New York, January 9, 2026, 12:49 (ET) — Regular session
- Citigroup shares rose about 0.8% in midday trade
- Investors are positioning for big-bank earnings and U.S. inflation data next week
- Analysts see a rebound in investment banking and capital markets driving results
Citigroup shares were up 0.8% at $121.53 on Friday, with investors leaning into the start of U.S. bank earnings season next week and a key inflation report that could shift rate bets.
Stocks have opened 2026 calmly, but strategists say the quiet could break as earnings and macro data hit. “As we’re starting January, the market may be underappreciating some of the events on the horizon,” Michael Arone, chief investment strategist at State Street Investment Management, said. 1
The bank reports start with JPMorgan on Jan. 13, followed by Citigroup, Bank of America and Wells Fargo on Jan. 14, Reuters reported. Analysts see Citigroup’s earnings per share — a common profit gauge — rising 32% from a year earlier, helped by stronger capital markets, while Morningstar analyst Sean Dunlop said inflation is “the biggest variable” he is watching into earnings. 2
Citigroup will release its fourth-quarter 2025 results at about 8 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Jan. 14, and hold a webcast and conference call at 11 a.m., the bank said. 3
The Consumer Price Index for December 2025 is scheduled for release on Tuesday, Jan. 13 at 8:30 a.m. ET, the Labor Department said, putting inflation back at the center of the rate debate. 4
The Federal Reserve’s next policy meeting is set for Jan. 27-28, according to the central bank’s 2026 calendar. 5
Citigroup entered 2026 trading above book value for the first time since 2008 after a roughly 70% gain in 2025, the Wall Street Journal reported, a run that has raised the bar for the next set of numbers. Analysts have said they want to see progress toward Citi’s 10% to 11% return on tangible common equity target — profit relative to a stripped-down measure of capital — by end-2026. 6
But the setup can turn fast. A hotter CPI print could knock back expectations for further Fed cuts, while any hint of softer deal flow or rising credit stress would test a stock that has already repriced sharply.
The next dates in focus are Tuesday’s CPI release and Wednesday’s Citigroup results, with investors also eyeing the bank’s May 7 investor day on its calendar for its next longer-range update. 7
