TSMC stock rises after revenue beat; Jan. 15 earnings outlook is the next test

TSMC stock rises after revenue beat; Jan. 15 earnings outlook is the next test

Taipei, Jan 10, 2026, 23:01 GMT+8 — Market closed

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd.’s U.S.-listed shares climbed 1.7% on Friday, closing at $323.63. The chipmaker posted fourth-quarter revenue of T$1.046 trillion ($33.11 billion), a 20.45% increase that exceeded forecasts compiled by LSEG. (Reuters)

The sales update arrives just as chip stocks grapple with pricing in the next surge of AI-driven demand, following a sharp rally that’s left little margin for error.

TSMC stands as the largest contract chipmaker globally—a “foundry” that builds chips designed by other companies—and its results are closely watched as a barometer for customers and suppliers throughout the semiconductor industry.

TSMC reported December revenue of roughly NT$335.00 billion, marking a 2.5% drop from November but a 20.4% jump compared to the same month last year. The chipmaker’s total revenue for January through December 2025 hit NT$3,809.05 billion, climbing 31.6% from 2024, the company said in a statement. (TSMC)

The company plans to hold its fourth-quarter earnings call on Jan. 15, per its investor relations calendar. (TSMC)

TSMC’s shares in Taipei edged down 0.3% to NT$1,680, as Taiwan’s market closed for the weekend. (TradingView)

“Everything related to AI, from front-end to back-end capacity, is extremely tight,” chairman and CEO C.C. Wei said to investors, according to the Taipei Times, as the company pushes to boost output and keep up with demand. (Taipei Times)

Customer signals remain mixed. Nvidia is ramping up production of its H200 chips at TSMC, with shipments slated to start before the Lunar New Year in mid-February, Reuters reported Thursday. (Reuters)

On a technical note, the ADR has hovered close to its recent peaks; according to Investing, its 52-week range sits between $134.25 and $333.08.

According to Barchart data, the ADR is currently trading above both its 50-day moving average of $295.86 and its 200-day average at $242.59. Moving averages help traders filter out the noise by smoothing price fluctuations over time. (Barchart)

Competition persists, though it’s mostly a slow crawl. Samsung Electronics and Intel are both pushing hard to narrow the lead in cutting-edge manufacturing, a battle that’s crucial at the newest process nodes.

The immediate concern is that AI server spending might slow more quickly than anticipated, or orders could be delayed as clients work through existing inventory. Any unexpected shifts in margins or capital expenditures could unsettle a stock currently valued on consistent performance.

Investors are also focused on Tuesday’s U.S. consumer price index report for December, due out at 8:30 a.m., along with the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting on Jan. 27-28. Both will play a crucial role in shaping rate expectations, which often impact valuations in big tech and chip sectors. (Bureau of Labor Statistics)

On Jan. 15, TSMC will lay out its 2026 growth and spending plans. Traders will be watching closely to see if the AI-driven demand story remains intact as the new year kicks off.

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