JPMorgan stock closes higher to start 2026 — what investors watch before earnings

JPMorgan stock closes higher to start 2026 — what investors watch before earnings

NEW YORK, Jan 4, 2026, 10:20 ET — Market closed

  • JPMorgan shares last closed up 1.0% at $325.48 on Friday.
  • The bank is due to report fourth-quarter and full-year results on Jan. 13.
  • Investors are tracking rates and early-January U.S. data that can move bank margin expectations.

JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N) stock last closed up 1.0% at $325.48 on Friday, the first trading day of 2026.

With U.S. markets shut for the weekend, focus shifts to JPMorgan’s fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 report on Tuesday, Jan. 13. The bank said results are due around 7:00 a.m. ET, followed by an 8:30 a.m. conference call. 1

The timing matters because JPMorgan, the biggest U.S. bank by assets, often sets the tone for bank earnings season. Investors use its numbers and outlook to gauge loan demand, trading activity and early signs of credit stress across consumers and businesses.

Friday’s move came as Wall Street finished mixed but steadier, with investors rotating toward value shares and watching the rate outlook. “Value is outperforming growth,” said Jed Ellerbroek, a portfolio manager at Argent Capital, in a Reuters market wrap that also noted the 10-year Treasury yield ended at 4.191% and that delayed U.S. data releases were returning after the federal government shutdown. 2

Bank stocks broadly moved higher in the same session. Morgan Stanley rose 2.46% and Wells Fargo gained 2.15%, while Charles Schwab added 1.66%, with JPMorgan up 1.01% on the day. 3

Technically, JPMorgan is hovering just below its recent highs. The stock is about 1.6% under its 52-week high of $330.86 and above its 50-day moving average of about $311.47, according to Yahoo Finance statistics. 4

A small corporate signal also hit the tape at the turn of the year. A Form 4 filing disclosed a director received shares through a deferred board retainer arrangement tied to stock-based compensation. 5

What investors will press on in the Jan. 13 release is less about the headline profit number and more about the path for 2026. A key line item is net interest income — the difference between what the bank earns on loans and securities and what it pays depositors — because it swings with rate cuts and deposit pricing.

Trading and investment banking will also be in focus as Wall Street assesses dealmaking appetite and market volatility heading into the first quarter. JPMorgan has been viewed as a bellwether for those businesses given its scale across fixed income, equities and advisory.

But the bigger risk case for the stock remains cost discipline. In December, consumer and community banking chief Marianne Lake said the bank expects 2026 expenses of about $105 billion, above analysts’ expectations, even as the firm pointed to a more constructive backdrop for investment banking and stronger markets revenue. 6

Before earnings land, Monday brings a near-term macro catalyst watched by bank investors: the Institute for Supply Management’s manufacturing report, scheduled for release on Jan. 5. 7

Rates are the other major swing factor. The Federal Reserve’s next policy meeting is scheduled for Jan. 27–28, a date that can reshape expectations for bank margins and credit if the Fed signals a faster or slower path for cuts. 8

For JPMorgan stock, the next hard catalyst is Jan. 13: traders will be watching management’s 2026 expense commentary, net interest income sensitivity and any changes in credit tone that could ripple across peers.

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