Stock Market Today 18.11.2025

US AI debt bubble risk looms as China faces its arithmetic problem, experts warn

November 18, 2025, 1:16 AM EST. Two veteran observers warn that the US and China face looming macro risks beyond trade. At UBS in Sydney, Marc Sumerlin and Michael Pettis flagged signs of strain in money markets and growing concerns about a debt bubble forming in the AI sector. Sumerlin cautions that while inflation may not be sustained, the pace of job creation could slow as firms curb hiring ahead of the AI cycle. He argues the Fed should balance rate cuts against inflation risk, noting a December path and potential further easing next year. Tariff rhetoric and policy choices – including using revenue for broad tax cuts – could lift inflation. Meanwhile, authorities must monitor AI investment's impact on employment and the broader economy as global demand shifts.

Three Under-$10 Stocks With Questionable Fundamentals: A Cautionary Look

November 18, 2025, 1:14 AM EST. Stocks trading between $1 and $10 often carry higher risk despite a lower price tag. In this review, three tickers under $10-Bloomin' Brands (BLMN), Red Robin (RRGB) and Titan International (TWI)-are highlighted for questionable fundamentals. The analysis points to sluggish same-store sales and flat estimated next-12-month sales for BLMN, a 7× net debt-to-EBITDA ratio, and a 6.8x forward P/E that may limit upside. For RRGB, EPS contraction over six years and a 9× debt load raise downside risk as revenue stalls. TWI shows 1- to 2-year revenue declines and a 73.4% drop in EPS, with a 25.2x forward P/E implying stretched valuation. The takeaway: tread carefully; seek alternatives with stronger earnings visibility.

Nvidia Watcher alert: Michael Burry hints at big moves ahead of Nov. 25

November 18, 2025, 1:12 AM EST. NVDA investors are watching a fresh twist as Michael Burry re-enters the scene with bearish bets, critiques of the AI boom, and a plan that could matter on Nov. 25. Burry's Scion Asset Management has been deregistered with the SEC, fueling speculation about what's next-more bets against Nvidia and Palantir, or a new venture altogether. Nvidia remains a crown jewel of AI/graphics with a $4.62 trillion market cap, but valuation concerns linger as the stock trades around a lofty forward P/E of about 41.8x and gains have paused after a strong YTD run of roughly 38%. The episode underscores how even the AI rally faces contrarian scrutiny amid macro tensions and potential bubbles.

CoreWeave Could Parabolic After Nvidia Earnings as AI Cloud Deals Heat Up

November 18, 2025, 1:10 AM EST. CoreWeave (CRWV) is a highly volatile data-center stock riding AI and cloud-computing momentum. After a sharp drop tied to supply-chain issues, investors are watching whether a Nvidia earnings beat can spark a rebound in CoreWeave. The growth story remains intact with rising revenue from AI cloud workloads, but the stock's near-term risk remains clear amid ongoing supply constraints and chatter of an AI spending bubble. Deals in the sector continue to roll in: Microsoft and partners like Iren Limited, Nebius, and CrowdStrike signaling healthy demand for AI infrastructure. If Nvidia signals stronger AI infrastructure spending, CoreWeave could revive the parabolic moves seen earlier this year. Still, investors should weigh risk and volatility before chasing the rally, as earnings calls and project delays can swing CRWV.

Sezzle Slump Signals Potential BNPL Turnaround: Could It 10x?

November 18, 2025, 1:08 AM EST. Sezzle (SEZL) has fallen about 70% from its peak this year as fintech peers face a weaker credit backdrop. The stock trades around a forward P/E of about 16, and the business is growing quickly despite rising credit risk. In Q3, GMV rose 58.7% to $1B, revenue up 67% to $116.8M, and adjusted EBITDA up 75% to $39.6M, while MODS reached 784,000. Leadership changes at the CFO slot raise near-term uncertainty, even as fundamentals look solid. The stock's valuation and improving metrics may offer a potential recovery upside-but investors should weigh credit risk, BNPL competition, and execution risk before extrapolating a 10x move.

Berkshire Hathaway: The Best Financial Stock to Hold in Uncertain Times

November 18, 2025, 1:06 AM EST. Uncertainty weighs on markets, and financials are especially sensitive to the economy and interest rates. Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A/BRK.B) emerges as the best financial stock to hold in such times thanks to a diverse revenue stream, a fortress balance sheet, and a large cash cushion. Its core insurance business generated more than $22.6 billion in net earnings in 2024 and produces massive float that funds a sprawling $300B+ equities portfolio. Berkshire also posts solid contributions from its rail, energy, manufacturing, and service segments and maintains a cash and short-term government bond pile north of $377B. This mix supports earnings durability, prudent capital allocation, and resilience through rate moves and volatility. Investors should note analyst debates about which stocks to buy now, underscoring ongoing market uncertainty.

Bitcoin Slumps Toward $90K as $1 Trillion Crypto Rout Sparks Bear Market Fears

November 18, 2025, 1:04 AM EST. Bitcoin slid toward $90,000 after peaking at $126,000 in October, dragging the broader crypto market into bear-market territory. Traders flee as the crypto market cap dropped to about $3.26 trillion, wiping roughly $1 trillion from its value. Analysts warn a further decline could follow, with liquidity concentrated around the $89,000-$94,000 zone, and a theoretical move toward the $72,000-$74,000 band discussed as a worst-case scenario. The selloff comes amid Federal Reserve uncertainty and technical patterns, including a descending channel since mid-October. While some remain bullish longer term, the near-term outlook is for continued consolidation and potential further downside before any durable rebound.

Bond King Warns Private Credit Could Spark the Next Financial Crisis

November 18, 2025, 1:02 AM EST. Jeffrey Gundlach, the so-called Bond King and CEO of DoubleLine Capital, warned on Bloomberg's Odd Lots that private credit could be the next financial crisis trigger. He argues the sector has grown from roughly $46 billion in 2000 to about $1 trillion by 2023, with Morgan Stanley projecting roughly $3 trillion early in 2025. Critics point to opacity, illiquidity, and high leverage as systemic risks amid recent corporate bankruptcies. JPMorgan cautioned that, while private credit now accounts for less than 10% of corporate debt, it's still a potential destabilizer; the bank said distress here is unlikely to trigger a broad banking panic. Gundlach notes timing is unknowable, comparing the warning to his early concerns about mortgages before the 2008 crisis.

Nvidia-led AI craze drags U.S. stocks lower; Bitcoin slump hits Coinbase, Robinhood

November 18, 2025, 12:59 AM EST. The U.S. stock market slid Monday as Nvidia and other AI-fueled stars cooled, with the S&P 500 down 0.9%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping 557 points (1.2%), and the Nasdaq retreating 0.8%. Nvidia was the largest drag, slipping about 1.8%, while other AI winners including Super Micro Computer tumbled 6.4%. High-momentum areas, including crypto-linked names, also eased as Bitcoin fell below $92,000 from about $125,000 last month, weighing on Coinbase (−7.1%) and Robinhood (−5.3%). The piece notes concerns about stretched valuations after a sharp rally since April, with critics warning the AI frenzy has pushed many names too high. The article also touches on drug pricing moves by Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly, plus geopolitics around a Ukrainian defense firm, though these are secondary to the market action.

PhysicsWallah IPO: GMP Rises as Rs 3,480-crore Issue Heads to D-Street – Buy, Sell or Hold?

November 18, 2025, 12:56 AM EST. PhysicsWallah's IPO is not aimed at near-term gains, says Bhavik Joshi of INVasset PMS. The issue marks a pivotal moment for India's edtech sector, reflecting a shift from online popularity to institutional scale. The company's revenue surged from ₹772 crore in FY23 to over ₹3,000 crore in FY25, signaling strong top-line traction and brand stickiness in a competitive market. Yet profitability remains a challenge, with cumulative losses crossing ₹1,400 crore between FY23 and FY25 and negative earnings. With a demanding valuation multiple, the IPO appears to be a bet on long-term execution rather than near-term returns.

Tenneco Clean Air India IPO: Check Date, GMP & Expected Price Ahead of D-Street Debut

November 18, 2025, 12:54 AM EST. Tenneco Clean Air India, the Tier I automotive components supplier under the US-based Tenneco Group, is positioning for an IPO as it eyes a debut on the public markets. The parent company reported FY2024 revenue of $16,777 million and traces its Indian roots to 1979 with a Parwanoo facility. It specializes in clean air, powertrain and suspension solutions for passenger and commercial vehicles, plus industrial applications, with aftermarket reach via Motocare India. Apollo Global Management took Tenneco private in a $7.1 billion all-cash deal completed in November 2022. With the pending D-Street listing, investors will be watching for the GMP and the expected share price, as well as the official listing date. The move signals a notable return to public markets for a legacy supplier.

IonQ (IONQ) Valuation in Focus After Recent Price Moves

November 18, 2025, 12:34 AM EST. IonQ (IONQ) stock gave back some gains after a 24% drop over the past month, even as it posted a 30% gain in the last three months. The shares rose about 1% in the latest session, with the one-year return near 89%, underscoring renewed momentum for quantum tech names. The stock trades at a P/B ratio of about 7.4x, higher than the peer average but well above the broader US Tech sector, signaling investors' expectations for faster growth or valuable intellectual property. Yet persistent losses and the valuation premium remain key risks. Is IonQ undervalued at current levels, or is the market already pricing in future gains? Investors should weigh growth prospects against the narrative around the sector.

PhysicsWallah IPO Debuts Strongly on NSE and BSE; Premium Listing Signals Positive Debut

November 18, 2025, 12:30 AM EST. PhysicsWallah Ltd debuted in the Indian market today, listing on both the NSE and BSE after closing its IPO on Nov 13. The stock opened at ₹145 on NSE (about a 33.03% premium to the ₹109 issue price) and ₹143.10 on BSE (≈ 31% premium). The IPO was subscribed 1.81x, raising about ₹3,480.71 crore from a blend of fresh issue ₹3,100.71 crore and OFS ₹380 crore, with a price band of ₹103-₹109. Pre-listing GMP suggested a ~13% upside. The listing marks a strong debut for the edtech sector, with the share price continuing to be tracked in our live blog.

Two Technical Signals Hint Bitcoin Bear Market as Death Cross and 50-Week Break Emerge

November 18, 2025, 12:28 AM EST. Bitcoin's chart deterioration deepened with a death cross and a weekly close below the 50-week moving average, fueling bear market talk. The asset sits around $91,600 after a ~14% weekly drop, the first weekly close beneath this level since October 2023. On-chain metrics are broadly bearish-eight of ten in the CryptoQuant Bull Score red-while derivatives show traders piling into downside bets. A relief rally would require a close above $105,000, aided by a dovish Fed and positive data. Still, some indicators hint dip buyers: rising funding rates and depth bids around the 5-10% range, underscoring mixed sentiment as risk-off dynamics persist alongside traditional markets and AI-stock profit-taking.

Asian Market Value Stocks: 3 Companies Trading Below Intrinsic Value

November 18, 2025, 12:26 AM EST. An analysis of Asian markets highlighting stocks trading below their intrinsic value based on a cash-flow screener. The report cites stocks with prices versus fair value and large discounts to fair value (around 49%), including Wellness Communications, Tibet Tianlu, Seegene, Nippon Thompson, Nichicon, Mobvista, LianChuang Electronic Technology, JINS Holdings, EVE Energy, and EMRO. It also highlights screened-out examples: Offcn Education Technology (27.7% discount) and Lucky Harvest (41.8%), noting revenue growth forecasts but risks like debt coverage and dividend stability. The piece emphasizes these names may be undervalued due to cash-flow strength, yet investors should evaluate earnings growth prospects, debt service, and market volatility before investing.

Pinkfong's Baby Shark Studio Soars on Seoul IPO Debut, Shares Jump Up to 60%

November 18, 2025, 12:24 AM EST. Shares in The Pinkfong Company, the studio behind the global hit "Baby Shark", jumped on its market debut in Seoul, climbing as much as 60% intraday and trading around 17% above the IPO price of 38,000 won. Analysts said the move follows typical first-day patterns. The company posted revenue of 97.4 billion won and operating profit of 18.8 billion won last year, driven by online content and live shows. CEO Kim Min-seok has highlighted a model that recoups production costs through YouTube and apps, reducing distributor dependence. The IPO underscores Korea's status as a global pop culture hub, home to K-pop, Netflix hits, and viral phenomena.

Bitcoin Dives Below $90,000 as Death Cross Signals Deeper Selloff

November 18, 2025, 12:22 AM EST.Bitcoin plunged below $90,000 on Coinbase, erasing virtually all 2025 gains after failing to reclaim $93,700 and slipping through the 200-day moving average. The break ignited a classic death cross with the 50-day crossing the 200-day moving average, suggesting further downside as liquidity dries and ETF inflows fade. U.S. spot-ETF flows have stalled after a roughly $25 billion year-to-date, while corporate buyers pause and retail fear spikes-the crypto Fear & Greed Index sits at 11, its lowest since 2022. Bitcoin's social dominance has risen, a pattern seen near capitulations. Analysts warn pockets of liquidity could target $86,000-$88,000 in the near term, though some see potential for a relief rally if ETF outflows stabilize and macro data turns softer.

Stock Market Today: Sensex Advances 388 Points, Nifty Up 103 as PSU Banks Lead; FPIs Turn Net Buyers Ahead of Trade on Nov 18

November 18, 2025, 12:12 AM EST. In today's session, the Sensex rose to 84,950.95, up 388.17 points (0.46%), while the Nifty settled at 26,013.45, up 103.40 points (0.40%). Broad-based gains saw PSU Banks and Financial Services stocks lead the advance, each climbing more than 1%. FPIs turned net buyers after five straight sessions, adding about Rs 400 crore to equities. The Gift Nifty trades around the 26,000 mark, suggesting a muted start for the benchmark as markets eye the Nov 18 trade.

Is Cigna Group a Bargain After Its 14% Slide? Valuation Signals in Focus

November 18, 2025, 12:09 AM EST. Is Cigna Group a bargain after a 14% slide? The insurer has clawed back 5.1% in the past week but remains down 14.2% year over year, with policy shifts weighing on sentiment. The piece notes that DCF-based fair value clocks in at $1,025.26 per share, implying a 73.5% discount to current prices and a potential margin of safety. Analysts project free cash flow rising from $7.03B now to about $11.24B by 2029, supporting an undervalued thesis. Yet ongoing healthcare-cost debates and payer-reimbursement dynamics continue to fuel volatility. The stock earns a 6/6 undervalued score on our valuation checks, reinforcing the case for deeper due diligence before any move.

Klarna Group (KLAR) Valuation Under Spotlight as Shares Edge Higher

November 18, 2025, 12:06 AM EST. Klarna Group (KLAR) shares rose ~2% after a mixed month, but the stock remains about 24% lower year-to-date. The move hints at stabilizing momentum as investors weigh growth prospects against profitability headwinds. At a last close of $34.88, Klarna trades at a P/S ratio of 5.2x, well above the industry average (2.4x) and peers' 3.2x, signaling a premium for growth despite no earnings yet. The elevated multiple supports the OVERVALUED note, should growth slow or profitability stay elusive. The article also highlights risks and suggests exploring other fast-growing opportunities with potentially cleaner paths to profits. This is a general analysis, not financial advice.