NEW YORK, Jan 4, 2026, 11:22 AM ET — Market closed
Adobe Inc. (ADBE.O) shares fell 4.8% on Friday to close at $333.30, ending near the session low after trading down to $331.67. The stock opened at $351.73 and finished the day with about 5.6 million shares traded, according to market data.
The drop leaves Adobe starting 2026 on the defensive, a reminder that premium-priced software stocks remain sensitive to rates and growth fears. With no fresh earnings update until later in the quarter, traders are treating the name as a proxy for broader sentiment toward large-cap tech.
Wall Street ended mixed on the first trading day of the year even as the Dow and S&P 500 rose, while the Nasdaq slipped and Treasury yields climbed. The benchmark 10-year yield rose to about 4.19%, a move that can pressure growth stocks by making future earnings worth less in today’s dollars. 1
Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson said on Saturday that another cut in U.S. interest rates could be some way off, after the central bank trimmed its target range by 75 basis points, or 0.75 percentage point, in 2025. That backdrop has kept investors quick to sell into rallies in long-duration technology shares. 2
For Adobe, the $332 area is an immediate reference point heading into Monday’s open. A break below Friday’s low would add to the stock’s early-year downside momentum.
Adobe’s last major company catalyst came on Dec. 10, when it forecast fiscal 2026 revenue of $25.90 billion to $26.10 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $23.30 to $23.50. “We’re seeing significant strength in Creative Cloud Pro, Photoshop, Lightroom,” CFO Dan Durn told Reuters, pointing to early benefits from AI features. 3
In its filings, Adobe also set first-quarter targets of $6.25 billion to $6.30 billion in revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share of $5.85 to $5.90. It projected total ending annualized recurring revenue (ARR) growth of 10.2% for fiscal 2026 — ARR is the annual value of subscription contracts that are expected to repeat — and said the targets exclude any contribution from its planned Semrush acquisition. 4
On the product front, Adobe has been pushing deeper into generative AI — software that can create images or text from prompts — and said it was integrating Photoshop, Adobe Express and Acrobat into ChatGPT. The company said the tie-up would tap ChatGPT’s more than 800 million weekly active users. 5
But investors keep circling the same risk: new AI tools from rivals are improving quickly, and it may take longer for Adobe’s AI rollout to show up in paid upgrades without squeezing pricing. Reuters has reported that concern about competitive pressure and the time it takes to reach meaningful “AI monetization” has weighed on the shares during past sell-offs. 6
The next week brings a dense slate of U.S. data that can swing rate expectations, including the Institute for Supply Management’s manufacturing PMI — a survey-based gauge of factory activity — on Monday at 10 a.m. ET. Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report is due at 8:30 a.m. ET and is likely to be a major test for risk appetite in tech. 7
Rising yields typically hit higher-valued software names first, while a steadier rate backdrop can shift attention back to company fundamentals. For Adobe, that means March results, updated guidance and how quickly new AI features translate into paid upgrades.
The next company-specific catalyst is Adobe’s first-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings release and conference call on March 12. 8
