Lumentum stock drops 11% after a wild reversal, even as Needham lifts its target to $470

Lumentum stock drops 11% after a wild reversal, even as Needham lifts its target to $470

New York, January 8, 2026, 7:19 PM EST — After-hours

  • Lumentum shares slid about 11% after swinging from near $400 to the mid-$340s
  • Needham lifted its price target to $470 and reiterated a Buy rating
  • Next focus is Lumentum’s Feb. 3 results after the close

Lumentum Holdings Inc. shares fell 11.3% to $348.26 in after-hours trading on Thursday, after opening near $394 and briefly pushing to $399.88 before sliding as low as $343.41.

The late-day drop matters because Lumentum has become a high-beta proxy for spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure, where investors have started to press for payback, not just growth. “While AI is still hot, there are going to be winners and losers,” said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley Wealth, after the Nasdaq ended lower even as the Dow rose. 1

Needham raised its price target on Lumentum to $470 from $290 and kept a Buy rating, repeating it as a top pick for 2026, TipRanks reported. The note said optical spending for AI infrastructure is still climbing and called Lumentum “uniquely positioned” across AI data-center applications, pointing to limited competition in InP (indium phosphide) laser fabrication — a material used in high-speed optical lasers. 2

The selloff capped a choppy week for the stock. Lumentum jumped 11.3% on Tuesday, then slipped 1.1% on Wednesday after touching a fresh 52-week high near $402.8, before Thursday’s 11.4% slide. 3

In a filing this week, Lumentum said Chief Accounting Officer Matthew Sepe plans to retire in fall 2026 and will step down from the CAO role in early February, with Senior Vice President of Finance Eric Chang set to take over. The change takes effect on the later of Feb. 6 or the date the company files its quarterly report on Form 10‑Q — its standard quarterly filing — for the period ended Dec. 27, the filing showed. 4

Lumentum makes photonics-based products used in telecom, enterprise and data-center networks and commercial lasers for industrial applications, the company says. It is headquartered in San Jose, California. 5

The risk for bulls is that AI-related network buildouts run hot-and-cold, and that any pause in spending ripples quickly into orders for optical parts. With the stock’s recent run and Thursday’s intraday swing, even a small reset in expectations can translate into big percentage moves.

Investors’ next hard catalyst is Lumentum’s fiscal second-quarter results, due Feb. 3 after the market closes, with a conference call set for 5 p.m. ET the same day, Lumentum said. 6

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