NEW YORK, Jan 3, 2026, 15:53 ET — Market closed
McDonald’s Corporation (NYSE: MCD) shares ended down 0.8% at $303.26 on Friday, lagging a modest rise in the broader market on the first U.S. trading day of 2026. The Dow rose 0.7% and the S&P 500 gained 0.2%, while the Nasdaq finished little changed. 1
The move matters because investors often treat McDonald’s as a defensive consumer name, and relative weakness early in the year can signal caution around restaurant demand and cost pressure. With fourth-quarter earnings season approaching, traders are also sensitive to any shift in the interest-rate outlook that can shape discretionary spending.
Markets are heading into a new week with a heavy calendar of economic data that could reset expectations for growth, inflation and Federal Reserve policy. Those variables matter for restaurant stocks because they influence consumer budgets and wage costs at the same time.
Friday’s broader rally leaned on chipmakers and industrials, while some big consumer-discretionary names weighed on parts of the market, Reuters reported. “The market is seeing a buy the dip, sell the rip,” trading mentality, said Joe Mazzola, head of trading & derivatives strategist at Charles Schwab. 2
In restaurants, the tape was split. Chipotle rose 1.3%, while Starbucks fell 0.3% and Yum Brands slipped 0.5% on the day, MarketWatch data showed. 3
After the close, Law360 reported that McDonald’s and the workers filed a joint stipulation on Dec. 24 to dismiss with prejudice a nearly nine-year antitrust fight over “no-poach” provisions in franchise agreements. Those clauses refer to restrictions that can limit hiring between locations. 4
For investors, litigation tied to labor practices can create headline risk and uncertainty around potential damages. A dismissal “with prejudice” generally means the claims cannot be refiled in the same form, removing a source of overhang.
Rates remain a swing factor for consumer-facing stocks. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson said on Saturday that further Fed rate cuts could be some way off as officials assess inflation and the labor market. 5
Technically, McDonald’s stock is sitting near the middle of its 52-week range of $276.53 to $326.32. At Friday’s close, it was about 7% below its 52-week high. 6
Before the next session on Monday, investors will be watching whether fresh legal headlines change sentiment around the shares, and whether early-year positioning continues to favor cyclicals over steadier consumer names.
Next week’s U.S. data calendar starts with the ISM manufacturing survey on Monday and culminates in the closely watched December jobs report on Friday. The CPI inflation report for December is due on Jan. 13, another key input for rate expectations. 7
On the company front, McDonald’s has not confirmed its next earnings date, but market calendars tracked by Yahoo Finance and Zacks point to early February. Investors will focus on same-store sales — sales at restaurants open at least a year — and management commentary on value offers and digital ordering trends. 8
The Federal Reserve’s next policy meeting is scheduled for Jan. 27–28. Any shift in the central bank’s tone on inflation and growth will likely feed into how traders price consumer and restaurant stocks heading deeper into the quarter. 9
