NEW YORK, January 1, 2026, 17:56 ET
Analysts tracking Coinbase Global see the stock climbing in 2026, with an average target price of $367.70 versus a last close of $226.14, MarketScreener data showed. The same consensus projects 2026 net sales of about $8.61 billion, up from roughly $7.35 billion in 2025, while net income is seen easing to around $2.02 billion from $2.24 billion. MarketScreener
That optimism meets a market that ended 2025 on edge. Bitcoin is on track for its first annual loss since 2022, and “bitcoin increasingly exhibits the characteristics of a risk asset,” said Linh Tran, a senior market analyst at XS.com. Reuters reported that crypto’s Washington agenda remains unfinished, with market-structure legislation and SEC carve-outs still in play even after the regulator moved to dismiss Biden-era lawsuits against firms including Coinbase and Binance.
For Coinbase, that backdrop matters because policy and risk appetite can hit the business at the same time. More volatile markets can lift trading activity, while a tighter rulebook can reshape where crypto dollars flow.
One flashpoint is stablecoins, crypto tokens designed to hold a steady value, typically pegged to the U.S. dollar. Coinbase’s chief policy officer Faryar Shirzad warned the U.S. debate over whether platforms can offer “rewards” tied to stablecoin use under the GENIUS Act could dent U.S. competitiveness, as China moves to make its central bank digital currency (CBDC) — a government-issued digital currency — more attractive, TradingView reported, citing a post on X. TradingView
Coinbase has positioned stablecoins as part of its growth plan. The company said revenue from its subscription and services unit — which includes businesses outside of trading — rose 34.3% in the third quarter, and Reuters reported that stablecoin revenue in that quarter rose to $354.7 million. Coinbase also said it was “accelerating payments through stablecoin adoption,” and highlighted policy tailwinds in its shareholder letter.
The exchange is also pushing beyond spot crypto trading. Coinbase is buying prediction-markets startup The Clearing Company and moving into stock trading, Reuters reported, putting it in more direct competition with Robinhood Markets and Interactive Brokers. Reuters
Even with a higher average price target, analysts remain split on how durable Coinbase’s earnings will be if crypto prices and volumes cool. The 2026 forecast rests on whether new products and services can keep revenue growing when trading slows.
The market is also relearning how quickly crypto can trade like equities. When investors dump risk, bitcoin’s moves can ripple into shares of crypto-linked firms, making 2026 as much about macro as about tokens.
Regulation is another swing factor. Clearer rules can broaden participation and reduce legal overhang, but restrictions on yields, rewards or distribution could limit some of the fastest-growing use cases.
For investors, the question is whether Coinbase can keep widening its revenue base while the next phase of U.S. crypto rulemaking takes shape. The stock’s 2026 path is likely to be set by that mix of policy, volumes and risk sentiment.
