Alphabet (GOOG) Stock Today: AI Momentum, Berkshire’s Big Bet and Fresh $400 Price Targets – 5 December 2025

Alphabet (GOOG) Stock Today: AI Momentum, Berkshire’s Big Bet and Fresh $400 Price Targets – 5 December 2025

Alphabet Inc. Class C stock (NASDAQ: GOOG) is trading near record highs as investors digest a powerful mix of AI breakthroughs, blowout earnings, and fresh Wall Street upgrades. As of early trading around December 5, 2025, GOOG is hovering close to $318 per share, just below its late‑November all‑time high near $329, giving Alphabet a market value of roughly $2.9 trillion.

At the same time, regulators in the U.S. and Europe are tightening the screws on Google’s ad and search businesses, and analysts are increasingly debating how much of the AI boom is already priced in.

This article pulls together all the major GOOG stock news, forecasts and analysis as of 5 December 2025, with a focus on Class C shares.


Key takeaways for Alphabet (GOOG) on 5 December 2025

  • Price & valuation: GOOG is trading around $318, within a few percent of record highs, at about 24x trailing earnings and roughly 29x forward EPS, based on 2025 consensus estimates. [1]
  • Earnings power: Q3 2025 was Alphabet’s first‑ever $100+ billion quarter, with revenue up about 16% year over year and strong profit growth across Google Services and Google Cloud. [2]
  • AI narrative turning in Google’s favor: New AI models (Gemini 3 and related tools) are now deeply integrated into Search, Cloud and consumer products. AI pioneer Geoffrey Hinton says Google is “beginning to overtake” OpenAI in the AI race. [3]
  • Big‑name endorsement: Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway has disclosed a new ~17.8 million‑share Alphabet stake worth about $4.3 billion, now one of Berkshire’s top U.S. holdings. [4]
  • Fresh price targets: Pivotal Research just lifted its Alphabet target to $400 (Street‑high), while Truist raised its target to $350, both with Buy ratings and both highlighting ad strength plus AI‑driven cost efficiencies. [5]
  • Regulatory overhang: U.S. courts have found Google to have monopolized parts of digital advertising and imposed remedies on search distribution contracts, while the EU continues to probe Alphabet’s compliance with the Digital Markets Act (DMA). [6]

GOOG vs GOOGL: what Class C shareholders actually own

Alphabet has three main share classes:

  • GOOGL – Class A: one vote per share, publicly traded.
  • GOOG – Class C:no voting rights, publicly traded.
  • Class B: 10 votes per share, held by founders and insiders only. [7]

Economically, GOOG and GOOGL have the same claim on Alphabet’s profits and assets; the only difference is voting power. In practice:

  • The two tickers usually trade within a fraction of a percent of each other.
  • GOOG is often favored by investors who don’t care about voting rights and simply want pure exposure to Alphabet’s earnings. [8]

For anyone researching Alphabet Class C stock, all the financials, earnings and news in this article apply equally to GOOG and GOOGL unless noted otherwise.


Stock snapshot: Alphabet (GOOG) near record highs

Price action and valuation

Recent trading in GOOG looks like this:

  • Current level (early 5 Dec 2025): around $318 per share.
  • Recent close: approximately $318–$319 on December 4, after a brief pullback from a late‑November high near $328.83. [9]
  • Market cap: roughly $2.9–3.0 trillion, putting Alphabet firmly in the “mega‑mega‑cap” club.

Performance:

  • Alphabet’s stock is up about two‑thirds in 2025 so far, outpacing most of the “Magnificent Seven” as investors reward its renewed AI momentum. [10]

On valuation, data from multiple sources shows:

  • Trailing P/E: ~23–24x based on the last four quarters’ GAAP EPS. [11]
  • 2025 consensus EPS: about $10.9, up more than 35% from 2024. [12]
  • Forward P/E (2025 EPS): roughly 29x, with 2026 EPS growth projected to slow to about 5%. [13]

In other words, Alphabet is no longer cheap, but the market is still willing to pay a premium for AI leadership, strong cash generation and relatively moderate regulatory remedies (so far).


Fundamentals: a $100 billion quarter powered by Search, YouTube and Cloud

Alphabet’s Q3 2025 earnings set a new milestone:

  • Revenue: about $102.3 billion, up from $88.3 billion a year earlier (~16% growth).
  • Net income: ~$35.0 billion, up from $26.3 billion.
  • Diluted EPS:$2.87 vs $2.12 a year ago. [14]

Segment details show where the strength is:

  • Google Services (Search, YouTube, Android, Maps, devices, subscriptions):
    • Revenue grew to roughly $87.1 billion in Q3 2025.
    • Operating income increased to about $33.5 billion, keeping Services as the cash engine that funds Alphabet’s AI build‑out. [15]
  • Google Cloud:
    • Revenue jumped from $11.4 billion to $15.2 billion year over year (mid‑30s % growth).
    • Operating income nearly doubled to $3.6 billion, signaling that Cloud is now both a growth and profit driver. [16]
  • Other Bets (Waymo, health, etc.):
    • Revenue is still modest (~$0.3–0.4 billion per quarter), with operating losses around $1.4 billion. [17]

Cash flow and balance sheet remain formidable:

  • Operating cash flow (first nine months of 2025): over $112 billion.
  • Capital expenditures: more than $63 billion, largely for data centers and AI infrastructure.
  • Cash and marketable securities: ~$98.5 billion as of September 30, 2025, versus long‑term debt of about $21.6 billion, leaving Alphabet in a strong net cash position. [18]

Alphabet has also:

  • Continued aggressive share repurchases, buying back over $40 billion of stock in the first three quarters.
  • Paid a modest cash dividend, adding a small yield on top of buybacks. [19]

For GOOG holders, this combination of high growth and heavy but manageable AI capex, funded by cash flow rather than leverage, is central to the bullish thesis.


The AI story: Gemini, TPUs and a shifting competitive narrative

Gemini 3 and AI‑powered Search

In November, Google rolled out the next generation of its Gemini AI model directly into Search and other services. The update aims to make Search more conversational and capable of handling complex, multi‑step queries, pitching Gemini as a kind of “thought partner” integrated into Google’s core products. [20]

At the Reuters NEXT conference on December 4, Robby Stein, Google’s VP of Product for Search, argued that:

  • AI search is an “expansionary moment” for the web, not a threat.
  • Google still sends “billions of clicks” to external sites, with outbound traffic described as largely stable.
  • Ads will evolve within AI chat experiences much like they did during the shift from desktop to mobile. [21]

This message is aimed squarely at two audiences:

  1. Publishers, who worry AI summaries will cannibalize their traffic.
  2. Investors, who fear that AI‑driven answers might undercut Google’s lucrative search ads.

For now, Google insists AI search will grow the pie rather than shrink it, but there’s genuine uncertainty about long‑term behavior.

“Godfather of AI” says Google is catching – and maybe overtaking – OpenAI

In a new December 5 interview, AI pioneer Geoffrey Hinton (often dubbed the “Godfather of AI”) said he believes Google is now “beginning to overtake” OpenAI after the widely praised launch of Gemini 3 and new image models such as Nano Banana Pro. [22]

Key points from Hinton’s remarks:

  • He is surprised it took Google this long to catch up in the AI race.
  • He views Google’s in‑house chips (TPUs), massive data centers and deep research bench as a structural advantage.
  • He thinks Google’s caution earlier in the decade slowed it down but protected its brand. [23]

Separately, recent analysis from Yahoo Finance and others suggests that Alphabet’s AI chips (TPUs) could represent a potentially massive value driver, with one commentary estimating up to $900 billion of long‑term opportunity if Google successfully monetizes its AI hardware ecosystem across Cloud, Search and partners.

These bullish AI narratives are critical to justifying Alphabet’s current valuation multiple.

AI research & global footprint: DeepMind and robotics

Recent developments extend far beyond chatbots:

  • Google DeepMind is launching a new research team in Singapore focused on advanced reasoning and next‑generation Gemini development, underscoring Alphabet’s global R&D ambitions.
  • Earlier in 2025, Google introduced AI models tailored for robotics, based on Gemini 2.0, targeting the rapidly growing robotics industry and industrial automation workflows. [24]

Together, these moves reinforce a long‑term vision in which Alphabet’s AI models power not just search queries but enterprise productivity, industrial automation, and real‑world agents.


Cloud and infrastructure: Germany’s €5.5B bet and new partnerships

On the infrastructure side, Google is in full build‑out mode.

€5.5 billion Germany cloud expansion

In November, Alphabet announced plans to invest €5.5 billion (~$6.4 billion) in Germany between 2026 and 2029, focused on expanding cloud and office infrastructure: TechStock²

  • A new data‑center campus in Dietzenbach near Frankfurt.
  • Expansion of existing facilities in Hanau.
  • Broader office investments across Berlin, Frankfurt and Munich.

German officials have said the plan is expected to support roughly 9,000 mostly indirect jobs, and Google noted that there will be no state subsidies tied to this build‑out. TechStock²

For investors, this speaks to two themes:

  1. Sustained high capex – Alphabet is leaning in on AI and Cloud capacity.
  2. Regional positioning in Europe – adding compute close to major internet hubs and customers.

Partnerships: Replit and AI developers

On December 5, coverage highlighted a multi‑year Google Cloud partnership with AI coding startup Replit, which aims to bring Replit’s developer tools more tightly onto Google’s cloud stack.

Deals like this matter because:

  • They help lock in fast‑growing AI‑native startups as Cloud customers.
  • They showcase how Gemini and other Google AI APIs can be embedded into third‑party platforms.

Cloud is already a high‑growth, high‑margin business for Alphabet; deepening its AI developer ecosystem strengthens that trajectory.


Waymo and Other Bets: optionality beyond Search

Alphabet’s Waymo unit continues to push autonomous driving from pilot to scaled service:

  • Waymo is rolling out fully autonomous operations in five new cities: Miami (starting now), followed by Dallas, Houston, San Antonio and Orlando, with rider service expected next year.
  • It is also testing in additional U.S. cities such as Philadelphia, Baltimore, Pittsburgh and St. Louis, and aims to reach one million rides per week by the end of 2026, according to recent reporting.

While Other Bets still lose money, Waymo’s expansion:

  • Reinforces the option value embedded in Alphabet beyond its core ad and cloud franchises.
  • Positions Alphabet to participate if robotaxis become a meaningful multi‑billion‑dollar market later in the decade.

For GOOG investors, this is upside optionality rather than a near‑term earnings driver.


Berkshire Hathaway’s new stake: a powerful signal

A major sentiment driver this quarter has been Berkshire Hathaway’s decision to initiate a large Alphabet position:

  • Berkshire’s Q3 2025 13F filing revealed a new 17.8–17.85 million‑share Alphabet stake, worth about $4.3 billion at quarter‑end. [25]
  • The position is now one of Berkshire’s top 10 U.S. equity holdings, even as the firm continues to trim its massive Apple stake. [26]
  • Commentators note that Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger had long regretted missing Google in the 2010s; the purchase is widely seen as a late but meaningful vote of confidence in Alphabet’s moat and AI opportunity. [27]

Buffett is stepping down as Berkshire’s CEO at the end of 2025, which means the decision may have been heavily influenced by portfolio managers Todd Combs or Ted Weschler. Either way, “Berkshire buying” is a bullish slogan in its own right and has helped support Alphabet’s stock price into year‑end.


Regulation: a real but manageable headwind—for now

Alphabet’s regulatory environment has grown more complex in 2025, especially in the U.S. and EU.

U.S. antitrust cases

There are two big U.S. cases to track:

  1. Search monopolization case (United States v. Google – search):
    • In September 2025, a federal court found that Google had illegally monopolized online search and search advertising markets and imposed remedies.
    • The court barred Google from using exclusive distribution contracts for Search and required it to share certain search index and interaction data with rivals. However, it rejected calls to break up Chrome or Android. [28]
  2. Ad tech monopolization case (open‑web digital advertising):
    • In April 2025, another U.S. court ruled that Google monopolized open‑web digital advertising markets, calling its ad tech dominance harmful to publishers and consumers. [29]
    • The case now moves into a remedies phase, where the DOJ has floated ideas that could range from behavioral changes to structural divestitures of parts of Google’s ad tech stack. [30]
  • Civil society groups have filed additional complaints arguing Alphabet isn’t doing enough to allow interoperability and avoid self‑preferencing. [31]

DMA penalties can reach up to 10% of global annual revenue (and more for repeated offenses), so the financial stakes are real even if worst‑case scenarios remain unlikely.

Elsewhere, regulators in places like South Korea continue to scrutinize services such as Google Maps and data export permissions, adding incremental friction and compliance costs. TechStock²


Wall Street forecasts and sentiment for GOOG

Earnings and revenue forecasts

Analyst aggregates for Alphabet (usually under the GOOGL ticker) show robust, if slightly decelerating, growth expectations:

  • 2025 revenue: about $410.7 billion, up ~17% from 2024.
  • 2026 revenue: about $465.6 billion, implying another 13% growth.
  • 2025 EPS: roughly $10.9 (GAAP/non‑GAAP mix), up 35%+ from 2024.
  • 2026 EPS: about $11.5, or ~5% growth. [32]

These numbers bake in:

  • Strong Search and YouTube advertising, helped by AI‑driven relevance and pricing.
  • Ongoing double‑digit growth from Google Cloud.
  • Continued heavy capex for AI and data centers, but with enough operating leverage to keep margins attractive.

Price targets: from fully valued to aggressive upside

Recent research moves and aggregates include:

  • Pivotal Research (Dec 5, 2025):
    • Raised its Alphabet target from $350 to $400, a new Street‑high.
    • Sees ~26% upside from around $318, citing search as a “resilient cash cow,” strong pricing power and AI‑driven cost efficiencies. [33]
  • Truist (Dec 5, 2025):
    • Boosted its target from $320 to $350 and reiterated a Buy rating.
    • Highlights expectations for a strong U.S. holiday season and AI‑optimized ad channels, plus improving prospects in Other Bets.
  • Guggenheim (Dec 1, 2025):
    • Raised its target to $375 and upgraded Alphabet to Strong Buy, pointing to cloud momentum and AI execution. [34]

Across the broader analyst community:

  • StockAnalysis data shows consensus forecasts for Alphabet with dozens of covering analysts, and average 12‑month targets in the low‑to‑mid $300s, with highs in the $400+ range and lows near $190. [35]
  • Finbold’s December 5 roundup notes that the direction of revisions is skewed upward, with multiple firms raising targets on the back of ad strength and AI‑aligned cost improvements.

At the same time, some valuation models (for example, InvestingPro’s fair value estimates) suggest Alphabet may already be slightly overvalued relative to fundamentals, even if AI optionality keeps bulls optimistic. [36]

Put simply:

  • The Street is broadly bullish (Buy/Strong Buy consensus),
  • But the easy multiple expansion may be behind us, and incremental upside depends on sustained AI execution.

Major risks GOOG investors need to watch

Even with strong momentum, Alphabet Class C shareholders face several meaningful risks:

  1. Regulatory & legal risk
    • U.S. remedies in the search and ad tech cases could still tighten, especially if appeals courts push for stronger measures, including potential structural changes in Google’s ad stack. [37]
    • EU DMA enforcement could result in substantial fines or mandated product changes that weigh on margins or weaken self‑preferencing advantages. [38]
  2. AI execution risk
    • Gemini rollouts have already seen some missteps (e.g., past issues with AI search overviews and image generation). Future failures could hurt user trust or provoke regulators. [39]
    • The competitive race with OpenAI, Microsoft, Meta, Amazon and others is intense; losing the AI edge could pressure both Search and Cloud growth.
  3. Ad market sensitivity
    • Despite diversification, Alphabet is still heavily dependent on advertising. A macro slowdown or pullback in brand spending could hit revenue disproportionately.
    • Publishers’ concerns that AI search reduces click‑through rates may eventually nudge regulators or partners to push back harder. [40]
  4. Capex and margin pressures
    • Multi‑year AI and data‑center build‑outs (e.g., the €5.5B Germany plan) require sustained high capital spending. If revenue growth slows, returns on that capex could disappoint. TechStock²+1
  5. Governance and share structure
    • GOOG shares lack voting rights, and super‑voting Class B stock ensures insiders retain control. Investors seeking influence on corporate policy or M&A have limited leverage. [41]

What it all means for Alphabet Class C (GOOG) stock

As of December 5, 2025, the investment case for Alphabet’s Class C stock looks something like this:

  • Bullish pillars
    • Alphabet is executing on a rare combination of high growth and very high profitability, with Q3 2025 showing double‑digit revenue growth and expanding margins across both core services and Cloud. [42]
    • The AI narrative has shifted in Google’s favor, with Gemini 3 seen as competitive or better versus leading models, and top voices like Geoffrey Hinton explicitly arguing Google is overtaking OpenAI. [43]
    • New price‑target hikes to $350–$400 from major firms, along with Berkshire Hathaway’s new multi‑billion‑dollar stake, reinforce institutional confidence in Alphabet’s long‑term value creation. [44]
  • Bearish or cautious points
    • The stock has already rallied more than 60% this year, and forward valuation multiples assume that AI‑driven growth and efficiencies keep delivering. [45]
    • Regulatory outcomes in the U.S. and EU could still tighten around search and ad tech, with uncertain long‑term margin impact. [46]
    • Consensus forecasts show slowing EPS growth in 2026, which means further multiple expansion may be harder to justify without positive surprises. [47]

For long‑term, fundamentals‑oriented investors, GOOG today represents:

  • A dominant, cash‑rich platform company at the center of the AI boom,
  • Priced at a premium that assumes continued execution,
  • With real—but so far manageable—regulatory and competitive risks.

Important note: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Always do your own research and consider speaking with a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions.

References

1. stockanalysis.com, 2. s206.q4cdn.com, 3. www.businessinsider.com, 4. www.investopedia.com, 5. www.investing.com, 6. www.justice.gov, 7. www.investopedia.com, 8. www.nasdaq.com, 9. www.investing.com, 10. www.investors.com, 11. s206.q4cdn.com, 12. stockanalysis.com, 13. stockanalysis.com, 14. s206.q4cdn.com, 15. s206.q4cdn.com, 16. s206.q4cdn.com, 17. s206.q4cdn.com, 18. s206.q4cdn.com, 19. s206.q4cdn.com, 20. apnews.com, 21. www.reuters.com, 22. www.businessinsider.com, 23. www.businessinsider.com, 24. www.reuters.com, 25. www.investopedia.com, 26. www.reuters.com, 27. www.barrons.com, 28. www.justice.gov, 29. www.justice.gov, 30. www.justice.gov, 31. www.article19.org, 32. stockanalysis.com, 33. www.investing.com, 34. stockanalysis.com, 35. stockanalysis.com, 36. www.investing.com, 37. www.justice.gov, 38. ec.europa.eu, 39. www.businessinsider.com, 40. www.reuters.com, 41. www.sec.gov, 42. s206.q4cdn.com, 43. www.businessinsider.com, 44. www.investing.com, 45. stockanalysis.com, 46. www.justice.gov, 47. stockanalysis.com

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