New York, Jan 5, 2026, 20:03 EST — Market closed
- Walmart shares slipped 0.04% to close at $112.71, and were little changed after the bell.
- Mizuho raised its price target to $125 but removed Walmart from its Top Picks list; Bernstein lifted its target to $129.
- Investors are watching Walmart’s Jan. 13 ICR conference appearance and its Feb. 19 fiscal fourth-quarter results.
Walmart Inc shares were last at $112.71 after U.S. markets shut, little changed in late after-hours trading.
The muted move masks a bigger question hanging over big-box retail at the start of 2026: whether spending holds up as inflation remains elevated and the labor market shows signs of cooling.
For Walmart, that debate matters because it sits at the intersection of grocery essentials and discretionary categories. Investors tend to treat it as both a consumer bellwether and a defensive name when households tighten budgets.
In Monday’s regular session, Walmart closed down 0.04% at $112.71, lagging sharper gains in some retail peers as the broader market rose. Amazon.com added 2.90% and Costco Wholesale climbed 2.49%, while the S&P 500 rose 0.64% and the Dow ended up 1.23%, MarketWatch data showed. 1
Mizuho analyst David Bellinger raised his price target on Walmart to $125 from $115 and kept an Outperform rating — a call that the stock will beat its peers — but removed it from the firm’s Top Picks list in a retail-sector reshuffle. “Signs of strained consumer sentiment” are emerging, Bellinger wrote, though “the key underpinnings of spending are still very much intact.” 2
Bernstein also lifted its price target, raising it to $129 from $122 and reiterating an Outperform rating, citing a view that middle- to higher-income shoppers are better positioned this year than lower-income consumers as inflation and job-market softness erode purchasing power at the bottom end. 3
Price targets are analysts’ estimates of where a stock should trade over the next 12 months, and they tend to carry more weight when multiple firms move in the same direction. Even so, the mixed signals — higher targets but a “top picks” exit — suggest some strategists see less room for upside after Walmart’s recent run.
Technicians, meanwhile, are watching whether the stock can push back toward its 52-week high of $117.45 or slips toward support near its 50-day moving average of $108.41, according to Yahoo Finance data. 4
A key risk is that consumer strain spreads beyond lower-income households, forcing deeper price investment and promotional activity across categories that are more margin-sensitive than groceries. A sharper slowdown could also crimp higher-margin discretionary sales and weigh on operating leverage.
The next near-term catalyst is Walmart’s scheduled appearance at the ICR Conference on Jan. 13, followed by its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings release on Feb. 19, according to the company’s events calendar. 5
