MercadoLibre stock extends surge as Venezuela headlines keep MELI in play

MercadoLibre stock extends surge as Venezuela headlines keep MELI in play

New York, January 6, 2026, 12:20 EST — Regular session

  • MercadoLibre shares rose about 3.3% in U.S. trading, extending Monday’s sharp gain.
  • Traders pointed to Venezuela-driven “risk-on” buying across Latin American assets.
  • Next focal points include Washington’s Venezuela signals and MercadoLibre’s late-February results.

Shares of MercadoLibre (MELI) rose about 3.3% on Tuesday to $2,219.87 in regular trading, extending the prior session’s rally as investors continued to reposition around Venezuela-related headlines.

The move matters now because MercadoLibre is one of the most liquid U.S.-listed ways to express a view on Latin America, and it has become a fast-moving proxy when investors swing into “risk-on” trades — a shift toward higher-risk assets. A Zacks markets note said the stock gained about 8.8% on Monday as “hopeful Venezuelan sentiment” spread. Nasdaq

Broader markets turned higher after a U.S. military strike that captured Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, lifting major stock indexes and oil prices. Oliver Pursche, senior vice president and adviser at Wealthspire Advisors, said it was “reasonable” for markets to “largely ignore the geopolitics” beyond a narrow set of oil-linked names. Reuters

Traders have framed the latest headlines as a long-dated optionality bet on Venezuela becoming a more investable market for online commerce and digital payments. Seeking Alpha wrote on Monday that investors were circling MercadoLibre as a potential beneficiary of increased U.S. involvement in Venezuela. Seeking Alpha

At around $2,220, MercadoLibre was trading within its $2,138 to $2,240 session range and roughly 16% below its 52-week high of $2,645, according to Investing.com data. Investing.com also put MercadoLibre’s market value at about $112.5 billion. Investing

But the stock’s momentum is vulnerable if investors reassess the downside. Zacks Equity Research warned on Monday that MercadoLibre’s rapidly expanding credit book — lending tied to its fintech operations — increases exposure to borrower stress and funding costs, even as consensus estimates point to strong fintech revenue growth. Zacks also flagged competition from Sea and Nu Holdings in parts of the region. Nasdaq

Venezuela-linked assets remained volatile on Tuesday, with the country’s defaulted international bonds extending their rally on optimism around political change and a possible restructuring path. Jared Lou, a portfolio manager at William Blair Investment Management, said a “credible and structured political transition” could lead to a sustained rally in Venezuelan bond prices. Reuters

For MercadoLibre shareholders, the near-term test is whether Washington adds clarity on Venezuela — Trump is set to meet U.S. oil executives this week, Reuters reported — and whether that keeps the “risk-on” bid alive. The company’s investor relations calendar lists its fourth-quarter results for Feb. 24 on a provisional basis. Reuters

Stock Market Today

  • Oil slides as US moves to market Venezuela's crude; WTI, Brent futures retreat; stocks slip from records
    January 8, 2026, 7:41 AM EST. Oil prices fell after Energy Secretary Chris Wright said the United States would market Venezuela's crude, including stored and floating supply. WTI futures dropped more than 1.6% to below $59.40, while Brent slid about 0.8% to under $60.30. Wright said the US would supply diluents to liquefy heavy crude for transport, a step that could reopen Venezuela shipments. It remains unclear whether the government or oil companies would lead. The remarks come as President Trump muses about reviving Venezuela's output, with estimates suggesting around $180 billion in investment through 2040 to return to early-2000s levels. Major US majors Chevron, ExxonMobil and ConocoPhillips are set to meet the president to discuss reentry, but pace and risk remain uncertain. Markets had softened from earlier rally highs amid growing risks.
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