NEW YORK, Jan 4, 2026, 14:40 ET — Market closed
- IBM shares fell 1.6% on Friday, lagging a modest rise in U.S. blue-chip stocks.
- A director disclosure showed a routine deferral of board fees into stock-linked units.
- The next catalysts include the Jan. 9 U.S. jobs report and IBM’s scheduled Jan. 28 earnings date.
International Business Machines (IBM.N) shares fell 1.6% to $291.50 on Friday, even as the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended higher. The stock traded between $289.00 and $297.57 and remains below its 52-week high of $324.90, according to market data. 1
The early-year stumble matters because IBM sits at the intersection of enterprise software, infrastructure and consulting, where sentiment can turn quickly when budgets tighten. With U.S. markets closed for the weekend, investors are mapping out the next set of macro and company checkpoints that typically reset positioning.
IBM’s investor calendar lists Jan. 28 as a preliminary date for its fourth-quarter earnings announcement. The update is expected to refocus attention on software growth, consulting demand and the pace at which IBM is turning corporate AI spending into revenue and cash. 2
From a technical standpoint, traders have marked Friday’s low near $289 as near-term support, with the high-$290s acting as a first resistance zone. A decisive move outside that band has tended to draw fast money back into the name.
A Form 4 filing dated Dec. 31 showed board member Alex Gorsky deferred fees into 363 “Promised Fee Shares,” a stock-linked unit under IBM’s director deferred-compensation plan. The filing said the units are paid out after retirement in IBM common stock or cash. 3
Friday’s session also underscored how stock-specific moves can get swamped by the broader tape at the start of a new year. Chip stocks lifted the market while some heavyweight tech names fell, Reuters reported, and “buy the dip, sell the rip” remains the prevailing mentality, Joe Mazzola, head of trading and derivatives strategy at Charles Schwab, told Reuters. 4
The next earnings report will land after IBM’s October quarter, when the company beat estimates on demand for AI-powered mainframe systems, even as growth slowed in its Red Hat hybrid cloud unit, Reuters reported. The balance between hardware cycles, higher-margin software and services remains a central driver of the stock’s multiple. 5
IBM is also working through deal-related questions after it agreed in December to buy data-streaming company Confluent for $31 a share in cash, valuing the transaction at $11 billion. IBM said the acquisition is expected to close by mid-2026, subject to shareholder and regulatory approvals, as it pushes to strengthen its data platform for generative and “agentic” AI. 6
But IBM heads into the next stretch with little room for a misstep: any renewed slowdown in Red Hat’s growth or a pullback in IT services budgets would test the durability of the trade. Investors are also likely to probe for specifics on integration timing and costs tied to the Confluent transaction.
The market’s next macro catalyst is the U.S. employment report for December, due at 8:30 a.m. ET on Jan. 9. After that, attention shifts to IBM’s Jan. 28 earnings date for the clearest read yet on 2026 demand trends and any updated outlook. 7
