Microsoft stock slips into year-end close as tech cools; what MSFT bulls watch next

Microsoft stock slips into year-end close as tech cools; what MSFT bulls watch next

NEW YORK, December 31, 2025, 16:18 ET — After-hours

Microsoft Corp shares (MSFT.O) were down 0.8% at $483.54 in after-hours trading on Wednesday, extending a late-day fade in heavyweight technology stocks. The shares traded between $483.30 and $488.30 during the regular session.

The stock’s decline came as Wall Street finished the final session of 2025 lower, with the S&P 500 down 0.73%, the Nasdaq down 0.76% and the Dow down 0.62% in thin year-end trading ahead of the New Year’s Day market holiday. All three benchmarks still ended 2025 up by double digits after a year dominated by investor demand for AI-linked stocks. 1

That matters now because Microsoft is one of the largest index weights, and small moves in megacaps can sway benchmarks in low-liquidity sessions. It also sets the tone for the first week of 2026 as investors reassess the “AI trade” — a shorthand for stocks tied to artificial intelligence spending — against interest-rate expectations and earnings outlooks.

Microsoft ended 2025 up about 16% on a total-return basis, according to Yahoo Finance data. The stock’s relative performance has kept attention on whether Microsoft can keep translating AI features into paid usage across Azure and Microsoft 365. 2

At Wednesday’s levels, MSFT sat roughly 13% below its 52-week high of $555.45, according to MarketWatch. Some traders use that gap to frame near-term resistance levels into the new year. 3

Holiday weeks can also magnify tax-driven selling and portfolio rebalancing, particularly among the biggest winners. With rates still a key swing factor for valuations, traders have been sensitive to any shift in bond yields that changes the appeal of long-duration growth stocks.

Away from Wednesday’s tape, CEO Satya Nadella has reshaped Microsoft’s leadership as it tries to push its AI strategy beyond its reliance on OpenAI, the Financial Times reported on Tuesday. “Satya is in ‘founder mode’,” deputy chief technology officer Dee Templeton told the FT. 4

On the Street, Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives put Microsoft at the top of his AI stock picks for 2026, citing demand for Azure as companies build out AI infrastructure, Barron’s reported. 5

In a separate filing, Microsoft submitted a post-effective amendment on Form S-8 on Dec. 30, according to the SEC. Form S-8 is used to register shares issued under employee benefit plans, a common step for large employers with stock-based compensation. 6

The next major stock catalyst is Microsoft’s fiscal second-quarter results, but the company has not announced the date, its investor relations FAQ shows. 7

Nasdaq’s earnings calendar currently estimates Microsoft will report on Feb. 4, while noting the timing is based on historical patterns rather than a company confirmation. 8

Until that date is confirmed, traders are likely to keep benchmarking MSFT against other AI bellwethers on two fronts: the pace of cloud demand and any signs that rising AI infrastructure costs are stabilizing. In the near term, price action in megacap tech and moves in yields remain the main macro inputs shaping the stock’s day-to-day trade.

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