Ford (F) Stock Plunges After Supplier Fire and EV Slump — Can It Rebound?

Ford Stock Today (November 18, 2025): Amazon Autos Deal, Tariff Headwinds and Analyst Target Lift

Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) is trading slightly higher on Tuesday, November 18, 2025, as investors digest a busy stream of headlines – from a new Amazon Autos partnership and fleet-charging initiatives to fresh commentary on tariffs and a higher Wall Street price target.


Ford stock price today and market context

By early afternoon U.S. trading, Ford stock is changing hands at around $12.97–$12.98, up roughly 0.7–0.8% versus Monday’s close of $12.88. [1]

That gain comes against a weaker broader market: the S&P 500 is down about 0.8% and the Nasdaq Composite off more than 1%, as investors fret over tech earnings and U.S. rate expectations. [2]

Key trading metrics for Ford today:

  • Intraday range: roughly $12.78 to $13.01 [3]
  • Volume: just over 20 million shares so far, below the average daily volume of about 30.7 million [4]
  • 52‑week range:$8.44 to $13.97 [5]

Ford shares have also staged a strong rebound in 2025. Market data compiled by Yahoo Finance and MarketScreener put the year‑to‑date total return at roughly 30–40%, significantly ahead of the S&P 500 over the same period. [6]


Jefferies raises Ford price target to $15, but consensus remains “Hold”

One of today’s most notable catalysts for Ford stock is a new analyst move from Jefferies. The firm lifted its price target on Ford from $12 to $15 while maintaining a Hold rating, in a note published early Tuesday. [7]

Jefferies’ move comes against the backdrop of a broadly cautious Wall Street view:

  • MarketScreener’s aggregated data show a mean analyst rating of “Hold” based on about 22 analysts, with an average target price around $12.4 per share, modestly below where the stock is trading today. [8]
  • MarketBeat’s latest survey similarly characterizes Ford as a consensus Hold, with a slightly lower average target near $11.73, reflecting mixed views on cyclical risk, tariffs and the EV transition. [9]

Taken together, today’s Jefferies target hike underscores improving sentiment after a strong year-to-date rally, but also reinforces the idea that many analysts see limited upside from current levels unless execution and macro conditions surprise to the upside.


Institutional flows: WBI Investments trims its Ford stake

On the ownership front, WBI Investments LLC disclosed a sharp reduction in its Ford position, providing another important data point for investors following institutional flows.

According to a MarketBeat summary of the firm’s latest 13F filing: [10]

  • WBI sold 309,532 Ford shares in the second quarter,
  • Cutting its stake by 54.6% to 257,214 shares,
  • Leaving the position worth about $2.79 million and representing 0.7% of WBI’s portfolio, its 22nd‑largest holding.

The same report notes that institutional investors and hedge funds hold roughly 59% of Ford’s outstanding stock, highlighting continued deep participation from professional investors despite some profit‑taking. [11]

WBI’s move looks more like portfolio rebalancing after a strong run than a wholesale vote of no confidence; Ford remains in the portfolio, and the broader institutional base is still substantial.


Amazon Autos partnership extends Ford’s digital retail reach

A key business story shaping the Ford narrative this week is the company’s move to deepen its online sales footprint via Amazon Autos.

Reporting from WardsAuto confirms that Ford will sell Ford Blue Advantage certified pre‑owned (CPO) vehicles on Amazon’s car‑shopping platform, initially in Los Angeles, Seattle and Dallas. [12]

According to that report and coverage from Jalopnik: [13]

  • Shoppers can browse CPO Ford inventory within a 75‑mile radius,
  • Apply for financing and complete paperwork online,
  • And then pick up the vehicle at a participating local dealer.
  • Vehicles come with a money‑back guarantee, allowing returns within 14 days or 1,000 miles, whichever comes first. [14]

For investors, the deal matters less for immediate unit volumes and more as a signal of Ford’s willingness to experiment with new distribution channels. The Amazon partnership could:

  • Increase visibility of Ford’s used inventory,
  • Support higher-margin CPO sales, and
  • Generate data on online buying behavior that informs future direct‑to‑consumer or omnichannel strategies.

While the program is in its early stages and limited to a few metro areas, it adds a structural positive to the long‑term Ford stock story around digital and e‑commerce capabilities.


Strategy and risks in focus at the Scotiabank Transportation & Industrials Conference

Ford management was also in the spotlight today at the Scotiabank Transportation & Industrials Conference, held at 9:00 a.m. ET and highlighted on the company’s investor relations site. [15]

In a detailed conversation, Andrew Frick, President of Ford Blue and Model E, outlined how Ford is navigating tariffs, supply disruptions and the EV transition. Key takeaways from an Investing.com summary and transcript include: [16]

  • Tariff headwinds: Ford faces an estimated $2 billion tariff headwind, but management says it has already offset about $1 billion through pricing, sourcing and cost actions.
  • Novelis supplier fire: A fire at aluminum supplier Novelis is expected to hit Q4 earnings by roughly $1.5–$2 billion due to lost F‑Series production, though Ford aims to recover about half of the lost volume as operations normalize.
  • Ford Pro performance: The Ford Pro commercial business continues to perform strongly, supported by investments in service infrastructure and software, reinforcing a key profit pillar beyond traditional retail.
  • Universal Electric Vehicle (UEV) platform: Ford is preparing to install its new UEV platform in Louisville, Kentucky in 2026. Frick described it internally as a potential “Model T moment”, aimed at delivering more affordable EVs based on lessons from the first generation of Ford electric vehicles.

Management also reiterated the company’s balanced powertrain strategy: rather than going “all in” on EVs, Ford has maintained significant investments in hybrids and internal‑combustion engines, particularly in F‑Series trucks, giving it flexibility to respond to shifting demand. [17]

For Ford stock holders, the message is mixed but clear: short‑term earnings are under pressure from tariffs and supply‑chain shocks, but the company is positioning for long‑term competitiveness in fleet, software and affordable EVs.


Tariffs remain a major overhang for Ford shares

Beyond the Scotiabank discussion, tariff risk remains one of the biggest macro wildcards for Ford stock.

A broader market analysis published today by The Motley Fool and republished via Nasdaq highlights investors’ concerns over new tariff plans under President Trump, noting that automakers such as Ford could face substantial cost increases. [18]

In that coverage, Ford CFO Sherry House estimates that proposed tariffs would represent roughly a $1 billion headwind in 2025, with a similar impact expected in 2026 if policies remain in place. [19]

Combined with the $2 billion broader tariff headwind referenced at today’s conference, these comments underscore why investors continue to price in political and policy risk for Ford and the wider auto sector, even as the company works to offset part of the burden.


Ford Pro’s smart‑charging trial: a blueprint for fleet electrification

Adding to today’s flow of news, Ford Pro is showcasing how it can help commercial customers manage the transition to electric vehicles.

An article in Automotive World describes a Ford Pro “smart charging” trial designed as a blueprint for fleets, emphasizing that managed charging can give operators the confidence to electrify by: [20]

  • Optimizing when vehicles charge to reduce energy costs,
  • Coordinating charging schedules across large fleets, and
  • Integrating with software tools and telematics to minimize downtime.

For investors, this trial reinforces the idea that Ford’s long‑term growth story is increasingly tied to software, services and fleet solutions, not just unit sales. Higher‑margin, recurring revenue from fleet management and charging services could help smooth earnings through the economic cycle.


New Dearborn headquarters keeps Ford in the spotlight

Although the ribbon‑cutting took place over the weekend, Ford’s new world headquarters in Dearborn, Michigan is still prominent in media coverage and investor conversations this week.

AP and local reports describe the facility as a 2.1‑million‑square‑foot, four‑story campus that is roughly double the size of Ford’s old “Glass House” and can accommodate about 4,000 employees. [21]

The new HQ features:

  • A “crown jewel” showroom for showcasing new vehicles and technologies,
  • A large food hall with multiple restaurants, and
  • Modern design studios and fabrication spaces intended to help Ford compete for engineering and software talent. [22]

While largely symbolic for near‑term earnings, the headquarters investment ties into the broader Ford+ transformation, signaling a long‑term commitment to innovation and culture – themes that can influence how investors value Ford’s brand and talent pipeline.


How today’s news fits into the Ford stock outlook

Putting all of today’s developments together, several themes stand out for Ford stock on November 18, 2025:

  1. Resilient trading in a weak market
    • Ford shares are up modestly even as major indices fall, suggesting that investors are willing to look past near‑term volatility in tech and macro headlines. [23]
  2. Analysts see incremental upside, but not a full re‑rating
    • Jefferies’ new $15 target and the still‑dominant Hold consensus reflect a view that Ford is executing better and managing the EV transition more prudently, but still faces tariff, cyclical and capital‑intensity risks. [24]
  3. Strategic moves underpin the long‑term story
    • The Amazon Autos partnership, smart‑charging trial, and UEV platform plans all point toward a future where Ford generates more value from software, services and digital retail in addition to hardware. [25]
  4. Macro and operational risks are real and sizeable
    • Tariff headwinds, the Novelis fire impact on F‑Series, and broader economic uncertainty could still weigh on margins and volumes over the next several quarters. [26]

For now, the market seems to be balancing Ford’s strong 2025 performance and strategic progress against these risks, resulting in a stock that trades near the top of its 52‑week range but still carries a cautious consensus rating.


Key things investors will be watching next

Over the coming months, market participants following Ford stock are likely to focus on:

  • Tariff policy developments in Washington and their impact on Ford’s cost structure and pricing power. [27]
  • Recovery from the Novelis supply disruption and how quickly F‑Series production normalizes. [28]
  • Adoption metrics for the Amazon Autos CPO program and customer behavior in early pilot cities. [29]
  • Growth and profitability in Ford Pro, including revenue from smart‑charging and fleet software. [30]
  • Execution milestones on the UEV platform and broader EV/hybrid roadmap. [31]

As always, this article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should consider their own financial situation and risk tolerance, and consult a qualified adviser before making any trading decisions.

Ford Mustang Dark Horse Soundcheck

References

1. www.investing.com, 2. www.investing.com, 3. www.investing.com, 4. www.investing.com, 5. www.investing.com, 6. finance.yahoo.com, 7. www.marketscreener.com, 8. www.marketscreener.com, 9. www.marketbeat.com, 10. www.marketbeat.com, 11. www.marketbeat.com, 12. www.wardsauto.com, 13. www.jalopnik.com, 14. www.wardsauto.com, 15. shareholder.ford.com, 16. www.investing.com, 17. www.investing.com, 18. www.nasdaq.com, 19. www.fool.com, 20. www.automotiveworld.com, 21. spectrumlocalnews.com, 22. ca.news.yahoo.com, 23. www.investing.com, 24. www.marketscreener.com, 25. www.wardsauto.com, 26. www.investing.com, 27. www.nasdaq.com, 28. www.investing.com, 29. www.wardsauto.com, 30. www.automotiveworld.com, 31. www.investing.com

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