General Motors (NYSE:GM) shares climb 7.5% as gap with Ford (NYSE:F) valuation remains open

General Motors (NYSE:GM) shares climb 7.5% as gap with Ford (NYSE:F) valuation remains open

DETROIT, August 2, 2026, 16:04 EDT

  • GM finished Friday at $88.86, up 7.5% on the week.
  • GM has a market-cap-to-2026 adjusted-EBIT ratio of 5.4 times. Ford’s equivalent figure stands at 5.6 times.
  • Initial figures indicate the U.S. sales rate for July reached 16.9 million vehicles, marking the highest level seen so far this year.

General Motors closed on Friday at $88.86, marking a 7.5% rise for the week. U.S. markets did not open on Sunday. The share price ended 3.3% under the 52-week high reached on Wednesday.

Stock chart for NYSE:GM

GM’s stock rebound means it still trades at a marginally lower earnings multiple versus Ford. GM’s market capitalisation of $80.9 billion represents 5.4 times its adjusted EBIT midpoint, while Ford’s multiple stands at 5.6 times.

This is a straightforward equity-value proxy rather than enterprise-value-to-EBIT. Still, the comparison is notable. GM generated significantly higher operating profit from almost the same quarterly revenue.

CompanyFriday market value2026 adjusted-EBIT outlookMidpointMarket value/midpoint
General Motors$80.9 billion$14.0-$16.0 billion$15.0 billion5.4x
Ford$58.5 billion$10.0-$11.0 billion$10.5 billion5.6x

The ratios use Friday’s market values compared to company guidance midpoints. Debt, cash and captive-finance balance sheets are excluded.

GM’s proxy multiple trails Ford’s by roughly 3.3%. The gap persists even with GM holding a three-point margin advantage in the second quarter.

GM posted an adjusted operating profit that exceeded Ford’s by about $1.4 billion. Each automaker reported quarterly revenue of approximately $48 billion. Stellantis N.V. continued to lag significantly in terms of margin.

CompanyQ2 revenueAdjusted operating profitAdjusted margin
General Motors$48.03 billion$3.94 billion8.2%
Ford$48.3 billion$2.5 billion5.2%
Stellantis€43.48 billion€773 million1.8%

These metrics are determined by the companies and are not GAAP measures. Stellantis presents its results in euros. In comparison, GM and Ford use dollars.

That difference in operations allowed GM to outpace its rivals last week. The S&P 500 rose 1.0%.

SecurityFriday closeFriday moveWeekly move
General Motors$88.86up 0.5%up 7.5%
Ford$14.68down 1.2%up 2.2%
Stellantis$5.76down 1.7%up 1.2%
S&P 5007,489.72up 0.7%up 1.0%

Weekly stock changes reflect closing prices from July 24 to July 31.

GM has twice increased its yearly adjusted EBIT outlook. By July, the midpoint rose to $15 billion, which is $1 billion higher than where it stood in January.

Guidance dateAdjusted EBITMidpointAdjusted automotive free cash flowAdjusted EPS
January 27$13.0-$15.0 billion$14.0 billion$9.0-$11.0 billion$11.00-$13.00
April 28$13.5-$15.5 billion$14.5 billion$9.0-$11.0 billion$11.50-$13.50
July 21$14.0-$16.0 billion$15.0 billion$9.5-$11.5 billion$12.00-$14.00

The midpoints reflect arithmetic averages based on GM’s stated ranges.

Adjusted automotive free cash flow in the second quarter rose 78% to $5.03 billion. The midpoint of the full-year outlook is now $10.5 billion.

GM customers have “been very resilient,” according to finance chief Paul Jacobson. Last quarter, the average price paid for a GM vehicle in the United States was roughly $52,000. Reuters

Recent projections in the sector indicate strong demand, but affordability continues to decline. J.D. Power estimated the annualized sales rate for July at 16.9 million, calling it the fastest pace seen in 2026.

Average monthly payments are projected to reach a record $808 for July. Estimated incentives increased by 8.1% compared to a year ago. Cox Automotive economist Charlie Chesbrough said “more affluent buyers” were driving the market. JD Power

Stellantis issued a caution regarding execution. The company’s adjusted operating income reached €773 million, falling short of the €914 million analyst consensus. Shares declined by 4.3% on Thursday.

This week, U.S. job openings are scheduled for release on Tuesday, followed by payrolls data on Friday. GM’s next investor event is set for August 12.

Risks: GM continues to project tariff expenses between $2.5 billion and $3.5 billion. Additional increases in the cost of materials, chips and logistics may reduce earnings by a further $1.5 billion to $2 billion. Softer job market conditions could challenge $52,000 vehicle price levels.

For investors, the upcoming focus is on cash conversion. Achieving the increased $10.5 billion midpoint would reinforce the valuation argument, while falling short would undermine it.

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Further analysis

Did GM’s second quarter materially improve the 2026 earnings case?
Adjusted EBIT rose 30% to $3.94 billion. Adjusted EPS reached $3.57, above LSEG’s $3.20 estimate. Revenue increased 1.9% to $48.03 billion. GM raised 2026 adjusted EBIT guidance to $14–$16 billion. Adjusted EPS guidance rose to $12–$14. The stronger outlook now requires steady truck pricing and cost control. SEC
Is GM still undervalued after its post-earnings rally?
GM closed July 31 at $88.86 per share. That price equals 6.3–7.4 times management’s adjusted EPS guidance. FactSet’s average target is $102.92, implying roughly 16% upside. However, analyst targets span $61 to $132. That range signals deep uncertainty around policy, demand and normalized margins. SEC
Can North American margins withstand softer demand and higher costs?
North America’s adjusted margin reached 8.6%, up sharply from 6.1%. Yet first-half U.S. industry sales fell 3.4% year over year. GM’s U.S. market share slipped 0.6 points to 16.7%. Tariffs could reduce 2026 adjusted EBIT by $2.5–$3.5 billion. Input inflation could subtract another $1.5–$2.0 billion. Pricing remains the main defense. Reuters
Has GM’s EV retreat become a genuine earnings catalyst?
GM expects EV losses to fall $1.0–$1.5 billion this year. That reduction directly supports the higher earnings outlook. However, Q2 included another $2.3 billion EV-related adjustment. Charges since Q2 2025 now total $10.9 billion. Management says material cash charges are substantially complete. The next test is operating improvement without fresh exclusions. Reuters
Can buybacks keep driving per-share upside?
GM raised adjusted automotive free cash flow guidance to $9.5–$11.5 billion. It repurchased 36 million shares for $2.8 billion through June. Another $3.5 billion remained authorized at quarter-end. That balance equals about 4.3% of GM’s current market value. The $0.18 quarterly dividend yields roughly 0.8%. Buybacks remain a catalyst while cash guidance holds. General Motors

Iwona Majkowska is a financial markets journalist at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, artificial intelligence and technology. A graduate of the Warsaw School of Economics, she previously worked in equity research and financial analysis before focusing on market reporting. Her daily coverage helps investors follow major developments across U.S. and global markets. Follow Iwona Majkowska on Google News.

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