Microsoft stock price forecast: MSFT climbs as AI trade returns — payrolls and earnings in focus

Microsoft stock price forecast: MSFT climbs as AI trade returns — payrolls and earnings in focus

NEW YORK, January 7, 2026, 15:29 (EST) — Regular session

Microsoft (MSFT) shares rose 1.2% to $484.34 in afternoon trading on Wednesday, keeping pace with a renewed bid for big-cap tech. The stock ended Tuesday at $478.51.

The move comes as investors rotate back into stocks tied to artificial intelligence, after recent hand-wringing over stretched valuations. The Nasdaq was up 0.48% and the S&P 500 was up 0.03%, with Microsoft among the AI-linked names leading gains. “Investors have come into 2026 with a similar playbook to last year: Buy tech and forget about it,” Jake Dollarhide, chief executive of Longbow Asset Management, said. Reuters

Fresh labour data also kept expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts in play, a backdrop that tends to support growth stocks whose profits lie further out. ADP said private payrolls rose 41,000 in December, missing forecasts, and a separate report showed job openings fell to 7.146 million in November. Reuters

For Microsoft, the AI story is increasingly colliding with the unglamorous plumbing behind it: power. The Midcontinent Independent System Operator said on Tuesday it would deploy Microsoft technology to help predict and respond to weather-related disruptions, plan transmission lines and speed some operations across a grid that spans 15 U.S. states and parts of Canada. “Such acceleration is critical,” MISO Chief Information and Digital Officer Nirav Shah said, with the statement offering no financial terms. Reuters

Chart watchers say the stock still has work to do after slipping from its highs last year. Shares sit below their 50-day moving average of $494.66 — a medium-term trend marker — and well under the 52-week high of $555.45, leaving the Microsoft stock price forecast sensitive to the next macro or earnings jolt. Yahoo Finance

The next hard company catalyst is Microsoft’s quarterly update on Azure, its cloud platform that competes with Amazon Web Services and Alphabet’s Google Cloud. Microsoft has not announced the date of its next earnings release, though earnings calendars such as Yahoo Finance list a January 28 report after the market close. Microsoft

But the setup cuts both ways. A hotter-than-expected jobs print could push bond yields higher and pressure tech valuations, while any sign that AI spending is outrunning revenue gains would revive worries about margins.

The immediate test is the U.S. Employment Situation report for December, due Friday, January 9 at 8:30 a.m. ET. Bls

Stock Market Today

  • Gold rises as traders await U.S. jobs data; Fed chair decision looms
    January 9, 2026, 5:33 AM EST. Gold was firmer as traders awaited Friday's U.S. data for clues on the path of interest rates. New York futures rose 0.4% to $4,478 per troy ounce, set for a 3.4% weekly gain. 'Attention is now on Friday's December nonfarm payrolls report, which is expected to show solid hiring but steady unemployment-a mixed picture that may reduce urgency for the Fed to resume rate cuts,' said Soojin Kim of MUFG. Traders also watched the expected selection of a new Fed chair, after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said President Trump is likely to name a successor to Jerome Powell later this month.
IREN stock price forecast: Why the shares are sliding and what to watch before earnings
Previous Story

IREN stock price forecast: Why the shares are sliding and what to watch before earnings

PLTR stock price forecast: Palantir climbs as Truist slaps $223 target on shares
Next Story

PLTR stock price forecast: Palantir climbs as Truist slaps $223 target on shares

Go toTop