New York, January 11, 2026, 19:25 EST — Market closed
- NIO’s shares listed in the U.S. dropped 1.9% on Friday, capping a tough week for the stock.
- The company just hit its 1,000,000th vehicle milestone and doubled down on its aggressive volume-growth targets.
- Traders this week brace for U.S. inflation data set to shift risk appetite, especially for high-beta stocks.
NIO Inc’s American depositary shares, which allow foreign companies to trade in the U.S., fell 1.9% to close at $4.64 on Friday. The stock remains roughly 42% below its 52-week peak of $8.02 reached on Oct. 2. Friday’s volume was around 38 million shares, trailing the 50-day average, according to MarketWatch data. 1
NIO heads into Monday’s session with slim room to absorb another shake-up in growth stocks. The stock often acts as a sentiment barometer, combining China exposure, EV momentum, and balance sheet concerns into a single ticker.
Investors now face a key question: can NIO continue boosting deliveries while trimming the cost per vehicle? This is crucial since China’s EV market is both crowded and highly price-sensitive, and U.S.-listed stocks have penalized firms that expand volume without improving profits.
Last week, the company marked a milestone as its 1,000,000th vehicle rolled off the line at Factory Two in Hefei. That vehicle, an All-New ES8, was donated to the Micius Quantum Foundation. CEO William Li described the moment as “a new starting point,” emphasizing NIO’s goal to sustain annual volume growth between “40% to 50%.” The company also aims to surpass 10,000 charging stations and 10,000 battery swap stations each by 2030. 2
A company update earlier this month made clear why that growth target is within reach. NIO reported delivering a record 48,135 vehicles in December, a 54.6% increase year-over-year, and 326,028 vehicles in 2025, up 46.9%. That brings total deliveries to 997,592 vehicles. 3
Executives are pushing a clearer overseas narrative. NIO aims to break into Australia and New Zealand markets in the second half of 2026. They also plan to roll out Firefly-branded vehicles in Thailand come March, according to the Wall Street Journal, which cited Chris Chen, NIO’s head of global business. “We started expanding our business globally toward the end of 2024,” Chen said. 4
Traders see the short-term takeaway clearly: expanding overseas opens up a bigger market but risks burning cash upfront. Investors want proof NIO can grow without digging deeper into discounts, particularly while managing several brands and hefty costs like battery swapping infrastructure.
But there’s a catch. Launching in new markets won’t solve margin issues by itself, and policy risks continue to shadow Chinese-made EVs across parts of Europe and beyond. A misstep in rollout timing, consumer demand, or pricing could lock the stock near its lows.
The next major test for global risk appetite arrives Tuesday. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the December Consumer Price Index report on Jan. 13 at 8:30 a.m. EST. This data often shakes up interest rates and impacts high-growth stocks sensitive to those moves. 5
