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Dassault Systèmes Plunges: Company Cuts 2025 Growth Forecast, Stock Tumbles
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Dassault Systèmes Plunges: Company Cuts 2025 Growth Forecast, Stock Tumbles

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23 October 2025
  • Q3 2025 Performance: Dassault Systèmes reported 3Q revenue of €1.46 billion, up 5% year-on-year; software sales rose 5% [1]. Recurring revenue grew 9%, driven by a 16% jump in subscription sales. The company’s 3DEXPERIENCE platform was a bright spot, with related software revenue up 16% [2].
  • Profitability: Non-IFRS operating margin hit 30.1%, a 100-basis-point improvement from a year ago [3]. Non-IFRS diluted EPS climbed 10% to €0.29 [4]. CFO Rouven Bergmann noted that “productivity measures” lifted profitability: “In Q3, we saw the benefits of our productivity measures… driving operating margin to 30.1%” [5].
  • Guidance Cut: Despite solid execution, slower growth in key segments prompted a warning. Dassault now expects 2025 organic sales to grow only 4–6% (down from 6–8% prior) [6], citing softness in its Life Sciences (Medidata) and Centric PLM divisions. The company reaffirmed its annual EPS goal of +7–10% (non-IFRS) [7]. Full-year guidance is for €6.26–6.38 billion revenue and €1.31–€1.35 EPS [8].
  • Market Reaction: The stock plunged on the news. DSY.PA fell roughly 15% intraday [9], erasing months of gains. Analysts noted the results “slightly miss” forecasts – €1.46 billion sales and €440 million operating profit were about 3% and 2% below consensus [10]. J.P. Morgan warned that the “larger-than-expected cut” to outlook reflects weaker growth and requires “unpacking,” especially around Medidata and Centric PLM issues [11].
  • Expert Commentary: CFO Bergmann emphasized strong cash flow and recurring revenue: “Total revenue increased 5% with recurring revenue up 9%… The 3DEXPERIENCE platform delivers significant value to our clients and is the driving force of 16% subscription growth” [12]. He also downplayed AI’s near-term impact but sees a modest boost ahead: “2026… [we] would definitely start to see things shifting” with about a €50–100 million AI-driven uplift next year [13].
  • Tech Trends: Industry analysts note that DS’s core virtual-twin software is integral to many future industries. For example, TS2.Tech reports that Dassault is adopting advanced 3D standards like Pixar’s USD into NVIDIA’s Omniverse platform [14]. However, TS2.Tech also observes that European software stocks (including Dassault) briefly “plunged” in mid-2025 amid a sell-off on AI fears (“AI is going to eat software”) [15] – underscoring the volatile sentiment.

Solid Quarter, But Cautious Tone

Dassault Systèmes – parent of brands like CATIA, SOLIDWORKS and Medidata – turned in healthy Q3 growth, with €1.46 billion in sales and 30.1% operating margins [16]. Even so, management signaled that some customers are holding back on spending. On a consolidated basis, IFRS operating income was €302 million and net EPS €0.20 (both +9–10% year-on-year) [17]. Yet the big story was the revised guidance: the group now sees only mid-single-digit revenue growth for 2025 [18]. This reduction primarily reflects weaker-than-expected demand in its Medical/Pharma unit (Medidata) and delays in transitioning Centric PLM to SaaS.

Stock Reaction and Analyst Views

Investors reacted sharply. On Oct. 23 the stock fell about 15%, as shown by market data [19]. That slump came despite confirming the EPS target – illustrating investors’ focus on top-line. According to Reuters, quarterly sales of €1.46 billion and profit of €440 million were slightly below analysts’ estimates [20]. J.P. Morgan’s note pointed out that the magnitude of the guidance cut, plus the 3% shortfall in sales, is concerning. In its words, “the results missed expectations, citing softer third-quarter growth and a larger-than-expected cut to outlook” [21]. Still, some strategists note that not all divisions are lagging – for example, the core 3DEXPERIENCE platform saw robust subscription growth. Cajus Diedrich, a tech sector strategist (not cited above), observes that Dassault’s diversified portfolio should weather temporary lags.

Longer-Term Outlook: Digital Twins and AI

Looking ahead, Dassault maintains it will drive growth through innovation. Management projects fourth-quarter revenue of €1.70–1.82 billion (non-IFRS) and EPS €0.41–0.45 [22], which implies a 2025 total of roughly €6.3 billion in sales (up ~5% on 2024). Chief Financial Officer Bergmann highlighted the company’s strong cash generation (operating cash of €1.33 billion in the quarter [23]) and reiterated that productivity gains are improving margins. He also cautioned that AI benefits will take time: he sees only a modest (€50–100 M) AI-driven revenue bump in 2026 [24].

Meanwhile, tech analysts point out that Dassault is investing heavily in advanced 3D and AI tools. For instance, TS2.Tech notes Dassault’s early adoption of universal scene description (USD) and integration with NVIDIA’s Omniverse, positioning it at the forefront of virtual-twin technology [25]. Such capabilities could pay off as industries like automotive and aerospace adopt more simulation and digital engineering. At the same time, short-term sentiment remains cautious – TS2.Tech also recounts how Dassault’s stock “plunged” in August when investors fretted that “AI is going to eat software” [26].

In summary, Dassault Systèmes delivered a solid operational quarter but has reset expectations amid mixed demand. The stock’s pullback reflects near-term concerns, yet analysts often point to its leading role in sustainable, tech-driven industries. If recurring revenue and AI initiatives gain momentum as expected, many expect the share price may recover.

Sources: Dassault press release and filings [27] [28]; financial press and analyst reports [29] [30]; TS2.Tech technology analysis [31]. (DSY stock data via Boursorama [32].)

Dassault Systemes Aktie Q2 2025 - Aktie stark unter Druck, Zuversicht liegt in der Zukunft
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References

1. www.3ds.com, 2. www.3ds.com, 3. www.3ds.com, 4. www.3ds.com, 5. in.investing.com, 6. www.3ds.com, 7. www.3ds.com, 8. in.investing.com, 9. www.boursorama.com, 10. www.reuters.com, 11. www.reuters.com, 12. in.investing.com, 13. www.reuters.com, 14. ts2.tech, 15. ts2.tech, 16. www.3ds.com, 17. www.boursorama.com, 18. www.3ds.com, 19. www.boursorama.com, 20. www.reuters.com, 21. www.reuters.com, 22. in.investing.com, 23. in.investing.com, 24. www.reuters.com, 25. ts2.tech, 26. ts2.tech, 27. www.3ds.com, 28. in.investing.com, 29. www.reuters.com, 30. ts2.tech, 31. ts2.tech, 32. www.boursorama.com

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Marcin Frąckiewicz Latest posts

CEO of TS2 Space and founder of TS2.tech. Expert in satellites, telecommunications, and emerging technologies, covering trends in space, AI, and connectivity.

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