NEW YORK, Jan 10, 2026, 13:34 EST — Market closed
Lockheed Martin shares closed Friday up 4.72% at $542.92, reclaiming their spot at the top of the industrials sector after a volatile start to 2026. 1
The trigger came from Washington. President Donald Trump proposed a $1.5 trillion U.S. military budget for 2027, sending Lockheed’s stock higher after it had dipped earlier in the week on worries over limits on shareholder payouts. RBC Capital Markets analysts, led by Ken Herbert, said that the budget boost might “offset” the potential blow from tighter capital return rules, though they warned of “significant uncertainty” about the final figure. Morgan Stanley’s Kristine Liwag described a cap on dividends and buybacks as an “incremental negative,” but one that’s “manageable.” 2
The spending plan isn’t set in stone, and higher defense costs clash directly with deficit constraints. Moody’s Ratings analyst David Rogovic noted the proposal would probably push U.S. fiscal deficits wider and needs congressional sign-off, with little room to find offsetting savings or boost revenue. 3
Broker moves added momentum on Friday. Truist Securities’ Michael Ciarmoli upgraded Lockheed to “buy,” setting a $605 price target. He pointed to the stock’s underperformance in 2025 and its valuation as creating a “compelling risk/reward profile” for 2026. Remember, a price target reflects where an analyst expects a stock to trade over the next year. 4
Traders are eyeing if the rally holds. On Friday, the stock climbed to an intraday peak of $546.07 before closing at $542.92. Since then, it has dipped into the low $520s over the past two sessions, setting those levels as key near-term benchmarks on the chart. 5
The wider scene isn’t calm either. U.S. investors face December’s consumer price index report on Tuesday, followed by the kickoff of quarterly earnings season with major banks taking the lead. These events could sway rate-cut bets and risk appetite in cyclicals like industrials. 6
But the trade has clear risks. The $1.5 trillion budget is just a headline figure until Congress translates it into actual appropriations. Any fresh efforts to curb dividends or buybacks could strip away a crucial support for the sector right as valuations climb higher.
Monday’s open hinges on whether defense stocks can maintain their gains without a new policy shock. Traders are also focused on any updates about linking contractors’ cash returns to production goals.
Lockheed’s next big moment comes Jan. 29, when it’s set to release its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, followed by an 8:30 a.m. EST conference call. Investors will be zeroing in on demand trends, margins, and cash flow strategies—details that will likely outweigh any single day of political chatter in Washington. 7
