London, January 16, 2026, 09:35 GMT — Regular session
- Tesco shares fell in early London trading on Friday.
- A new buyback filing pushed capital returns back into the spotlight.
- Investors are focused on Tesco’s upcoming earnings report and the competitive landscape in UK groceries.
Tesco PLC shares dipped 0.9% to 424.7 pence by 0914 GMT on Friday. 1
The move came after Tesco closed 1.71% higher at 428.50 pence on Thursday. Traders are still weighing how much backing the buyback offers when the market loses momentum. 2
Tesco repurchased 476,674 shares on Jan. 14 at an average price of 419.57 pence each, with plans to cancel them, as part of its £1.45 billion share buyback scheme. This move reduces the total number of shares outstanding, which can boost earnings per share. 3
Repurchases have turned into a near-daily routine, signaling management’s strong faith in cash flow. Investors, however, remain watchful of pricing trends in UK food retail.
Competitive pressure continues to be the key driver. Private equity-backed Asda faced a bond and loan sell-off following weaker sales in December and worries over its substantial debt. This scenario might sustain aggressive pricing across the sector. 4
Tesco chief executive Ken Murphy flagged uneven demand, saying earlier this month, “There’s no doubt that consumer sentiment is mixed.” 5
For Tesco shareholders, this mix is crucial. Value-focused shopping usually climbs when consumers pull back, yet supermarkets absorb the cost through slimmer margins if competitors push for volume.
Yet, if discounting intensifies beyond expectations, trouble could arise. Should grocers ramp up promotions, Tesco faces a tough call: safeguard volumes or shield profit. That balancing act could surface swiftly in its guidance.
Investors will keep a close eye on buyback activity in the short term, along with any new hints about how aggressively rivals plan to adjust prices following Christmas, particularly as the spring budget season approaches.
Tesco’s next key event is its Preliminary Results for 2025/26, set for April 16. The company will then release a Q1 trading update on June 18, as per its financial calendar. 6
