including P/E ratio, revenue growth relative to EPS, sales growth, current-quarter earnings, and debt/equity, as well as insider transactions. Notably, long-term EPS growth failed, which is a potential caveat for longer-term momentum despite the near-term strength.

Validea O'Shaughnessy Upgrade Signals Confidence in Sekisui House (SKHSY)

October 18, 2025, 6:48 AM EDT. Validea's Growth/Value Investor model upgraded Sekisui House Ltd – ADR (SKHSY) from 75% to 100% based on James P. O'Shaughnessy's framework. Sekisui House is a large-cap value stock in Construction Services with segments in detached housing, rental and commercial buildings, architecture, civil engineering, and international business. The upgrade signals the fundamentals and valuation meet the model's standards, placing SKHSY in strong interest territory (score 80%+). The strategy's tests show Market Cap PASS, Earnings Per Share Persistence PASS, Price/Sales Ratio PASS, and Relative Strength PASS, suggesting durable earnings growth and favorable valuation. This highlights how O'Shaughnessy's approach identifies both value and growth traits in Sekisui House as a potential candidate for investors seeking persistent earnings growth and robust relative strength.

Validea Joel Greenblatt Strategy Upgrade: FITLIFE Brands (FTLF) Scores 80%

October 18, 2025, 6:46 AM EDT. Validea updates its Joel Greenblatt Earnings Yield Investor model with FITLIFE BRANDS INC (FTLF). The rating climbed from 70% to 80% after evaluating the firm's fundamentals and valuation. In Greenblatt's framework, a score of 80% signals some interest; above 90% would indicate strong interest. FITLIFE is described as a small-cap biotechnology & drugs company that develops and markets nutritional supplements and wellness products under brands like NDS and iSatori. The model's test results show EARNINGS YIELD: NEUTRAL and RETURN ON TANGIBLE CAPITAL: NEUTRAL, with a FINAL RANKING: FAIL. Validea's summary references Greenblatt's 'Magic Formula' approach, which combines earnings yield and return on invested capital to identify value stocks. This upgrade highlights potential near-term attention but no buy signal from the model yet.

Validea John Neff Strategy Upgrades MGY to 79% in Low PE Investor Model

October 18, 2025, 6:44 AM EDT. Validea's Low PE Investor model upgraded Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) from 60% to 79% under the John Neff strategy, signaling potential interest as earnings growth compares favorably to valuation and yield. MGY is a mid-cap oil & gas explorer/producer focused in South Texas, with Eagle Ford and Austin Chalk assets and large acreage in Karnes and Giddings. The scoring table shows strengths in P/E and SALES GROWTH and FREE CASH FLOW, but EPS PERSISTENCE and FUTURE EPS GROWTH are mixed. The report also notes Neff's Windsor Fund legacy and historical performance. Overall, the upgrade suggests investors may re-evaluate MGY's earnings growth versus its valuation and dividend yield, with a watchful eye on profitability trends and cash flow.

Validea Kenneth Fisher Strategy Upgrades: Lantronix (LTRX) and Just Eat Takeaway (JTKWY) Move to 70%

October 18, 2025, 6:42 AM EDT. Validea's Price/Sales Investor model applying the Kenneth Fisher framework upgraded two stocks today. Lantronix Inc. (LTRX), a small-cap IoT and communications equipment play, rises from 58% to 70% as fundamentals and valuation align. Just Eat Takeaway.com NV (JTKWY), a Netherlands-based online food-delivery pioneer, also improves from 58% to 70% based on the same criteria. The report notes that a score of 80% or above signals some interest and a score above 90% signals strong interest. The strategy emphasizes low P/S ratios, sustained long-term EPS growth, solid free cash flow and consistent profit margins. Investors should watch how the IoT-enabled and food-delivery names fit the model's value-oriented lens.

Had $10,000 Invested in VOOG 10 Years Ago? Here's How Much It Would Be Today

October 18, 2025, 6:36 AM EDT. VOOG tracks the S&P 500 Growth Index, concentrating on roughly 216 of the strongest growth names from the broader S&P 500. Over the past decade, this growth tilt has outperformed the broad market, driven by tech leadership. The Information Technology sector makes up about 42.6% of the Growth Index, vs the S&P 500's 34.8%. The top holdings – Nvidia, Alphabet, Microsoft, Apple, Meta Platforms, Broadcom, Tesla, Amazon, Eli Lilly, and Visa – represent most of the exposure. Those 10 stocks have delivered a median return of around 870% in 10 years, vs about 235% for the S&P 500. Data source: Vanguard; weights as of Sept. 30, 2025. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Unity Software (NYSE: U) Valuation After AI-Powered Advertising Push

October 18, 2025, 6:34 AM EDT. Unity Software (NYSE: U) is reshaping its growth story with a new Senior VP for programmatic advertising-Chris Feo-as part of a broader AI-powered advertising push. With a share price of $35.24 and a -22.67% drop over the last month, the stock has still delivered 59.4% TSR in the past year. Optimism centers on a monetized shift into non-gaming markets, renewed strategy execution, and the rollback of the runtime fee. Some analyses see fair value of $38.48-implying the stock is undervalued-yet the 8.4x price-to-sales multiple exceeds peers and the company's own 7.7x fair ratio. Risks include advertising/gaming competition and execution pace. The question remains: will the transformation justify the multiple or is the move already priced in?

Barrick Gold Valuation After Quiet Rally: Narrative vs. DCF Signals

October 18, 2025, 6:32 AM EDT. Barrick Gold shares have quietly rallied, up about 13% in the last month and 109% year-to-date, with a 3-year total shareholder return near 139%. The stock trades below some targets, yet narrative-based fair value sits near $20 (overvalued) while a separate SWS DCF model pegs fair value around $35.40, implying potential undervaluation. A key driver is the Reko Diq Phase 1 budget of $5.6-$6 billion, projected to generate about $74 billion in free cash flow over 36 years, supporting returns amid macro uncertainty. Investors should weigh growth expectations, gold-cycle tailwinds, and risks from project delays or geopolitical factors as the valuation debate continues.

Nu Holdings Near Multi-Year Highs: Valuation Signals Opportunity (NYSE: NU)

October 18, 2025, 6:30 AM EDT. Nu Holdings (NYSE:NU) is trading near multi-year highs as the latest session adds about 2% and momentum remains buoyant: 41% YTD and 3.8% over the last year. Despite some short-term volatility, sentiment has improved, with shares just below analyst targets. At roughly $15.00, the stock trades above a calculated fair value of $16.99, implying potential upside if growth persists. The bull case hinges on Latin America's expanding digitally native population and the rapid adoption of Nu's app-based financial services, which drive user growth and revenue growth. Yet the stock carries a premium (P/E around 31.5x) versus banks average (11.2x) and peers, signaling high expectations. Risks include intensified competition and regulatory hurdles that could pressure margins.

1 Incredible Reason to Buy Shopify (SHOP) Stock in October

October 18, 2025, 6:28 AM EDT. Shopify (SHOP) stands out not for consumer sales but as a growing e-commerce platform with a rising revenue stream. The company processed $87B in gross merchandise volume in Q2, approaching Amazon's scale, while revenue grew 31% year over year to $2.7B. Shopify's strategy blends subscription and processing fees with expanding omnichannel solutions, reaching larger clients such as Starbucks and Canada Goose. International expansion and new services broaden its addressable market beyond the U.S., countering stronger competition from WooCommerce and Squarespace. With the stock up ~47% this year, a robust Q3 print on Nov. 4 could accelerate gains, but investors should also note caution from peers like The Motley Fool who doubt Shopify is among the top 10 picks now.

Social Security 2026 COLA Forecasts Rise to 2.7%-2.8%; What It Could Mean for Beneficiaries and Markets

October 18, 2025, 6:26 AM EDT. Key takeaways: The Social Security Administration will announce the 2026 COLA on Oct. 24-even if the budget dispute-driven government shutdown persists. Forecasts have edged up to 2.7% to 2.8%, implying an extra $54-$56 per month for the average retired worker. The calculation hinges on the CPI-W readings from the third quarter (July-September). The TSCL had been predicting 2.1%, but now expects higher, echoing accounts from analyst Mary Johnson. Inflation pressures-driven by tariffs and import costs-have pushed up the CPI-W, contributing to the higher COLA. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is reconvened in limited form to finalize September data, which will lock in the official raise for 2026.

3 Growth ETFs to Buy With $100 and Hold Forever: QQQ, VUG, and AIQ

October 18, 2025, 6:24 AM EDT. Growth stocks have led markets for years, and three ETFs give you simple exposure: QQQ, VUG, and the Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF (AIQ). QQQ tracks the Nasdaq-100, with innovation leaders like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Alphabet, and has posted strong long-term results. VUG targets U.S. large-cap growth, concentrated in top names such as Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Broadcom, and Meta. AIQ focuses on artificial intelligence and related technologies, offering a global angle. Even with a small starting point, such as $100, a disciplined dollar-cost averaging plan can compound over decades. If you stay invested and diversify gradually, you could build meaningful wealth while you hold these growth-focused ETFs for the long term.

Airbnb Stock Down 43% From ATHs; Long-Term Upside Seen as International Growth and AI Adoption Accelerate

October 18, 2025, 6:22 AM EDT. Airbnb (ABNB) trades around $123, well below its late-2021 highs and while Wall Street's consensus target sits near $139. The stock has fallen about 43% from its All-Time Highs, yet the business is expanding internationally and leveraging AI to improve pricing and operations. The article argues that upside lies in international expansion and localized product and marketing in large markets like Japan and other non-English-speaking regions, aiming to boost bookings, revenue, and earnings over the next decade. Management notes solid gross booking spend and a growing share in North America, while still nurturing growth in new markets. With Airbnb pursuing these levers, the author suggests the stock could move higher over the long term despite near-term pullbacks, supported by a Wall Street consensus target around $139.

2 Brilliant Fintech Stocks to Buy Now and Hold for the Long Term

October 18, 2025, 6:20 AM EDT. Two fintech names highlighted for long-term investors are Robinhood (HOOD) and SoFi Technologies (SOFI). The global fintech market is projected to grow at a CAGR of about 16.2% from 2025-2032, underscoring a secular tailwind as customers favor digital finance. After pullbacks from record highs, both stocks could offer patient investors upside as rates normalize and user metrics recover. Robinhood has expanded beyond trading with a Cash Card, digital payments, and a Gold tier; analysts expect 2024-2027 revenue to grow ~15% CAGR and EBITDA ~19% CAGR, with an EV around $51.4B and valuation near 28x this year's EBITDA. SoFi has broadened from student loans into banks, mortgages, credit cards, and more, aiming to be a one-stop financial platform. Both blocks could compound meaningfully for long-term holders.

VeriSign Surges to Multiyear Highs on Berkshire Bets

October 18, 2025, 6:18 AM EDT. VeriSign (VRSN) has surged to multiyear highs despite broad market headwinds, fueled by Berkshire Hathaway's incremental bets. The company runs a near-monopoly on approving and enforcing the .com and .net domains through ICANN, collecting fees for domain registrations and related cybersecurity services. It isn't a growth name: expected revenue growth this year sits at a few percent, and the stock trades at roughly 28x forward earnings. Still, a ~35% rally since November and Buffett's involvement add conviction for some investors. Risks include valuation risk and potential regulatory shifts or slower growth. VeriSign offers defensive exposure to the digital infrastructure theme, with Berkshire's stake signaling credibility but not a guarantee for all buyers.

The Average 401(k) Balance Today: What Vanguard's Data Really Reveals

October 18, 2025, 6:17 AM EDT. Vanguard's latest data shows the average 401(k) balance among savers at $148,153, but the median is $38,176, highlighting a skew where a small group with large balances lifts the average. That contrast means the typical American saver is likely farther from retirement readiness than the headline number suggests. Context matters: Vanguard's figures cover its own 401(k) participants, not all Americans. For many, a $38k nest egg is reasonable in their 20s or 30s, but alarming for those in their 50s. Strategies to catch up include maximizing the employer match and, if eligible, leveraging catch-up contributions after age 50 to boost savings more quickly.

Salesforce Bets on the Agentic Enterprise: Is CRM Stock a Buy Now?

October 18, 2025, 6:16 AM EDT.Salesforce outlined a long-term plan to hit at least $60 billion in revenue by fiscal 2030 and introduced a profitability yardstick combining growth with margins. Early AI agents traction on its Agentforce platform underscores a broader, unified data and workflow platform that could sustain double-digit organic growth through 2030. The company reports $1.2B ARR, about $440M agentic AI ARR, and more than 12,000 customers adopting Agentforce. Management targets a 50 by FY30 metric-subscription and support growth plus non-GAAP margin to reach 50 by 2030. Valuation remains rich but plausible if organic growth accelerates and AI adoption expands; upside hinges on faster execution and sustained cost discipline.

Experts Warn EV Makers: Rivian, Lucid, and Tesla Face 2026 Sales Slump

October 18, 2025, 6:15 AM EDT. Industry voices warn that Rivian (RIVN), Lucid (LCID), and Tesla (TSLA) may see a sharp demand hit in 2026 as EV regulatory credits lose their value and federal tax credits expired. The New York Times cautions that EV sales could be dreadful next year, with demand dropping as consumers lost a major subsidy that previously cut vehicle costs by up to $7,500. The result: a likely lumpy order book and slower growth for the trio, though Tesla's access to capital may cushion the impact. Investors should consider reallocation rather than wholesale exits, staying mindful that long-term EV adoption remains intact, but near-term profits could face meaningful pressure.

Trump Tariffs May Boost Social Security COLA for 2026: How Much and Why

October 18, 2025, 6:14 AM EDT. Social Security's COLA for 2026 is coming nine days late because of the federal shutdown, with the September inflation data still delayed. The calculation rests on the CPI-W, the inflation gauge behind the program's checks. President Trump's tariffs add a new inflationary variable, with a base 10% tariff and reciprocal measures that can lift consumer prices. Analysts say these tariffs could push inflation higher and help lift the COLA, though the exact amount will depend on the late September CPI-W data released Oct. 24. Some 70 million Social Security beneficiaries await the update, and observers are calling the shift a potential 'Trump bump' for retirees in 2026.

Nasdaq's Seventh Bull Market Since 1990 Suggests Big Moves Ahead in 2026

October 18, 2025, 6:13 AM EDT. Historically, the Nasdaq Composite has entered seven bull markets since 1990, delivering an average gain of 281% over about 5 years. The latest bull began after a 24% drop from its December peak, signaling a new cycle for growth-focused tech stocks. On average, bull runs lasted roughly 1,817 days, with notable stretches like the 1990s surge and the 2002 rebound. While past performance is not a guarantee, the pattern implies substantial upside potential if a similar trajectory unfolds into 2026 and beyond. Investors should weigh current economic risks against the long-run tendency of tech-heavy indices to trend higher in extended uptrends.

TEI CEF: Inconsistent Dividend Coverage Dims Appeal (NYSE: TEI)

October 18, 2025, 6:12 AM EDT. TEI CEF's appeal is muted by an uneven dividend coverage ratio, raising questions about the sustainability of its distribution. This piece analyzes how inconsistent coverage can erode investor confidence, impact the fund's yield reliability, and signal risk to total return. Key considerations include the fund's leverage, fees, and the stability of its underlying portfolio, as well as the NAV discount or premium. While closed-end funds can offer elevated income, a durable stream rests on transparent, steady coverage. For TEI, investors may prefer clearer coverage signals and a more predictable payout before embracing a larger allocation.

EV Incentives Erode Profitability as Detroit Automakers Push Deals

October 18, 2025, 6:11 AM EDT. The transition to mass EV adoption continues, but the loss of the federal $7,500 tax credit is squeezing automaker margins. With buyers facing higher prices, automakers are subsidizing demand through aggressive incentives and competitive leases rather than passing the credit directly to customers. GM and Ford scrapped certain financing loopholes but keep using generous deals; Hyundai is offering a $7,500 cash incentive on the 2025 Ioniq 5 and trimming 2026 pricing by almost $10,000. Stellantis also joined the incentive race. Cox Automotive data show EV incentives peaked at about 16% of ATP in July and stayed above 15% in September, well above pre-pandemic norms. With a wide price gap between EVs and internal-combustion vehicles, incentives are a necessary evil to drive demand, as the average new-vehicle price hovers near $47,962. Detroit's strategy: leverage deals to move inventory and protect margins.

Two Stocks With Potential to Double in 3 Years: Opendoor & Dutch Bros

October 18, 2025, 6:10 AM EDT. Two stocks with potential to double in a few years: Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) and Dutch Bros (BROS). Opendoor's digital home-buying platform could benefit from a housing-market rebound and an expanding P/S ratio, though it remains unprofitable and carries significant debt. A recovery in real estate activity and lower rates could lift revenue and valuation. Dutch Bros is a fast-growing coffee chain expanding to 900+ locations, supported by rising same-store sales and robust unit growth, while trading at a reasonable multiple relative to growth. Risks for both include cyclicality, margin pressure, and the need for sustained profitability. If a recovery scenario materializes, the upside could be meaningful over the next few years.

Nasdaq's Seventh Bull Market Since 1990 Could Signal Big Moves in 2026

October 18, 2025, 6:09 AM EDT. The Nasdaq Composite has entered its seventh bull market since 1990, fueling expectations of meaningful upside into 2026 and beyond. History shows average gains of about 281% across these seven cycles, spanning roughly 1,817 days (about five years) with an implied ~33% annual compound return. The cycles began in 1990, 1998, 2002, 2018, 2020, and 2022, with durations from a few months to nearly 16 years. An oddity: the 2002-2015 stretch didn't deliver a new high until 2015 after the dot-com crash, blurring the bear market line. While past results aren't guarantees, the Nasdaq's tech and growth tilt could amplify gains if history rhymes.

ISS Urges Tesla Investors to Reject Musk's Near-$1 Trillion Pay Plan Ahead of 2025 Vote

October 18, 2025, 6:08 AM EDT. Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS) has urged Tesla investors to vote against the proposed compensation for Chief Executive Elon Musk that could unlock nearly $1 trillion in stock. The "mega performance equity award" is tied to ambitious metrics, and ISS says the grant may not align with shareholder interests, despite potential value if targets are met. Tesla's annual meeting and proxy vote are set for November 5, 2025. In response, Tesla criticized ISS on X for missing fundamental points of investing and governance and noted that the firm had opposed packages shareholders had already approved. Tesla is urging investors to support the board's recommendations on all items in the 2025 proxy.

Fabrinet (FN) Valuation in Focus After Leadership Changes and HPC-AWS Push

October 18, 2025, 6:07 AM EDT. Fabrinet (FN) is drawing attention after founder David T. Mitchell retires and Seamus Grady becomes Chairman, with Caroline Dowling joining the board. The stock has rallied, up about 31% in three months and 86% year-to-date, trading near $409.9. Over the past year, FN delivered 68.7% TSR and 5-year TSR of 543%. The bullish narrative points to expansion into high-performance compute (HPC) manufacturing and a new AWS partnership, expanding the addressable market and diversifying revenue. Yet the street peers a fair value around $352.88, painting FN as overvalued relative to that level. Key risks include customer concentration and ongoing supply chain challenges. Investors are weighing whether the leadership changes and growth catalysts justify the premium or if the rally already priced in future growth.

Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) Valuation in Focus as Shares Rally

October 18, 2025, 6:06 AM EDT. Alibaba Group Holding (NYSE:BABA) extended its rally with a ~1% daily move as momentum builds after a 39% 3-month rise and a near 66% 1-year total return. The stock trades roughly 17% below analyst price targets, fueling questions about whether the rally represents sustainable growth or rising risk. On valuation, the ~17.9x P/E sits below peers and the industry, suggesting potential value even as macro headwinds and regulatory tensions temper upside. Bulls spotlight AI and cloud momentum, a dominant e-commerce position, and robust cash generation; skeptics note the still-negative five-year total return and mixed long-term growth assumptions. In sum, near-term upside may exist, but longer-term upside depends on policy risk and execution.

Boston Scientific's Rapid Rise: Is 2025 Growth Still in the Cards?

October 18, 2025, 6:05 AM EDT. Boston Scientific has surged, delivering returns with 167% over five years, 144.6% in three, and 11% YTD. The stock shows strength despite a choppy medical device backdrop, but a closer look at valuations raises questions: the firm scores 1/6 on undervaluation. Using a DCF framework, analysts estimate a fair value around $79.37 per share, yet the current price sits about 25% above that mark, suggesting overvaluation by that method. The piece also outlines how FCF of roughly $3.45B in the trailing year could grow to $4.45B by 2027 and potentially above $7.2B in a decade, implying a broader debate on true value beyond traditional models.

BRP (TSX:DOO) Valuation After Rally: Is the Stock Still Undervalued?

October 18, 2025, 6:04 AM EDT. BRP (TSX:DOO) has captured momentum with a ~40% rally over three months, while a 1-year total return near 21% reflects renewed investor optimism around growth. The latest narrative suggests analysts see upside, with a fair value of CA$102.82 versus a CA$94.50 close. The rally is anchored by BRP's expanding electric lineup-Outlander electric ATV and electric motorcycle-and modular design efficiencies expected to drive topline growth and margin expansion amid electrification trends. However, macro uncertainty and potential delays in electrification could temper upside. The fair value signals undervalued status for now, but investors should weigh execution risk, EV demand cycles, and regulator momentum. For readers who want to explore the numbers, a deeper dive into the narrative reveals key bets and risks behind the forecast.

U.S. IPO Weekly Recap: Six Deals On Deck Amid Government Shutdown Fears

October 18, 2025, 6:02 AM EDT. U.S. IPO Weekly Recap: Six deals lined up despite a looming government shutdown, underscoring ongoing appetite for new listings. Renaissance Capital notes that six companies are on track to go public this week, highlighting sector mix and expected pricing ranges. Even as policy uncertainty rises, the IPO window remains active with strong pre-IPO research interest from institutional investors. The firm behind the recap points to robust demand patterns and careful valuations via its IPO Pro platform. Look for updates on pricing, first-day pops, and aftermarket performance as regulators and markets navigate near-term risk. This recap offers a concise view of the week's activity and what it means for investors.

STEP Energy Services to Go Private in C$5.50/Share All-Cash Deal With ARC Financial

October 18, 2025, 6:01 AM EDT. STEP Energy Services Ltd. (STEP.TO) has agreed to go private through an all-cash arrangement with ARC Energy Fund 8 and ARC Financial Corp. Under the definitive arrangement, ARC will acquire all outstanding shares not already owned, at C$5.50 per share, valuing the company with a premium of about 29% to the Sept. 24 close. The transaction is subject to shareholder approval (including minority holders), court approval, and other closing conditions. Closing is targeted for around December 16, 2025, after the shareholder meeting and final court order. Upon completion, STEP will be delisted from the TSX and cease to be a reporting issuer. Operations will continue under the current management led by CEO Steve Glanville.

Volatility Returns: VIX Rises as Trade Tensions, Bank Defaults, and AI Bets Roil U.S. Stocks

October 18, 2025, 6:00 AM EDT. U.S. equity markets are rattled as the fear gauge (VIX) climbs, signaling renewed concern about volatility even after major indices edged higher this week. Traders point to a confluence of risks – a potential trade war, defaults in regional banks, and doubts about an AI bubble – fueling a volatile period unseen since April. The VIX briefly hit an intraday high of 28.99, then closed near 20, a level unusual for this year. Investors are flocking to options that pay if the VIX spikes to 47.5-50, underscoring rising anxiety. As strategist Jordan Rizzuto notes, risk appears to be expanding, suggesting higher market volatility ahead even as the S&P 500 hovers near highs.

Boeing’s Turbulent Week: Big Deal Greenlights, Strike Drama, and Hopes of a Comeback
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Boeing’s Turbulent Week: Big Deal Greenlights, Strike Drama, and Hopes of a Comeback

Solana (SOL) Price Rollercoaster: From $250 Uptober High to $185 – Will It Rebound to $300?
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Solana (SOL) Price Rollercoaster: From $250 Uptober High to $185 – Will It Rebound to $300?

Stock Market Today

  • Three Cryptocurrencies to Buy Now: Bitcoin, Polkadot, and Chainlink
    October 18, 2025, 8:18 AM EDT. During a volatile week, Bitcoin remains a hedge against geopolitical risk and currency instability, even as it trades down temporarily. The piece argues BTC offers a measured long-term thesis in a stressed macro environment. Polkadot sits about 70% below its 52-week high, but it's undergoing major upgrades (Polkadot 2.0) and a shift to inflation-resistant staking that could curb supply growth. Finally, Chainlink continues to play a vital role by delivering real-world data to smart contracts, anchoring the broader crypto ecosystem. While the market haircut has hit many names, quality crypto assets with clear use cases may offer upside once macro headwinds ease. Use caution, diversify, and avoid meme coins in favor of proven, technology-driven projects.
  • Is Ares Management Stock Undervalued After the Pullback? Valuation, Risks, and Growth Outlook
    October 18, 2025, 8:16 AM EDT. Stocks talk: Ares Management (ARES) slipped over 20% in the last month as broader financials weighed on sentiment, despite solid earnings growth. The pullback has sparked talk of an undervalued entry point, with one narrative projecting a fair value around $191. The stock still shows a 268% total shareholder return over five years, but near-term momentum cooled. Bulls highlight diversification, growing perpetual capital, and a robust investment pipeline that supports recurring revenue and profit visibility. Bears point to a rich 84.2x earnings multiple versus industry peers (25.4x) and a fair multiple near 26.6x, suggesting valuation risk if market sentiment shifts. Key risks include intensified competition in private markets and tighter regulation that could pressure fee revenues. Readers should weigh growth prospects against price today and the broader industry backdrop.
  • iShares QUAL ETF Factor Report: Momentum and Quality Dominate
    October 18, 2025, 8:12 AM EDT. iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF (QUAL) is a Large-Cap Quality ETF with Technology the largest sector and Business Services the top industry. The Validea report catalogs factor exposure: Value 22, Momentum 84, Quality 99, and Low Volatility 72 (scores 1-99). The standout is Quality at 99, supported by Momentum (84) and Low Volatility (72); Value remains modest at 22. This mix points to a core tilt toward high-quality, resilient holdings, with upside potential from momentum-driven tech leadership while emphasizing stability. The analysis reflects Validea's ETF fundamentals framework and includes standard disclosures.
  • XLU ETF Factor Report: High Momentum and Low Volatility in Utilities
    October 18, 2025, 8:10 AM EDT. Validea's ETF fundamental review of SPDR Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) shows a tilt toward momentum and low volatility. As a Large-Cap Momentum ETF, XLU concentrates in the Utilities sector, with Electric Utilities as its largest industry. Factor scores place Value 63, Momentum 95, Quality 25, and Low Volatility 97, making Momentum and Low Volatility the standout attributes. The high Momentum and near-top Low Volatility readings imply potential for steady performance and upside in favorable markets, while the modest Quality score suggests durability considerations. This analysis comes from Validea's framework and highlights how XLU's profile aligns with utilities cyclicality and investors' risk tolerance.
  • IWO ETF Factor Report: Momentum Dominates, Technology Tilt Highlights Exposure
    October 18, 2025, 8:08 AM EDT. Validea's ETF fundamental report on iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF (IWO) flags a strong Momentum tilt (score 78) with modest Value (18), Quality (8) and Low Volatility (6). IWO is a Mid-Cap Momentum ETF whose largest sector is Technology and biggest industry is Biotechnology & Drugs. The factors are scaled 1-99, with 99 signaling the highest exposure. The report highlights IWO's alignment with growth-oriented strategies, and notes Validea's research framework behind the analysis. Investors considering IWO should weigh the elevated momentum exposure against the comparatively weaker signals on Quality and Low Volatility.
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