Mumbai, December 17, 2025: Polycab India Ltd (NSE: POLYCAB, BSE: 542652) was firmly on traders’ radar on Wednesday after a sharp spike in activity and a large institutional transaction coincided with a notable intraday dip in the stock. By late morning trade, the counter was hovering near the ₹7,100 zone after sliding roughly 3–4% from the previous close, with heavy volumes and a wide day range. [1]
The immediate trigger was a large NSE block trade worth ₹544.32 crore, but the bigger conversation remains the same: how much of Polycab’s premium valuation can be supported by continued wires-and-cables outperformance, an improving consumer electricals (FMEG) trajectory, and management’s medium-term “Project Spring” execution plan. [2]
Polycab share price today: what happened on December 17
Market trackers flagged Polycab for unusually high-value trading early in the session.
According to MarketsMojo’s intraday snapshot (around 09:44 IST), Polycab recorded a traded volume of about 12.36 lakh shares with total traded value near ₹882 crore. The stock opened around ₹7,341, hit an intraday low near ₹7,031, and was trading near ₹7,123 at that time, down ~3.24% versus the prior close. [3]
On Moneycontrol’s price page later in the morning (around 12:06 IST), the day’s range was shown roughly in the ₹7,031–₹7,368 band, reinforcing the view that the session had turned into a “wide-range” day for the stock. [4]
The headline event: ₹544.32-crore block trade on NSE
A key driver behind the sudden surge in volume was a block trade reported on the National Stock Exchange:
- Shares traded: 756,782
- Price: ₹7,192.50 per share
- Total value: ₹544.32 crore [5]
Block trades are typically used by institutions to buy or sell large quantities with minimal market disruption. Even when the buyer/seller names aren’t immediately visible in public coverage, the presence of a block trade at scale often amplifies near-term volatility—especially in stocks that have already been priced for strong growth.
Why analysts still like the wires-and-cables theme
Even as the stock corrected intraday, the broader cables and wires narrative stayed constructive in sell-side commentary this week.
A Business Standard report on December 16 cited Motilal Oswal Financial Services as being upbeat on the cables and wires space, expecting strong demand momentum and noting that commodity price trends can lift reported revenue growth (while companies aim to protect margins through pass-through mechanisms). In that coverage, Motilal Oswal reiterated a ‘Buy’ on Polycab with a target price of ₹9,110. [6]
The same report also laid out a sector framework that matters for Polycab investors:
- The Indian cables and wires market size is described as having reached roughly ₹90,000 crore in FY25, with the brokerage projecting 13–14% CAGR over FY25–FY30, implying a potential market size near ₹1.9 trillion by FY30. [7]
- Data centres are highlighted as a structural cable demand driver, and the report cites the idea that cables form a meaningful portion of project capex and that incremental capacity creates recurring demand for premium cabling solutions. [8]
For Polycab, this “structural demand” framing is important because the stock’s valuation tends to trade more like a long-duration growth story than a simple cyclical industrial.
Fundamentals check: Polycab’s Q2 FY26 performance and what management guided
Polycab’s last major fundamental milestone was its Q2 FY26 (quarter ended Sept 30, 2025) result cycle, where the company reported strong growth and profitability momentum.
From the company’s Q2 FY26 earnings presentation:
- Revenue (Q2 FY26): ₹64,772 million (≈ ₹6,477 crore), up 18% YoY
- EBITDA (Q2 FY26): ₹10,207 million (≈ ₹1,021 crore), up 62% YoY
- PAT (Q2 FY26): ₹6,930 million (≈ ₹693 crore), up 56% YoY [9]
The company also emphasized that performance was led by Wires & Cables, with FMEG showing steady growth, while EPC revenue was weaker (as shown in segment commentary in the presentation). [10]
“Project Spring”: the forward-looking execution dashboard investors keep returning to
Polycab’s “Project Spring” slide has become a shorthand for what the market expects next—growth plus sustained margins, without sacrificing balance-sheet discipline.
Key targets and guideposts shown in the Q2 FY26 presentation include:
- Wires & Cables EBITDA margin guidance:11–13%
- FMEG EBITDA margin guidance:8–10%
- Exports contribution (FY30 guidance):>10%
- Annual capex:₹12–16 billion
- Dividend payout:>30% [11]
Whether Polycab can keep compounding without margin mean reversion is, bluntly, the stock’s core debate.
Credit profile and medium-term growth expectations: what CRISIL said
An underappreciated piece of the Polycab story is that it is being treated—by credit markets—as a high-quality operator with strong financial discipline.
In a November 17, 2025 rating rationale, CRISIL reaffirmed Polycab’s bank facility ratings at ‘CRISIL AAA/Stable’ and ‘CRISIL A1+’. In that note, CRISIL also highlighted:
- FY25 revenue growth of 24% to ₹22,408 crore
- H1 FY26 revenue growth of 21% to ₹12,383 crore
- A view that revenue could grow around 14–15% over the medium term, driven by robust demand and capacity ramp-ups [12]
CRISIL’s rationale also describes Polycab as the market leader in India’s organised wires and cables segment with a large distribution network—useful context for why the company commands premium investor attention. [13]
ESG update in the background: Polycab’s CDP score
Another “current” corporate development investors have been tracking is Polycab’s disclosure around its climate and water stewardship scoring.
Coverage this month reported that CDP (Carbon Disclosure Project) rated Polycab ‘B’ for both Climate Change and Water Security categories for 2025. [14]
CDP has also indicated that while 2025 scores are available in its portal, the public scores and A Lists are scheduled to be published in early January (calendar-year timing), which helps explain why these scores can circulate in markets before they become widely visible to all readers on the public CDP pages. [15]
Analyst targets and forecasts: where the Street is clustering
Despite Wednesday’s intraday weakness, analyst targets imply that many on the Street still see upside—though not uniformly.
Consensus targets
Investing.com’s analyst snapshot for Polycab showed:
- Average 12‑month target:₹8,214.9
- High / low:₹9,200 / ₹5,970
- Overall stance: “Buy,” with 21 analysts tagged as “buy” and 3 as “sell” [16]
Trendlyne’s consensus module on December 17 also displayed a target in the ₹8,200 zone and an implied mid‑teens percentage upside from the then-prevailing price levels. [17]
The bullish headline call: Motilal Oswal’s ₹9,110
ETMarkets’ “stocks to buy” compilation on December 17 again carried Motilal Oswal’s Buy stance on Polycab with a ₹9,110 target (similar to Business Standard’s reporting the day before). [18]
The takeaway: price targets are supportive, but they’re supportive because investors are effectively underwriting a continuation of “growth + margins” for several years—something the market will keep stress-testing every quarter.
Technical picture: short-term pressure, long-term support
Technical dashboards on the day painted a mixed picture.
MarketsMojo’s read suggested that Polycab was below several shorter moving averages (10/20/50-day) but above the 200-day moving average, a configuration that often shows near-term weakness within a longer-term uptrend framework. It also flagged that the stock was in a short-term correction phase in its model. [19]
For traders, this matters because big block trades often act like a “liquidity shock”—they can reset near-term levels even when the longer-term thesis hasn’t changed.
What investors will watch next
A few near-term signposts are likely to shape the next leg of Polycab’s stock narrative:
- Upcoming earnings catalyst: Market calendars point to a late-January window for the next results announcement (timelines can shift, but the date expectation itself becomes part of positioning). [20]
- Wires & cables momentum: Whether Polycab continues to outgrow the underlying market and sustain profitability in line with its “Project Spring” markers. [21]
- FMEG profitability trajectory: The company’s long-term narrative includes building a scaled consumer electricals business with meaningfully higher margins than it historically delivered. [22]
- Commodity pricing and pass-through: Copper and aluminium trends matter—both for reported revenue and for the constant “margin protection” test. [23]
- Exports and global mix: The company’s own FY30 aspiration includes a step-up in exports contribution, so quarter-by-quarter export progress will be watched closely. [24]
Bottom line
On December 17, 2025, Polycab India’s stock action was dominated by two things: a sharp intraday dip with heavy volumes and a ₹544-crore block trade that likely amplified near-term volatility. [25]
But under the surface, the market is still wrestling with the same longer story—Polycab’s ability to compound growth in wires and cables, improve FMEG profitability, and execute capex while maintaining premium margins. With broker targets clustering around ₹8,200–₹9,110 (and some analysts still cautious enough to keep the low-end target near ₹5,970), the stock remains a high-conviction battlefield: loved by growth bulls, constantly cross-examined by valuation bears. [26]
References
1. www.marketsmojo.com, 2. scanx.trade, 3. www.marketsmojo.com, 4. www.moneycontrol.com, 5. scanx.trade, 6. www.business-standard.com, 7. www.business-standard.com, 8. www.business-standard.com, 9. bsmedia.business-standard.com, 10. bsmedia.business-standard.com, 11. bsmedia.business-standard.com, 12. www.crisil.com, 13. www.crisil.com, 14. www.capitalmarket.com, 15. www.cdp.net, 16. www.investing.com, 17. trendlyne.com, 18. m.economictimes.com, 19. www.marketsmojo.com, 20. www.investing.com, 21. bsmedia.business-standard.com, 22. www.crisil.com, 23. www.business-standard.com, 24. bsmedia.business-standard.com, 25. www.marketsmojo.com, 26. www.investing.com
