NextEra Energy (NEE) Stock Outlook Before the December 1, 2025 Open: Price, Latest News, Analyst Ratings and Forecast

As U.S. markets prepare to reopen on Monday, December 1, 2025, NextEra Energy, Inc. (NYSE: NEE) heads into the new week trading near its 52‑week high after a strong November. A flurry of institutional filings, fresh analyst commentary, and quantitative forecasts published between November 28–30, 2025 give investors plenty to digest before the opening bell.

This article brings together the key news, ratings, fund flows and short‑term forecasts from that three‑day window and sets the stage for NEE’s near‑term outlook.

Where NextEra Energy Stock Stands Heading Into December

On Friday, November 28, 2025, NextEra Energy shares gained roughly 0.9%, closing around $86.3 after trading between about $85.1 and $86.5 on the day. ^[1]

• Over the past month, NEE is up about 6–7%, outpacing the broader utilities sector. ^[2]
• Year‑to‑date, NEE has returned roughly 24%, versus about 16% for the S&P 500 over the same period. ^[3]
• Over the last 12 months, NEE is up about 13%, very close to the S&P 500’s performance. ^[4]
• The 52‑week range runs from about $61.7 to $87.5, putting Friday’s close near the top end of the range. ^[5]

Fundamentally, NEE is not trading like a “cheap” utility:

• Market cap: about $178 billion
• Trailing EPS (TTM): ~$3.15
• P/E ratio (TTM): ~27–28x
• PEG ratio: ~1.1, reflecting growth expectations baked into the price
• Trailing 12‑month revenue: about $26.3 billion ^[6]

That combination—premium valuation plus solid growth and a strong long‑term track record—is exactly what recent research, ratings and quant models are reacting to.

Key News and Institutional Activity (November 28–30, 2025)

1. Big money both buying and selling NEE

A cluster of 13F‑based articles over November 28–30 highlights a tug‑of‑war among institutional investors:

• Laurel Wealth Advisors LLC (Nov 28)
  • Boosted its NEE position by 6,822% in Q2, adding 21,490 shares to reach 21,805 shares (~$1.51 million).
  • MarketBeat notes that institutional investors now own about 78.7% of NEE’s float. ^[7]
• Schroder Investment Management Group (article dated Nov 30)
  • Increased its stake by 18.7%, purchasing 1,701,648 shares to hold 10,796,329 shares worth roughly $749 million.
  • Schroder’s position represents about 0.52% of NEE and roughly 0.6% of Schroder’s overall portfolio. ^[8]
• Boston Partners (Nov 30)
  • Dramatically cut its position by 99.1%, selling 5,254,838 shares and retaining only 46,001 shares (~$3.19 million). ^[9]
• New York State Common Retirement Fund (Nov 30)
  • Trimmed its stake by 4.7%, selling 137,753 shares to end Q2 with 2,797,417 shares (~0.14% of the company) valued at about $194 million. ^[10]

Taken together, these filings show heavy institutional turnover rather than a one‑sided capitulation or stampede. Some large holders are clearly taking profits near 52‑week highs, while others, notably Schroder, are leaning into the long‑term story.

2. Analyst consensus: “Moderate Buy” with upside to around $90–$97

On November 29, 2025, MarketBeat published a detailed analyst‑rating roundup: ^[11]

• 21 brokerages currently cover NEE.
• The average rating is “Moderate Buy”.
  • ~5 Hold
  • ~13 Buy
  • ~3 Strong Buy
• The average 12‑month price target sits around $90.63, implying mid‑single‑digit upside from the high‑$80s.
• Recent updates include:
  • JPMorgan: target lifted to around the high‑$80s with an “overweight” stance.
  • UBS: reiterated “buy” with a target reportedly in the mid‑$90s range. ^[12]
  • Wolfe Research: cut its target from the mid‑$90s to roughly $87, but kept an “outperform” call. ^[13]

A separate article syndicated via Finviz/InsiderMonkey on November 30 notes that Morgan Stanley recently nudged its target from $98 down to $97 while maintaining an “Overweight” rating, in the context of a broader North American utilities sector review. ^[14]

Net‑net: Wall Street still largely sees NEE as a growth‑tilted utility with modest upside from current levels, but some price targets are creeping closer to spot as the stock rallies.

3. Dividend and insider activity

MarketBeat’s coverage over November 28–30 also emphasizes NEE’s dividend and insider trends: ^[15]

• Dividend
  • Quarterly dividend: $0.5665 per share
  • Annualized: about $2.27
  • Yield around 2.6% at current prices
  • Ex‑dividend date: November 21, 2025
  • Payment date: December 15, 2025
• Insider selling
  • Over the last quarter, insiders sold roughly 168,168 shares, worth around $13.9 million.
  • That includes a large sale of about 145,140 shares by CEO Armando Pimentel Jr., trimming his stake by nearly half. ^[16]
  • Insiders now hold only around 0.2% of outstanding shares.

While insider selling doesn’t automatically signal trouble—especially after a big YTD rally—it reinforces the impression that valuation is rich enough for management to take some chips off the table.

4. Structural tailwinds: AI data centers, nuclear restart, and Florida rate settlement

The November 30 Finviz/InsiderMonkey piece, “NextEra Energy (NEE) Draws Analyst Attention After Sector Performance Review,” pulls together several long‑term growth themes: ^[17]

• The International Energy Agency (IEA) expects AI data centers to consume as much electricity by 2030 as all of Japan, highlighting a major structural demand driver for scale utilities and clean‑energy producers.
• NextEra is already the largest electricity provider in the U.S., well‑positioned to serve that demand. ^[18]
• The company’s partnership with Alphabet (Google) to restart the 615 MW Duane Arnold nuclear plant in Iowa by late 2028–early 2029 is a flagship project, aligned with growing interest in carbon‑free baseload power for data centers. ^[19]
• NEE has increased its dividend every year since 1994, including 10% hikes in both 2024 and 2025, and total dividend growth of about 62% since 2020, outpacing U.S. inflation over the same period. ^[20]

On the regulated side, Florida Power & Light (FPL)—NextEra’s core utility subsidiary—secured an important rate deal on November 20, 2025:

• The Florida Public Service Commission approved a four‑year rate agreement covering 2026–2029.
• For a typical 1,000‑kWh residential customer in most of Florida, bills will rise by about $2.50 per month in 2026, roughly a 2% increase, while remaining well below the national average. ^[21]
• The settlement supports continued spending on grid resilience, new generation and battery storage, and anticipates adding about 335,000 new customers by decade’s end. ^[22]

This regulatory clarity is a major positive for long‑term earnings visibility and underpins much of the bullish analyst and quant commentary surfacing at the end of November.

Fresh Fundamental Analysis Published November 29–30

Simply Wall St: “Overvalued by 24%” based on dividends

On November 29–30, Simply Wall St published a deep‑dive asking whether it’s time to “reassess NextEra Energy after a 20.5% year‑to‑date rally.” ^[23]

Key takeaways from their analysis:

• NEE is up 20.5% year‑to‑date and 3.4% in the last week at the time of writing, reflecting revived optimism. ^[24]
• Using a Dividend Discount Model (DDM):
  • Assumed annual dividend: about $2.57 per share.
  • Dividend growth: ~3.3% long‑term.
  • Resulting intrinsic value estimate: $69.51 per share.
  • With the market price more than 24% above that fair value, they flag NEE as “overvalued” on a pure dividend basis. ^[25]

On a P/E comparison, however:

• NEE trades at a P/E of about 27.6x, versus an industry average around 21x and a peer average near 25.4x.
• Their proprietary “Fair Ratio” for NEE is 28.7x, suggesting that on earnings power and growth, the stock is “about right” rather than wildly overpriced. ^[26]

In other words, Simply Wall St sees NEE as:

Expensive for its dividend stream, but reasonably priced relative to its earnings growth and risk profile.

That’s a subtle but important nuance for income‑focused vs growth‑oriented investors.

Earnings momentum and capex from Q3 2025

A separate earnings‑summary article updated in late November reiterates NextEra’s strong third‑quarter performance: ^[27]

• Q3 2025 EPS:
  • Actual: $1.13
  • Consensus estimate: $0.97–$1.04
  • Beat by roughly 9–17%, depending on source.
• Q3 revenue: about $8.0 billion, slightly below expectations (~$8.1 billion).
• Adjusted EPS growth: about 9.7% year‑over‑year, roughly 9.3% year‑to‑date.
• FPL capital expenditure:
  • Q3 capex around $2.5 billion
  • Full‑year 2025 FPL capex expected between $9.3–$9.8 billion
  • Roughly $40 billion of planned FPL and Energy Resources investment over the next four years, including:
    • ~5.3 GW of solar
    • ~3.4 GW of storage
    • A new gas peaker plant (pending approval)
• Backlog at NextEra Energy Resources: about 30 GW, after adding 3 GW (including 1.9 GW of storage) in Q3—the sixth consecutive quarter adding at least 3 GW.
• Duane Arnold nuclear restart with Google is expected to contribute up to about $0.16 of adjusted EPS per year on average over its first decade of operation, and should benefit from U.S. nuclear production tax credits with a potential energy‑community bonus.

Management has reaffirmed long‑term financial expectations and said they would be “disappointed” if results don’t land near the top end of EPS guidance for 2025–2027, while targeting about 10% annual dividend growth through at least 2026. ^[28]

That earnings picture explains why, despite valuation worries, many analysts remain comfortable recommending NEE at a premium multiple.

Quant and Technical Forecasts for NEE Around December 1

Intellectia AI: Short‑term “Strong Buy” on technicals

On November 30, 2025, quant platform Intellectia AI updated its technical forecast for NEE and labeled the stock a “Strong Buy candidate.” ^[29]

Highlights of their model:

• Last close:$86.29 on November 28, up 0.88% on the day, with intraday range $85.15–$86.47. ^[30]
• 1‑day prediction (for the next trading session):
  • Target price: $85.63 (about ‑0.8% vs last close).
• 1‑week prediction:
  • Target: $83.87 (roughly ‑2.8% from current levels).
• 1‑month prediction:
  • One model suggests $87.08, a modest move higher; another similar‑chart model points to about $86.12, roughly ‑0.2% from current price. ^[31]

Technical signal summary:

• 5 bullish signals vs 2 bearish across indicators such as MACD, momentum and short‑term moving averages.
• Price is above short‑term moving averages, and SMA‑20 is above SMA‑60, indicating a bullish medium‑term trend.
• Intellectia notes declining volume on rising prices, which it flags as a minor warning that near‑term risk may be ticking up. ^[32]

Support and resistance zones:

• Resistance: around $87.5 and $89.4 (based on moving‑average clusters and Fibonacci levels).
• Support: in the low‑$80s, near $81.2 and $79.3. ^[33]

The model’s bottom line: NEE looks technically strong in the short‑ to medium‑term, but short‑term price forecasts cluster around “sideways with a small pullback” rather than a dramatic breakout.

Risk‑adjusted performance vs the market

PortfolioLab’s risk‑adjusted metrics as of November 30, 2025 paint NEE as a solid, but not spectacular, risk‑adjusted performer: ^[34]

• YTD return: ~24.1% vs 16.5% for the S&P 500.
• 10‑year annualized return: ~16.1%, ahead of the S&P 500’s ~12.5%.
• 1‑year Sharpe ratio:0.48 for NEE vs 0.75 for the market, indicating somewhat lower risk‑adjusted returns over the last 12 months.
• Multi‑year Sharpe ratios (5‑year ~0.20, 10‑year ~0.64, all‑time ~0.63) suggest excellent long‑term performance, albeit with meaningful volatility.

For long‑term investors, the takeaway is that NEE has historically rewarded patience, even if shorter windows can look less stellar compared with the market.

How the Pieces Fit Together Before the December 1 Open

Putting the November 28–30 news and analysis into one picture:

1. Price & momentum
   • NEE is trading close to its 52‑week high after a strong 6‑month and year‑to‑date rally. ^[35]
   • Short‑term quant models see continued strength, but mostly expect flat to slightly lower prices over the next week or so, consistent with a consolidation phase near highs. ^[36]
2. Fundamentals
   • Q3 2025 showed solid EPS growth and another earnings beat, though revenues ran a bit light.
   • Massive capex, a deep renewables and storage backlog, and the Duane Arnold nuclear restart with Google all support the long‑term growth narrative. ^[37]
3. Regulation and rates
   • The Florida PSC rate settlement gives NEE visibility on core utility earnings through 2029, with modest bill increases and below‑average rates that should help keep regulators and customers onside. ^[38]
4. Valuation
   • On dividends alone, Simply Wall St’s DDM model flags NEE as about 24% overvalued. ^[39]
   • On earnings and growth, P/E and PEG metrics, plus consensus targets around $90–$97, suggest the stock is expensive but not irrationally priced for a premium renewables‑heavy utility. ^[40]
5. Ownership and flows
   • Institutions like Schroder are adding significantly, while others, including Boston Partners and the New York State Common Retirement Fund, have been trimming.
   • That mix looks more like portfolio rebalancing around a richly valued winner than a wholesale change in the institutional view of NEE. ^[41]
6. Dividend story
   • A 2.6% yield plus a long history of high‑single‑ to low‑double‑digit dividend growth continues to make NEE attractive to total‑return and income‑growth investors, even if the starting yield is below that of slower‑growing utilities. ^[42]

What to Watch on December 1, 2025 and Beyond

As trading resumes on Monday, December 1, here are the key things traders and longer‑term investors may focus on:

1. Pre‑market action and yields
   • Utilities are sensitive to interest‑rate expectations. Moves in U.S. Treasury yields or fresh macro data could drive NEE as investors reassess the trade‑off between bond yields and dividend payers.
2. Price behavior near resistance
   • Watch how NEE trades around the $87–$89 zone identified by technical models as resistance. A decisive push above could invite momentum buying, while repeated failures may trigger profit‑taking and a drift back toward the low‑$80s support area. ^[43]
3. Follow‑through on institutional flows
   • Any new filings or headlines about major funds increasing or exiting positions will be scrutinized, especially given the mixed signals from Boston Partners, Schroder and public‑sector pension funds in recent days. ^[44]
4. Data‑center and policy headlines
   • News about AI data center builds, nuclear policy or renewable incentives could have an outsized impact on NEE, which is increasingly framed as a critical power supplier to hyperscalers rather than just a traditional regulated utility. ^[45]
5. Next earnings catalyst
   • NextEra is currently scheduled to report its next earnings (Q4 / full‑year 2025) on January 23, 2026, before the market open, a key event for confirming whether the company can continue to hit the upper end of its EPS guidance range. ^[46]

Bottom Line

Heading into the December 1, 2025 open, NextEra Energy sits at an interesting crossroads:

• Technicals and quant models lean bullish, but short‑term price targets mostly call for sideways or slightly lower trading as the stock consolidates near its highs. ^[47]
• Fundamentals remain strong, with robust earnings growth, a huge clean‑energy backlog, and a supportive rate environment in Florida. ^[48]
• Valuation is clearly full, with some models labeling the stock overvalued and insiders using the rally to sell, even as many analysts and institutions remain constructive. ^[49]

For investors watching NEE before Monday’s bell, the story is less about a single catalyst and more about whether premium growth‑utility valuations can be sustained in a market still debating rates, AI‑driven power demand and the pace of the energy transition.

As always, this article is for information and news purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Anyone considering an investment in NextEra Energy should evaluate their own risk tolerance, time horizon and diversification needs, and, if necessary, consult a qualified financial adviser.

References

1. stockanalysis.com, 2. portfolioslab.com, 3. portfolioslab.com, 4. portfolioslab.com, 5. portfolioslab.com, 6. portfolioslab.com, 7. www.marketbeat.com, 8. www.marketbeat.com, 9. www.marketbeat.com, 10. www.marketbeat.com, 11. www.marketbeat.com, 12. www.marketbeat.com, 13. www.marketbeat.com, 14. finviz.com, 15. www.marketbeat.com, 16. www.marketbeat.com, 17. finviz.com, 18. finviz.com, 19. finviz.com, 20. finviz.com, 21. www.prnewswire.com, 22. www.prnewswire.com, 23. simplywall.st, 24. simplywall.st, 25. simplywall.st, 26. simplywall.st, 27. stockinvest.us, 28. stockinvest.us, 29. intellectia.ai, 30. intellectia.ai, 31. intellectia.ai, 32. intellectia.ai, 33. intellectia.ai, 34. portfolioslab.com, 35. portfolioslab.com, 36. intellectia.ai, 37. stockinvest.us, 38. www.prnewswire.com, 39. simplywall.st, 40. www.marketbeat.com, 41. www.marketbeat.com, 42. www.marketbeat.com, 43. intellectia.ai, 44. www.marketbeat.com, 45. finviz.com, 46. stockinvest.us, 47. intellectia.ai, 48. stockinvest.us, 49. simplywall.st