Super Group (SGHC) stock heads into ICR week — what traders are watching next

Super Group (SGHC) stock heads into ICR week — what traders are watching next

NEW YORK, Jan 11, 2026, 21:22 EST — Market closed

  • Super Group shares last traded at $10.50, slipping roughly 0.5% from the previous close.
  • Management will present at the ICR Conference in Orlando on Monday, followed by the Needham Growth Conference in New York on Tuesday.
  • With UK gambling duty hikes looming, investors are closely eyeing any new details on 2026 margins.

Super Group (SGHC) closed Friday at $10.50, slipping roughly 0.5%. Management is scheduled for back-to-back investor events early this week. They’ll be at the ICR Conference in Orlando on Jan. 12, then head to the Needham Growth Conference in New York at 8:00 a.m. ET on Jan. 13. (Super Group)

Timing is key. SGHC slipped from $11.91 on Jan. 5 down to $10.56 by Jan. 8, erasing some of its early-January gains. The stock now seems poised to find fresh momentum as the week begins. (Super Group)

Investors will be tuned in for any hint of guidance — formal or not — following the company’s November earnings update. Super Group reported third-quarter revenue of $556.9 million and raised its full-year revenue forecast to a range of $2.17 billion to $2.27 billion. It also boosted its Adjusted EBITDA estimate to between $555 million and $565 million. Adjusted EBITDA is a cash earnings measure that excludes items like interest, taxes, and depreciation. (Business Wire)

The downside risk remains, anchored firmly in the UK tax timeline. Back in late November, the company revealed plans for the UK to hike Remote Gaming Duty — a tax on online gaming revenue — from 21% to 40%, starting April 2026. General Betting Duty is also set to rise, from 15% to 25%, beginning April 2027. Chief financial officer Alinda van Wyk warned the changes could slash about 6% off the 2026 Group Adjusted EBITDA. (Business Wire)

Super Group owns online sports betting and casino brands like Betway and Spin. It holds licences in several regions and operates across Europe, the Americas, and Africa. (Super Group | SGHC Ltd Official Website)

This week, traders are focused on one thing: whether management’s remarks indicate the UK hit can be handled without sacrificing growth, and if there’s any update on marketing intensity for 2026. Even a slight signal of stricter customer acquisition or weaker player spending could send these stocks moving fast.

Competitive pressure adds to the challenge. Online betting operators face tight margins, especially as taxes increase and promotional activity ramps up simultaneously in mature markets.

SGHC starts Monday about 27% off its 52-week peak of $14.40, as investors brace for new data instead of a shift in the story.

Next on the docket: the company’s ICR appearance Monday in Orlando, followed by the Needham Growth Conference on Tuesday morning in New York. Investors will be watching closely for any updates to the 2026 outlook.

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