NEW YORK, Jan 4, 2026, 16:56 ET — Market closed
- Meta shares closed down about 1.5% on Friday at $650.41.
- U.S. data due next week includes ISM surveys (Jan. 5 and Jan. 7), the jobs report (Jan. 9) and CPI inflation (Jan. 13).
- Meta’s next major company catalyst is its fourth-quarter results, expected Feb. 4.
Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) shares slipped about 1.5% on Friday, the first trading day of 2026, to end at $650.41. U.S. markets are shut this weekend, leaving the stock to reopen on Monday with investors bracing for a data-heavy week.
Why it matters now: the first full week of the new year is packed with reports that can shift interest-rate expectations, a key driver for mega-cap tech valuations. Meta’s advertising-heavy model also makes the stock sensitive to any hint that growth is cooling or accelerating.
A pair of business surveys from the Institute for Supply Management — often treated as quick reads on economic momentum — land Monday (manufacturing) and Wednesday (services). The U.S. jobs report is due Friday, while the consumer price index (CPI), a key inflation gauge, follows on Jan. 13. 1
Meta goes into the week about 18% below its 52-week high of $796.25 and about 36% above its 52-week low of $479.80. The stock’s pullback toward the mid-$600s has put the $650 area back on traders’ radar as a near-term battleground.
In its most recent quarterly update in October, Meta forecast fourth-quarter revenue of $56 billion to $59 billion and raised its 2025 capital-expenditure outlook to $70 billion to $72 billion. Capital expenditures, or spending on items such as data centers and servers, are under a brighter spotlight as Meta builds out artificial-intelligence infrastructure, and the company said 2026 spending growth would be notably larger than in 2025. Meta also flagged rising legal and regulatory headwinds, saying further changes by the European Commission to its “Less Personalized Ads” offering could hurt European revenue as early as the current quarter.
The next scheduled company catalyst is Meta’s fourth-quarter report, expected on Feb. 4, according to Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. Investors will be looking for the balance between ad demand and the cost of AI investment, with any shift in 2026 spending plans likely to move the stock. 2
Competitive comparisons remain close in digital ads, where Alphabet and Snap are often read as temperature checks on marketing budgets. For Meta, the debate is whether AI tools keep lifting ad pricing while spending ramps.
Macro jitters can still dominate the tape. “Anything that has to do with underlying economic activity and inflation is really going to catch the market’s attention,” said Scott Wren, senior global market strategist at Wells Fargo Investment Institute. Fed funds futures — derivatives that reflect where traders expect the Fed’s policy rate to land — show little chance of a cut at the next meeting in late January but nearly a 50% chance of a quarter-point reduction in March, Reuters reported. 3
But the macro swing cuts both ways. A stronger-than-expected jobs report or hotter CPI print could push Treasury yields higher and pressure growth stocks like Meta; a weak report risks reviving recession talk and weighing on ad spending.
The immediate focus is Monday’s ISM manufacturing reading and Friday’s jobs report. For Meta shareholders, the next company-specific test is the expected Feb. 4 earnings report and any update on 2026 revenue and spending targets.
