XRP Price Today, December 9, 2025: Can ETFs, Wall Street Money and the Fed Push Ripple Back Above $2.50?

XRP is trading just above $2.00 today, holding a key psychological level as traders weigh massive ETF inflows, Ripple’s new US$500 million Wall Street funding round, and a crucial Federal Reserve meeting that could reshape liquidity across global markets. ^[1]

Below is a full breakdown of XRP’s price today (December 9, 2025), the latest news, and what fresh forecasts from analysts and AI models are saying right now.

XRP price today: snapshot for December 9, 2025

Across major data providers, XRP is trading in a tight band around $2.06–$2.08:

Spot price:
- $2.07 on CoinMarketCap, with 24‑hour volume of about $2.47 billion and a market cap near $125.1 billion, ranking XRP #4 globally. ^[2]
- $2.06–$2.08 on Coinbase, CoinDesk and Bitget, with similar volume and market‑cap readings. ^[3]
24‑hour performance: roughly –0.7% to –2% versus yesterday, depending on the exchange. ^[4]
Intraday range: most feeds show XRP trading between about $2.04 and $2.09 so far today, with some data indicating a wider range up toward $2.12. ^[5]
Short‑term trend: data from TradingView suggests XRP is down about 10% over the past month and more than 20% over the last year, reflecting a cooling phase after its big mid‑2025 rally. ^[6]
Distance from highs: XRP remains roughly 43% below its July 2025 peak around $3.66, when optimism over ETF approval and the end of the SEC case sent prices to a seven‑year high. ^[7]

So, while XRP is well off its summer high, it’s also nowhere near collapsing. Instead, it sits in a consolidation zone around $2 that has become the battleground between bulls and bears.

Macro backdrop: Fed rate cut expectations and “extreme fear” in crypto

Today’s XRP price action doesn’t exist in a vacuum — it’s happening against a tense macro backdrop:

The global crypto market cap slipped about 1.2% earlier today, with 86 of the top 100 coins in the red. Bitcoin trades just above $90,000, down around 1.1%, while Ethereum hovers near $3,120, slightly negative on the day. ^[8]
The crypto Fear & Greed Index is stuck at 19 (“extreme fear”), with both 7‑day and 30‑day averages also deep in fear territory — suggesting sentiment has been weak for weeks, not just today. ^[9]
Markets are focused on the FOMC meeting (Dec 9–10, 2025). Analysts widely expect a third consecutive 25‑basis‑point rate cut and a clearer signal that the Fed is winding down quantitative tightening (QT) and may gradually return to a more accommodative stance. ^[10]

A detailed XRP report from 99Bitcoins notes that if the Fed signals an end to QT and hints at renewed quantitative easing, risk assets could see a liquidity‑driven rally — and XRP, with its new ETFs and growing institutional footprint, may be one of the biggest beneficiaries. ^[11]

In short, macro risk remains high, sentiment is fearful, but a potential Fed pivot is keeping bulls hopeful.

Why XRP is in focus today: ETFs, Wall Street capital and on‑chain activity

1. XRP ETFs: fastest crypto ETF to $1 billion AUM after Ethereum

XRP’s new U.S. spot ETFs are at the center of today’s narrative:

U.S. spot XRP ETFs crossed the US$1 billion AUM mark in under four weeks, making XRP the fastest‑growing crypto ETF in the U.S. after Ethereum, according to data highlighted by Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse and compiled by 99Bitcoins and The Crypto Basic. ^[12]
A separate analysis from Coinpaper and others notes that XRP ETFs have seen around 15 consecutive trading days of net inflows, totaling nearly US$900 million, while asset manager 21Shares is reportedly seeking approval for its own XRP ETF product. ^[13]
AInvest’s research adds that cumulative ETF inflows have already surpassed US$1 billion, with US$756 million flowing in over just 11 sessions in Q4 2025, even as price has drifted lower and spot‑exchange liquidity fell about 29% thanks to ETF custody. ^[14]

Put simply, institutional money keeps flowing into XRP via ETFs, even though the spot price isn’t exploding higher. That disconnect is one of the key talking points for analysts today.

2. Ripple’s US$500M Wall Street raise and XRP‑heavy balance sheet

On top of ETF demand, Ripple itself just pulled in half a billion dollars from traditional finance:

In November, Ripple completed a US$500 million private share sale, valuing the company at roughly US$40 billion. Major investors included Citadel Securities, Fortress Investment Group, Marshall Wace, Brevan Howard, Galaxy Digital and Pantera Capital. ^[15]
The deal includes downside protection for investors: they can sell their shares back to Ripple in 3–4 years at a guaranteed 10% annual return, while Ripple would owe roughly 25% annualized if it decides to repurchase the shares early — a structure that blends venture capital with structured finance. ^[16]
Crucially, investors’ due‑diligence suggested that about 90% of Ripple’s net assets come from XRP holdings. Ripple reportedly held around US$124 billion worth of XRP as of July 2025, even after a more than 40% decline from July’s price peak, meaning the company’s XRP stash still exceeds the new equity valuation. ^[17]
Ripple has also been diversifying with acquisitions and products such as:
- Hidden Road for US$1.25B, forming Ripple Prime, a crypto‑native prime brokerage.
- GTreasury for US$1B.
- The launch of the RLUSD USD stablecoin. ^[18]

For XRP holders, this matters because Ripple’s financial health is tightly linked to XRP’s market value, and Wall Street’s willingness to structure capital around that exposure signals confidence — but also raises questions about how much of XRP’s value is still speculative rather than purely utility‑driven.

3. On‑chain metrics: heavy throughput, ETF regime and 707M XRP moved in 24 hours

Fresh on‑chain analysis today paints a picture of high network activity alongside price stagnation:

U.Today reports that the XRP Ledger has “printed” around 707 million XRP over the last 24 hours in terms of payments/transaction volume, a level of throughput dominance that has become more common since ETFs launched. ^[19]
Payment‑count and transaction data show the network processing close to one million transactions per day, with regular spikes in high‑value transfers, suggesting that institutional desks and arbitrage players are active — even though retail sentiment remains weak. ^[20]
AInvest’s analysis points out that network activity is volatile: active addresses hit a three‑month high in Q4 before dropping to roughly 19,400 by late November, a yearly low, raising concerns that much of the volume may be trading‑driven rather than organic payments usage. ^[21]

This supports the idea that XRP is shifting into a new “ETF/liquidity” regime, where large, sudden bursts of exchange and settlement activity are normal — but they don’t automatically translate into a steady uptrend in price.

4. Derivatives and liquidations: unusual imbalance in XRP shorts

A separate analysis from Pintu highlights a “unique phenomenon” in XRP’s derivatives market:

Recent data shows a large liquidation imbalance: long positions have been wiped out far more aggressively than shorts, yet there is surprisingly little short‑selling activity. ^[22]
The “max pain” price for shorts reportedly sits about 9.7% above the current spot price, with around US$12 million in exposure, making shorting XRP expensive and risky in the near term. ^[23]
Pintu concludes that the current drop in XRP looks more like a routine adjustment than a wave of aggressive bearish positioning, suggesting the market is still searching for direction rather than embracing a full‑blown downtrend. ^[24]

For traders, that means a sharp move either way is still possible, especially if macro news or ETF flows trigger a repricing.

Technical picture: key XRP levels to watch right now

Several fresh technical analyses published today and yesterday line up around the same critical zones.

Trend structure and moving averages

AInvest’s multi‑factor report describes a market caught between bearish structure and neutral momentum:

RSI sits around 46, indicating neither overbought nor oversold; sideways consolidation is likely. ^[25]
The 50‑day moving average (~$2.40) has crossed below the 200‑day (~$2.60), forming a classic “death cross” that usually signals a medium‑term bearish bias. ^[26]
Support zones:
- $2.54 has been a key consolidation area; a decisive break below this earlier in the month opened the path to $2.20 and now $2.00, which is being tested as psychological support. ^[27]
- Some analyses warn that failing to hold $2.00–$1.95 could trigger a sharper correction, especially if volume spikes on the downside. ^[28]
Bullish flip trigger: AInvest notes that a clear breakout above roughly $2.11 would confirm a symmetrical triangle breakout on some charts and could open the way back toward $2.40 and then $2.50+. ^[29]

Short‑term chart patterns

Coingape and other technical desks are also watching compression patterns:

Coingape highlights a symmetrical triangle on the lower timeframes, with XRP hugging the $2.02–$2.20 “mid‑range zone” after bouncing off lower support. Indicators like Parabolic SAR and MACD on the 4‑hour chart point to a slowly strengthening bullish structure, as long as price stays above the rising base. ^[30]
Liquidity is said to cluster around $2.20, and Coingape sees a path toward $2.53 if XRP can maintain a pattern of higher lows and avoid breaking its short‑term trendline. ^[31]
Meyka’s AI‑driven analysis places Bollinger upper resistance around $2.49 and notes an RSI of 45.5 plus ADX near 30, signaling a solid trend that’s paused rather than broken. ^[32]

Taken together, today’s technical picture suggests:

Near‑term support zone: ~$2.00–$2.02
First resistance: ~$2.11
Next resistance band: ~$2.29–$2.50
Deeper support if things break down: ~$1.82–$1.95 ^[33]

Fresh XRP price predictions as of December 9, 2025

Analysts and models are busy updating their XRP price forecasts today. The range of scenarios is wide — from cautious consolidation to multi‑year moonshots.

1. Short‑term forecasts (days to weeks)

MEXC / BitcoinEthereumNews
- Sees “bullish momentum building” near $2.06 and sets a 1‑week target at $2.29, calling it the immediate resistance.
- If bulls hold control, the 1‑month target is a range of $2.45–$2.70.
- Puts “critical support” around $1.82, warning that a break below there would invalidate the bullish setup. ^[34]
Meyka AI
- With XRP at roughly $2.08, Meyka’s model projects a rebound toward $2.49 over the coming month, linking that level to Bollinger‑band resistance.
- Quarterly and yearly outlooks extend to $4.41 (quarter) and $3.37 (1‑year), with a 3‑year target near $6.82 if trends and macro tailwinds cooperate. ^[35]
Coingape / Pintu short‑term view
- Coingape’s triangle analysis implies a potential 16% breakout move in either direction once compression resolves, roughly pointing toward the mid‑$2.30s on the upside. ^[36]

Overall, most near‑term models agree on this:

As long as XRP holds the $2.00 support, the next meaningful upside test sits in the $2.30–$2.50 range.

2. Medium‑term and 2026–2030 forecasts

Several in‑depth reports published in the last 48 hours outline multi‑year scenarios:

Cryptonews long‑term forecast (XRP Price Prediction 2025–2030)
- Estimates XRP could trade in a band of $2.26–$2.66 in 2026.
- For 2030, it projects a much wider range of roughly $4.05–$12.50, depending on adoption, regulation and overall crypto cycles. ^[37]
Leading AI “Claude” (via Cryptonews)
- Emphasizes XRP’s regulatory victory and ETF launches, plus growing adoption in Asia.
- Projects an ambitious $5–$8 price target by 2026, assuming XRP holds the $2.00 support and macro conditions improve. ^[38]
Coingape’s “Top 3 Predictions for December 2025”
Three well‑known technical analysts offer distinct medium‑to‑long‑range targets:
- Javon Marks: sees cycle symmetry with 2017 and proposes a high‑range target near $15 if the structure completes.
- Ali: focuses on the triangle compression, suggesting a 16% breakout driven by accumulation, which could be a stepping stone to higher levels.
- John Squire: compares today’s setup to the 2017 cycle and envisions a potential climb above $10 if historical rhythm repeats. ^[39]
Meyka AI 3‑year view
- Places a 3‑year target around $6.82, which broadly lines up with the lower end of the bullish analyst camp. ^[40]

These medium‑term forecasts differ in magnitude, but most share a similar structure:

Hold $2.00 in the near term.
Clear $2.50–$3.00 in the next bull phase.
Then potentially challenge new highs above $3.65 later this cycle.

3. Ultra‑long‑term and “moonshot” scenarios

At the extreme end of the spectrum, community models are once again floating four‑digit XRP targets, and not everyone is impressed:

A viral prediction model discussed by The Crypto Basic lays out a path for XRP to reach $1,000 by 2070, but with a very slow climb:
- $1.02 in 2026, a 55% drop from today’s $2.09 level.
- A further decline toward $0.61 in 2027, then a long grind back to around $2.37 by 2030.
- Only by 2036 does the model foresee $10, and $26 not until 2043, with $500 in 2058 and $1,000 in 2070. ^[41]
The same article notes that this model has been widely criticized from both sides: skeptics doubt XRP ever reaches $1,000, while some XRP supporters argue that waiting 45 years for that target is unrealistic given past performance. ^[42]

These moonshot projections are interesting but highly speculative. Even the article hosting the model stresses that there is no guarantee XRP will hit such levels, and investors should not rely on them for financial decisions. ^[43]

Bull vs. bear case for XRP right now

Bullish arguments

ETF momentum and institutional adoption
- Rapid growth to $1B+ ETF AUM, persistent inflows and the arrival of more issuers (like 21Shares) show strong regulated demand for XRP exposure. ^[44]
Regulatory clarity and capital raise
- The conclusion of the SEC case, CFTC‑linked listings and a US$500M Wall Street raise at a US$40B valuation position Ripple as an institution‑friendly infrastructure player. ^[45]
High network throughput despite price consolidation
- Near million‑per‑day transactions and hundreds of millions of XRP moving on‑chain show that the network remains heavily used, even with weaker retail sentiment. ^[46]
Technical structure still defending $2
- Multiple analyses agree that $2.00 has held as strong support after July’s blow‑off top, and indicators like MACD, RSI and Parabolic SAR hint at potential for an upside resolution if macro conditions improve. ^[47]

Bearish arguments

Death cross and weakening trend
- The 50‑day MA below the 200‑day and flattening RSI around the mid‑40s underline a cooling market that could drift lower if $2 breaks. ^[48]
Fading retail and network utility questions
- Active addresses dropped sharply after Q4’s spike, and some analysts warn that XRP’s current activity looks more speculative than utility‑driven. ^[49]
Macro risk and extreme fear
- Crypto as an asset class remains in extreme fear, and a surprise from the Fed (smaller rate cut, hawkish tone) could trigger another leg down for altcoins like XRP. ^[50]
Expectation vs. reality gap
- Despite ETFs, a massive capital raise and a big legal win, XRP is still well below its July peak. That raises the risk that optimistic forecasts are already “priced in”, at least partly. ^[51]

What to watch next for XRP

Over the coming days and weeks, traders watching “XRP price today” will likely focus on:

Fed decision and press conference
- Does the FOMC confirm a dovish pivot and hint at future QE‑style liquidity? Or does it warn markets not to expect too much easing? XRP is highly sensitive to this narrative. ^[52]
$2.00 support and $2.29–$2.50 resistance
- Holding $2.00 keeps the bullish structures intact.
- A decisive break above $2.29–$2.50 — the cluster of resistance flagged by MEXC, Meyka and Coingape — would signal that ETF flows and positive macro winds are finally overpowering selling pressure. ^[53]
ETF flow data
- Continued positive inflows or new ETF launches (e.g., 21Shares) would reinforce the bullish institutional story; significant outflows could undercut it quickly. ^[54]
On‑chain and derivatives metrics
- Watch for shifts in liquidation imbalances, funding rates, and active address counts — if shorts grow aggressive or network usage drops further, that could tilt the scale bearish; the opposite could support a rebound. ^[55]

Final thoughts and disclaimer

As of December 9, 2025, XRP is consolidating around $2, backed by strong institutional flows and ETF adoption, but weighed down by macro uncertainty, fading retail excitement and mixed technicals. Price forecasts for the next few years cluster between modest upside ($2.5–$4) and aggressive bull‑cycle scenarios ($8–$15 and beyond), while ultra‑long‑term community models targeting $1,000 remain purely speculative and heavily debated. ^[56]

This article is informational only and not investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are extremely volatile; you can lose all of your capital. Always do your own research, consider your risk tolerance, and, if needed, consult a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions.