Texas Instruments Incorporated (NASDAQ: TXN) ended Friday, December 12, 2025, at $179.42, down 1.24% on the day after trading between roughly $178.69 and $183.15. [1]
That close leaves TI stock well below its 52-week high of $221.69 (set July 11, 2025), while the broader semiconductor group saw outsized volatility into the end of the week. [2]
Below is a detailed look at what moved TXN this week, the most important Texas Instruments news from the last few days, and the events that could drive the next move in the week ahead (Dec. 15–19).
TXN this week: choppy trading, modest weekly decline
Texas Instruments stock didn’t trend in a straight line this week—it swung between the low-$180s and high-$170s, reflecting a mix of market-wide risk sentiment and TI-specific headlines.
Using widely published daily closes for the week, TXN moved roughly as follows:
- Dec 8 close: $180.94
- Dec 9 close: $179.52
- Dec 10 close: $181.67
- Dec 11 close: $181.67
- Dec 12 close: $179.42 [3]
By the end of Friday, TXN was down about 0.8% from Monday’s close, and about 1.7% from the prior Friday close (Dec 5: $182.54)—a relatively contained move compared with some higher-beta chip names. [4]
Friday’s tape: TXN fell, but “outperformed” many semiconductor peers
On Friday, TI declined 1.24%, but still held up better than several major chip peers during the same risk-off session (including a sharp drop in Broadcom). Trading volume was also below its 50‑day average, suggesting less aggressive selling pressure than the headline drop might imply. [5]
The biggest Texas Instruments news from the last few days
1) Lawsuits allege TI chips ended up in Russian weapons systems
The most attention-grabbing headline in the last few days: multiple lawsuits filed in Texas allege that semiconductors made by Texas Instruments (along with Intel, AMD and a distributor) were found in Russian and Iranian weapons systems used in attacks in Ukraine. Reports say the plaintiffs argue the companies failed to prevent diversion through third parties. [6]
Texas Instruments has said it stopped sales to Russia and Belarus in February 2022 and opposes the use of its products in weapons systems—an important context for investors weighing whether this becomes a material legal/financial overhang or remains a headline risk. [7]
Why it matters for TXN stock:
Even without immediate financial impact, litigation tied to geopolitics can introduce:
- Reputational risk and negative news flow
- Higher compliance and legal costs
- Questions about export controls and supply-chain monitoring
Markets often price these in gradually—first via sentiment, later via disclosures (if any) about reserves, expenses, or regulatory outcomes.
2) Institutional position updates and routine ownership headlines
Several “ownership update” stories circulated (common for large-cap stocks), including reports of institutions adding TXN shares. These filings are typically not thesis-changing on their own, but they can shape sentiment at the margins when the market is searching for signals about confidence in a name. [8]
3) Insider activity: Form 4 filing noted (gift transaction)
A Reuters-sourced item distributed via TradingView highlighted a Form 4/A disclosure showing a gift transaction by a TI vice president (a non-sale, non-purchase transfer). Investors generally treat “gift” filings differently than open-market selling, but they can still attract attention during headline-heavy weeks. [9]
Fundamentals check: what TI is coming off of (and why guidance still dominates the debate)
While this week’s trading had a lot of “headline” energy, TI’s core narrative is still anchored to three fundamental questions:
- Is the analog/industrial recovery accelerating—or staying sluggish?
- Will tariffs/trade uncertainty keep customers cautious?
- Can TI invest heavily in U.S. manufacturing without compressing profitability for longer than the market expects?
Q3 results: growth returned, but investors stayed focused on the outlook
In its most recent quarter (reported Oct. 21, 2025), TI reported:
- Revenue:$4.74 billion
- Net income:$1.36 billion
- EPS:$1.48 [10]
Those numbers pointed to improving demand versus the prior year in several areas, but the stock’s sensitivity has been highest to forward guidance rather than backward-looking beats.
Q4 guidance (still the key reference point for the market)
Reuters reported that TI guided for:
- Q4 revenue:$4.22B to $4.58B (vs. LSEG estimates cited at ~$4.51B)
- Q4 EPS:$1.13 to $1.39 (vs. estimates cited at ~$1.41) [11]
TI’s CEO described a recovery that exists but remains “very moderate,” and also pointed to a “wait-and-see” posture among customers—especially in industrial—amid tariff uncertainty. [12]
Dividend and capital returns: a major reason long-term holders watch TXN closely
Texas Instruments remains one of the semiconductor sector’s most widely owned income + quality compounder names.
- TI announced a 4% dividend increase to $1.42 per share quarterly (annualized $5.68), extending a long dividend-growth streak. [13]
- Nasdaq data has recently listed TXN’s dividend yield around the low‑3% range (varies with price). [14]
For many investors, that dividend “floor” can help explain why TXN sometimes trades with less drama than high-growth chip peers during broad selloffs.
Long-term strategy in the background: U.S. manufacturing expansion and CHIPS funding
Even if the market is trading TXN week-to-week on macro and guidance, TI’s strategic backdrop matters—especially for multi-year valuation.
- TI has said it plans to invest more than $60 billion across multiple U.S. semiconductor fabs—a major capacity and supply-chain positioning move. [15]
- TI also previously announced an award agreement under the CHIPS and Science Act, with the U.S. Department of Commerce awarding TI up to ~$1.6B in direct funding to support new 300mm fabs under construction in Texas and Utah. [16]
Investor tension: more capacity can strengthen resilience and share over time, but heavy capex can pressure free cash flow and margins in the near term—particularly if demand doesn’t snap back quickly.
Analyst outlook: targets imply moderate upside, but conviction looks mixed
Wall Street’s view on TXN is best described as cautious-to-neutral at current levels:
- One widely tracked compilation shows an average target price around ~$191 and an average recommendation around Hold. [17]
- MarketBeat’s consensus snapshot shows an average target near $191.67, with a notably wide range of forecasts (low-to-high). [18]
What analysts tend to debate most right now
- Bull case: inventory normalization + industrial recovery + TI’s durable model and shareholder returns
- Bear case: “foundational semis” recover slowly; limited AI/server exposure versus some peers; margin pressure risk from capex + uncertain demand; tariff and trade complexity lingering (a theme flagged repeatedly around TI’s outlook) [19]
Technical view: key levels traders are watching into next week
Without overcomplicating it, the chart-based story for TXN this week is fairly clear:
- Near-term support zone: roughly $178–$180 (Friday’s low was around $178.7, and the stock repeatedly interacted with the high-$170s/low-$180s this week). [20]
- Near-term resistance zone: roughly $183–$185 (Friday’s high was near $183.2, and earlier in the week TXN also traded in the low $180s). [21]
From a trend perspective, one data snapshot showed TXN trading above its 50‑day moving average but below its 200‑day moving average, a setup that often reflects a rebound attempt inside a longer consolidation. [22]
Week ahead (Dec. 15–19): what could move Texas Instruments stock next
1) Macro volatility still matters for “quality cyclicals” like TXN
This week, the Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 bps, taking the fed funds target range to 3.5%–3.75%. That matters because semiconductors trade partly on growth expectations and discount rates, while TI specifically is also tied to industrial and macro demand. [23]
2) CPI is the biggest scheduled “risk event” for markets next week
The November 2025 CPI release is scheduled for Thursday, Dec. 18, 2025 (8:30 a.m. ET). Any surprise in inflation (or inflation expectations) can quickly move Treasury yields—and that can ripple into equity valuations, including large-cap semis. [24]
3) Other U.S. data: consumer and production indicators can sway industrial sentiment
Weekly macro calendars highlight releases such as retail sales and other key growth indicators in the week of Dec. 15. Those matter to TXN because TI’s demand is heavily linked to real-economy end markets (industrial, auto, enterprise). [25]
4) Headline risk: litigation + trade/tariff narratives
Given that TI’s own management commentary has emphasized uncertainty around tariffs and industrial customer capex decisions, any fresh developments on trade policy, tariff rules, or enforcement can amplify stock moves—especially if they shift perceptions about the pace of recovery. [26]
Bottom line for TXN investors heading into next week
Texas Instruments stock closed Dec. 12 at $179.42, finishing a choppy, modestly down week with a market backdrop dominated by rate policy, inflation expectations, and notable volatility across semiconductors. [27]
For the week ahead, the cleanest setup is this:
- Macro (CPI on Dec. 18) is the biggest scheduled catalyst. [28]
- Company-specific headlines (especially the newly reported lawsuits) are the biggest unscheduled variable. [29]
- Fundamentals remain anchored to the same debate: a real recovery, but “moderate,” with customers cautious amid tariff uncertainty—meaning guidance sensitivity is likely to stay high until the market sees clearer evidence of a stronger analog/industrial upswing. [30]
References
1. www.marketwatch.com, 2. www.marketwatch.com, 3. stockanalysis.com, 4. stockanalysis.com, 5. www.marketwatch.com, 6. www.axios.com, 7. www.axios.com, 8. www.marketbeat.com, 9. www.tradingview.com, 10. www.ti.com, 11. www.reuters.com, 12. www.reuters.com, 13. www.ti.com, 14. www.nasdaq.com, 15. www.ti.com, 16. www.ti.com, 17. www.marketwatch.com, 18. www.marketbeat.com, 19. www.reuters.com, 20. stockanalysis.com, 21. stockanalysis.com, 22. www.marketbeat.com, 23. www.federalreserve.gov, 24. www.bls.gov, 25. tradingeconomics.com, 26. www.reuters.com, 27. stockanalysis.com, 28. www.bls.gov, 29. www.axios.com, 30. www.reuters.com
