FedEx stock (NYSE: FDX) traded higher in late Thursday trading after the shipping giant delivered a stronger-than-expected fiscal second-quarter report and lifted the low end of its full-year profit outlook. Shares were around $287, up roughly 1%–2% on the session, after swinging between about $282 and nearly $297 as investors digested the results and updated forecast.
The market’s immediate focus: a clean earnings beat driven by pricing and structural cost cuts, plus a clearer road map toward FedEx’s planned FedEx Freight spin-off in 2026—an event many on Wall Street see as a major catalyst for the stock’s next leg. 1
Why FedEx stock moved today
FedEx reported fiscal Q2 results (quarter ended Nov. 30, 2025) showing year-over-year improvement in profit and revenue, then raised its FY2026 revenue growth outlook and increased the lower end of its earnings forecast. 1
Reuters noted that the company’s peak-season pricing actions and ongoing cost-cutting helped offset softer shipment volumes, and said FDX shares rose in after-hours trading following the release (with after-hours prices fluctuating as the evening progressed). 2
FedEx earnings: the headline numbers investors are trading
FedEx’s reported results included both GAAP figures and adjusted (non-GAAP) metrics that exclude specific items (including costs tied to the Freight spin-off). Here are the key takeaways from the company’s release:
- Revenue: about $23.5 billion, up from $22.0 billion a year earlier
- Diluted EPS (GAAP): $4.04
- Diluted EPS (adjusted): $4.82
- Operating margin (GAAP): 5.9%
- Operating margin (adjusted): 6.9% 1
Barron’s reported that adjusted EPS of $4.82 topped the Wall Street consensus near $4.12, with revenue also ahead of expectations—one reason the stock attracted buyers even after a strong run into the print. 3
The engine of the quarter: pricing, yields, and cost reductions
FedEx framed the quarter as progress on a multi-year transformation effort—especially the company’s push to modernize and streamline its network (including “Network 2.0”), while leaning into pricing discipline during peak shipping season. 1
In its statement, FedEx attributed consolidated improvement to:
- Strength in U.S. domestic and International Priority package yields
- Continued structural cost reductions
- Higher U.S. domestic package volume 1
The operating detail supports that narrative. In the company’s statistical book, the Federal Express segment (FedEx’s primary parcel/express business line) posted a sharp step-up in profitability:
- Federal Express segment revenue (FY2026 Q2): $20.433B
- Federal Express segment operating income (FY2026 Q2): $1.551B
- Federal Express segment operating margin (FY2026 Q2): 7.6% 4
That margin expansion matters because it’s a central pillar of the bull case: investors want evidence that FedEx can keep widening profitability even when global trade is choppy.
A closer look at volume and yield signals
For the fiscal year-to-date period through Q2, FedEx reported higher package activity and improved yield in several lanes. In its annual operating statistics, FedEx showed:
- Total U.S. domestic average daily package volume (ADV): 14.315 million (in thousands) through Q2 YTD
- Composite package yield: $16.34 through Q2 YTD (up versus prior-year YTD) 4
The same table shows higher revenue per package in key categories such as U.S. priority and U.S. ground, reinforcing the idea that pricing and mix are doing real work—not just “cost cuts covering up weak demand.” 4
The weak spot: FedEx Freight profitability ahead of the spin-off
While the parcel/express side strengthened, FedEx Freight was the quarter’s pressure point—exactly as investors expected given the segment’s exposure to industrial demand and the one-time costs associated with separation.
FedEx said Freight results declined due to lower shipments, higher wage rates, and hiring of additional dedicated LTL sales professionals as the company prepares for the spin. FedEx also disclosed $152 million in one-time spin-off-related costs in the quarter. 1
The segment’s quarterly income statement shows how pronounced the margin impact was:
- FedEx Freight revenue (FY2026 Q2): $2.139B
- FedEx Freight operating income (FY2026 Q2): $90M
- FedEx Freight operating margin (FY2026 Q2): 4.2% 4
That margin compression is a big reason investors remain laser-focused on two things at once: (1) whether the core parcel network can keep expanding margins, and (2) whether the Freight separation unlocks value and creates a cleaner investment story.
Freight spin-off timeline: what’s new today
FedEx reiterated that the planned spin-off of FedEx Freight remains on track, with specifics that market participants closely watch:
- Target separation date: June 1, 2026
- Planned ticker: FDXF (NYSE)
- FedEx Freight Investor Day: April 8, 2026 (New York City) 1
This corporate action has become a core “forecast” driver for many FDX investors because it could change how the market values FedEx’s businesses—especially if Freight trades at a different multiple than the remaining parcel-focused company.
FedEx’s FY2026 forecast: guidance raised, but with key caveats
A major reason FedEx stock gained today is that management revised upward part of its full-year outlook.
FedEx now expects:
- FY2026 revenue growth: 5%–6% (up from 4%–6%)
- FY2026 diluted EPS (non-GAAP, before MTM retirement plan adjustments): $14.80–$16.00
- FY2026 diluted EPS (non-GAAP, excluding additional items including Freight spin costs): $17.80–$19.00(raised from $17.20–$19.00)
- FY2026 pension contributions: $275 million (down from “up to $400 million”) 1
The company also reaffirmed several important operating assumptions for the year, including:
- $1 billion of permanent cost reductions in transformation-related savings (including continued progress on Network 2.0)
- Capital spending of $4.5 billion, focused on network optimization and efficiency 1
One nuance investors should understand: FedEx said it cannot forecast fiscal 2026 mark-to-market (MTM) retirement plan accounting adjustments, which is why it is not providing a GAAP EPS outlook for FY2026. 1
Wall Street’s read-through: what analysts and markets focused on today
1) FedEx is still a global-demand bellwether—and the backdrop is noisy
Reuters underscored that FedEx and UPS are often treated as barometers of the global economy. The report pointed to continued pressure in industrial demand (including a U.S. manufacturing contraction) and ongoing tariff-related effects—factors that can influence shipping volumes and customer behavior. 2
2) Expectations were high heading into the print
Into Thursday, the “beat” bar wasn’t low. Barron’s and other market commentary highlighted that consensus estimates were clustered around $4.12 adjusted EPS on roughly $22.8 billion in revenue—benchmarks FedEx exceeded. 3
3) Options markets flagged a notable post-earnings move
Before the results, options activity suggested traders were positioning for a meaningful swing. TheFly/TipRanks reported pre-earnings options volume running 3.5x normal, with implied volatility pointing to a roughly 4.6% move post-report (about $13), and a median move of 6.9% over the prior eight quarters. 5
4) “Good quarter, but watch the Freight transition costs”
The Wall Street Journal’s initial coverage highlighted the Freight segment’s one-time spinoff costs and the broader theme of rising package volumes alongside a higher revenue base. 6
Capital return: buybacks were part of the story
FedEx also disclosed meaningful shareholder returns during the quarter:
- $276 million in share repurchases
- About 1.2 million shares repurchased
- $1.3 billion remaining under its 2024 repurchase authorization (as of Nov. 30, 2025)
- Cash on hand: $6.6 billion (as of Nov. 30, 2025) 1
For equity investors, buybacks can amplify EPS growth—especially when paired with operating margin improvement.
What to watch next for FedEx stock
With the earnings headline now known, the next debate for FDX stock centers on durability: can FedEx keep converting revenue into higher margins as the cycle evolves?
Here are the main swing factors investors and analysts are likely to track after Dec. 18:
- Sustained margin expansion in the Federal Express segment (the stock will likely follow the margin trend more than the revenue trend). 4
- Network 2.0 execution, as FedEx continues integrating and optimizing its network. 1
- Freight spin-off milestones, especially disclosures about costs, readiness, and any new financial framing for the post-spin companies. 1
- Macro and trade-policy impacts, which FedEx itself flagged as a headwind during the quarter. 1
Bottom line
FedEx stock rose today because the company delivered what the market wanted in a single release: a clear earnings beat, evidence that pricing and cost reductions are lifting profitability, and a more confident FY2026 outlook—all while keeping the high-profile FedEx Freight spin-off timeline intact. 1
As always with transport bellwethers, the next move in FDX will likely hinge less on one quarter and more on whether FedEx can sustain margin expansion through shifting consumer demand, industrial activity, and global trade conditions.
Note: This article is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.
