
DEARBORN, Michigan, August 31, 2026, 09:36 — Ford shares slipped 0.5% on Tuesday as the automaker reported adjusted earnings of $2.5 billion, offset by a net loss of $1.3 billion.
Investor dashboard · Market data through August 31, 2026, 09:36 EDT · Financials through Q2 2026
| Measure | Q2 ’25 | Q2 ’26 | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $50.2B | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Adjusted EBIT | $2.14B | $2.50B | +17.0% |
| Adj. EBIT margin | 4.3% | 5.2% | +0.9 pt |
| Adjusted EPS | $0.37 | $0.42 | +13.5% |
| Net income/(loss) | -$36M | -$1.33B | Wider loss |
| Segment | Q2 ’26 | YoY change |
|---|---|---|
| Ford Blue | $1.14B | +$474M |
| Model e | -$919M | +$410M |
| Ford Pro | $1.72B | -$600M |
| Ford Credit | $757M | +$112M |
| FY2026 EPS estimate | $1.85 |
| Price / estimated EPS | 7.5× |
| Dividend yield | 4.32% |
| Cash and securities | $31.6B |
| Company debt, ex-Credit | $23.6B |
| Friday volume / 65-day average | 75% |
Ford’s adjusted EBIT rose 17% even as revenue fell 4%. Blue pricing and a smaller Model e loss did the heavy lifting, while Ford Pro slipped. The $1.33 billion GAAP loss chiefly reflects strategic reversals already captured in $4.18 billion of special items. The shares trade at about 7.5 times estimated 2026 earnings, but the discount will persist unless cash conversion and Pro margins recover.
Watch: Pro marginWatch: Model e lossWatch: warranty costsWatch: tariffsTariffs, pricing pressure, warranty expense and supply disruption can erase the margin gain. More EV cancellations could trigger further charges. Higher delinquencies or used-vehicle weakness would pressure Ford Credit.
The cheap multiple depends on containing EV losses.
| Measure | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 revenue | $48.3B | −3.8% YoY |
| Adjusted EBIT | $2.5B | ~+20% YoY |
| Adjusted EPS | $0.42 | 20% beat |
| EV/software EBIT | −$919M | 37% of total EBIT |
| 2026 EBIT guide | $10B–$11B | Raised |
Ford raised 2026 adjusted EBIT guidance after a 20% earnings beat. Friday’s subdued trading shows investors are still discounting the durability of that profit.
The key burden: a roughly $4 billion annual EV loss equals 36%–40% of guided company EBIT.
| Measure | Aug. 28 |
|---|---|
| Ford | -0.50% |
| Automotive group | -1.78% |
| S&P 500 | -0.25% |
| 52-week range | $11.11-$17.78 |
| Market value | $55.34B |
The yield is attractive only if Ford converts guidance into cash after tariff, warranty and EV spending pressures.
| Indicator | Current |
|---|---|
| Consensus | Overweight |
| Buy / Overweight | 8 |
| Hold | 13 |
| Underweight / Sell | 2 |
| Target range | $11-$20 |
U.S.-Canada trade talks stalled over autos. Washington has threatened 50% tariffs on Canadian vehicles and parts from Jan. 1, 2027. The dispute raises sourcing and production risk across North American supply chains.
| Q3 EPS estimate | $0.41 |
| Three months ago | $0.37 |
| Q2 adjusted EBIT | $2.5B |
| Quarter-end liquidity | $43.4B |
Ford's 7.5x forward earnings multiple and double-digit guided cash-flow yield offer valuation support. The market is demanding proof that Ford Pro and Ford Blue can absorb Model e losses, special charges and renewed tariff pressure. A clean Q3 cash conversion would narrow that discount; weaker margins would justify it.
41 fewer problems per 100 vehicles year over year.
~300 veteran engineers added to weekly design reviews.
AI inspection supports plant-floor anomaly detection.
| Business | Q2 2026 EBIT | Investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Ford Pro | +$1.7B | Commercial profit anchor |
| Ford Blue | +$1.1B | Primary warranty leverage |
| Model e | −$919M | Still absorbs core savings |
| Total adjusted | +$2.5B | Up 17% year over year |
| Ford | −0.54% |
| GM | +0.09% |
| Stellantis | +2.56% |
The market did not award Ford a quality premium Friday.
The tariff threat is months away. The equity reaction is already here, because Canadian parts feed U.S. assembly and can cross the border more than once.
C$40.8bn is a transparent ceiling: 50% of the full 2024 export value. Content-based treatment, exemptions or a deal would lower the realized duty. Repeated border crossings can still multiply operating disruption.
Monday session moves reported by Reuters; quotes were intraday and delayed by at least 15 minutes.
| Path | Observable trigger | Likely pressure |
|---|---|---|
| De-escalation | Negotiations resume; rate returns toward 15% | Risk premium and landed cost ease |
| Partial implementation | 50% applies only to non-US content | Mixed burden by vehicle and plant |
| Full escalation | Final order covers full customs value | Margins, output and sticker prices |
| Retaliation loop | Broader Canadian list after 8 Sep | US exporters and cross-border demand |
Reuters reports Trump's 50% Canadian auto tariff threat. Auto shares fall.
Canada schedules its business and worker support announcement.
Canada plans dollar-for-dollar counter-tariffs on selected US goods.
Threatened 50% auto, truck and parts rate would begin.
Imported Canadian parts raise U.S. assembly cost unless producers qualify for relief.
Passing costs through lifts sticker prices and can weaken unit demand.
Parts shortages or relocation can reduce output on both sides of the border.
Inventory buffers, customs deposits and supplier changes tie up cash.
Share of Canada's goods trade, cited by the US Trade Representative and reported 24 Aug 2026.
| Tax base | Full value or non-US content? |
| USMCA treatment | Exemption or no exemption? |
| Canadian retaliation list | Pending before 8 Sep |
| Support-package size | Due 25 Aug at 11:00 EDT |
Nevada replaced a narrow interim limit with commercial authority for up to 5,000 Tesla robotaxis. The permit removes a regulatory bottleneck. The next valuation test is deployment: inspections, insurance and fare filings still come before paid rides.
| Firm | Call | Target | Vs. close |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLJ Research | Sell | $24.86 | -93.1% |
| Jefferies | Hold | $350 | -3.5% |
| TD Cowen | Buy | $460 | +26.8% |
| Stifel | Buy | $491 | +35.3% |
Market snapshot: August 21, 2026, 14:47 EDT. U.S. regular session open. Intraday price and volume are delayed and preliminary.
Straight-line estimate. The closing auction can change the final comparison.
| View | Analyst | Target | From $14.47 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus · Hold | 22 analysts | $15.78 | +9.1% |
| Hold | Morgan Stanley · Andrew Percoco | $14.00 | -3.2% |
| Sell | Wells Fargo · Colin Langan | $11.00 | -24.0% |
| Buy | DBS · Elizabelle Pang | $17.00 | +17.5% |
Recommendation mix: 5 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 13 Hold, 0 Sell, 1 Strong Sell. Analyst data
The total combines target upside and annualized regular yield. It is not a forecast.
Model e losses, weaker Ford Pro profit, pricing pressure, tariffs, recalls, and credit costs could overwhelm the valuation support. A light-volume rebound can also reverse quickly.
Sources: Ford Motor Company and SEC filings; Reuters; MarketWatch; StockAnalysis analyst compilation. Market figures are delayed and preliminary as of August 21, 2026, 14:47 EDT. Estimates are labeled. Analyst targets are opinions, not guarantees.
Bronco and Bronco Sport already represent one in every 6.4 Ford-brand U.S. vehicles. A wider family can improve mix only if it adds buyers rather than shifting them from Ranger or other Ford SUVs.
Recall letters are due to start Aug. 24 for 565,691 Broncos and Bronco Raptors. The reported wiring defect can short-circuit and raise fire risk. Ford will install sheathing free.