Lynas Rare Earths stock climbs on Australia’s critical minerals reserve focus; what to watch next week
12 January 2026
1 min read

Lynas Rare Earths stock climbs on Australia’s critical minerals reserve focus; what to watch next week

Sydney, Jan 12, 2026, 17:15 AEDT — The market has closed.

  • Lynas closed higher, buoyed by a surge in rare-earth stocks following policy news
  • Australia has prioritized rare earths in the initial rollout of its A$1.2 billion critical minerals reserve, setting the stage before the upcoming G7 discussions
  • Lynas has announced it will release its December-quarter results and hold a briefing on Jan. 21

Lynas Rare Earths Ltd shares ended Monday up 4.82% at A$14.78, having fluctuated between A$14.31 and A$15.01 during the session. Trading volume hit roughly 8.02 million shares, according to data from Investing.com.

The buying surge occurs as U.S. officials urge allies to speed up securing supply chains for critical minerals before the G7 finance ministers meet in Washington. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned that countries remain vulnerable due to China’s dominance in processing and refining.

Australia announced it will focus on antimony, gallium, and rare earth elements in a A$1.2 billion strategic reserve. The goal is to lock in rights to locally mined minerals and resell them to buyers. The reserve is designed to ease supply disruptions, though officials caution it won’t be up and running until the end of 2026.

Other stocks tied to rare earths also moved up. Arafura Rare Earths jumped roughly 5%, with Hastings Technology Metals and Iluka Resources showing gains as well, according to Market Index data.

The mechanics are crucial. Forward contracts fix a price for future delivery, whereas contracts for difference serve as a cushion — they settle the difference between the agreed price and the market price at delivery, limiting losses if spot prices fall.

Supply worries aren’t just hitting Canberra and Washington. Japan’s research vessel Chikyu, equipped for drilling, has departed to explore rare-earth-rich seabed mud near Minamitori Island. This move comes as buyers seek alternatives to China’s tightening grip on supplies.

Lynas operates its Mt Weld mine in Western Australia and processes rare earth materials in Malaysia. These are key components for permanent magnets in electric motors and wind turbines. “Market demand is strong, and we have a great deal of flexibility in choosing to whom we sell and at what price,” CEO Amanda Lacaze said during the October quarterly call. Reuters

Policy support often lags before appearing in signed contracts, leaving Lynas vulnerable to rare-earth price fluctuations and plant reliability issues. In November, the company flagged that power outages at its Kalgoorlie plant might reduce output for as long as a month.

Traders are focused on any clear outcomes from the G7 meeting regarding price-support tools or coordinated stockpiles. They’re also looking for indications that Australia can transform its reserve framework into bankable offtake agreements, instead of it ending up as just another policy paper.

Lynas’ December-quarter results are due Jan. 21, alongside an analyst and shareholder briefing.

Shan Ahmed Khan is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic trends. A graduate of the Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS), he previously worked in investment research and market analysis. His coverage helps readers understand the key developments influencing global financial markets and emerging industries.

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Stocks to Buy Today

Five stocks stand out, supported by recent earnings or more attractive entry points. Today's selection highlights companies raising their outlooks and reporting firm orders, rather than focusing on heavily traded chipmakers.

Today’s market stance Selective • earnings-led
#1 • HIGHEST CONVICTION 24% weight

Xylem

NYSE: XYL
STRONG BUY
Model score 92 / 100
★★★★★

A 12-cent earnings beat and raised 2026 profit outlook highlight the results, while quarterly revenue matched expectations. The water treatment segment offers AI infrastructure exposure without increasing semiconductor holdings.

Why today

Earnings per share surpassed expectations; the company raised its guidance, citing increased water demand from data centers.

Next catalyst

Order conversions are being monitored to confirm that the new margin level is sustainable.

Main risk: Annual revenue guidance moved to about $9.2bn, and project timing can shift.
#2 • BEST CONTRARIAN 22% weight

Alphabet

NASDAQ: GOOGL
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Model score 89 / 100
★★★★½

Google Cloud's revenue surged 82%, with its operating margin hitting 35.6%. However, shares declined as capital expenditures increased. The reset offers a better entry point, but exposure remains limited since quarterly free cash flow moved into negative territory.

Why today

Cloud segment outperformed expectations; company reset guidance following earnings; search operations continue to drive strong cash flow.

Next catalyst

Cloud backlog is being converted more efficiently, leading to improved alignment between expenditures and cash flow.

Main risk: 2026 capex is now $195bn to $205bn, while depreciation is rising.
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Unilever

LON: ULVR • NYSE: UL
BUY ON PULLBACKS
Model score 87 / 100
★★★★☆

Underlying sales increased by 5.8%, driven by a 5.5% rise in volume—the company's strongest volume growth in over ten years. Guidance has been raised, but after today's significant share price jump, a gradual approach to buying may be more prudent.

Why today

Strong volumes drive results; outlook raised; steady cash flow in low-beta environment

Next catalyst

Second-half pricing trends and updates on the Foods transaction.

Main risk: Commodity inflation, currency moves and a large one-day gap.
#4 • EARNINGS MOMENTUM 18% weight

Sherwin-Williams

NYSE: SHW
ACCUMULATE
Model score 84 / 100
★★★★☆

Sales and adjusted earnings surpassed expectations, prompting management to raise its full-year guidance. The company is benefiting from higher prices and increased market share, but the stock's rapid three-day rally suggests investors may want to hold off on buying at the open.

Why today

The company beat expectations, raised its outlook, demonstrated strong pricing power, and continued to gain market share.

Next catalyst

The company is targeting adjusted EPS between $11.80 and $12.20.

Main risk: Weak housing demand, raw-material inflation and a richer entry.
#5 • TACTICAL UPSIDE 16% weight

PayPal

NASDAQ: PYPL
TACTICAL BUY
Model score 81 / 100
★★★★☆

Adjusted earnings surpassed expectations, prompting an increase in full-year profit guidance. The reported $60.50 per share approach offers added flexibility, though its smaller weighting signals lower margins and uncertainty regarding a potential deal.

Why today

Earnings surpass forecasts; guidance raised; strategic options under review.

Next catalyst

Focus is on the $400 million cost program, margin trends, and any official response to the deal.

Main risk: Operating margin fell to 17.4%, and no sale is assured.
Portfolio structure
Water & infrastructure 24%
Technology & cloud 22%
Consumer staples 20%
Coatings & materials 18%
Payments 16%
Build positions in two or three tranches.

Avoid buying a stock that's trading more than 5% above its previous close. Revisit the list after Wednesday's Fed decision and this week's mega-cap earnings.

Strong companies, weaker entries today
Coca-Cola NYSE: KO
WAIT FOR PULLBACK

Strong quarter with improved guidance, but a nearly 6% rally limits short-term upside.

Visa NYSE: V
WAIT FOR RESULTS

Visa is set to report earnings after the close. The portfolio won’t be taking on new event risk ahead of the results.

Nvidia NASDAQ: NVDA
WATCH

While long-term demand is solid, questions persist around chip momentum and AI financing.

Portfolio heat 6.4 / 10

Moderate. Recent earnings provide solid support, though event risk is still elevated.

Market risk check

The Nasdaq faces continued pressure as chip stocks endure a steep correction. With the Federal Reserve set to announce its decision on Wednesday, investors should brace for increased intraday volatility.

TS2 DAILY MODEL PORTFOLIO 100% allocated

This is an editorial model portfolio and does not constitute personalized investment advice. The scores reflect how today's five holdings compare to the current opportunity set, rather than predicting future returns.

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