New York, Jan 21, 2026, 12:54 PM ET — Regular session
Shares of Capital One Financial Corp climbed Wednesday, buoyed by a pause in the recent sell-off across U.S. equities. The stock gained roughly 1.3%, reaching $231.65 around midday.
The rebound reflects investors factoring in policy risks affecting consumer lenders. Capital One, with its strong credit card focus, has seen enough headline noise to stir the sector.
Earnings reports are the immediate hurdle, with traders subtly adjusting their bets. Investors are looking for clear signals on credit conditions—no more unexpected moves from Washington.
Capital One dropped 4.36% to $228.72 on Tuesday, underperforming its financial sector peers. JPMorgan Chase declined 3.11%, Bank of America slipped 1.64%, and Visa was down 0.76%, according to MarketWatch data. 1
The broader market offered little support. Wall Street logged its sharpest single-day decline in three months after President Donald Trump threatened new tariffs linked to his Greenland purchase plan; the S&P 500 slid 2.06%, while the Dow dropped 1.76%. Jamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group, said he wasn’t “at the point yet” to declare this the start of an equity correction. 2
Credit-card pricing is heating up. At Davos, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon warned that a proposed cap on card APRs — annual percentage rates — “would remove credit from 80% of Americans.” Meanwhile, Trump has called on Congress to impose a 10% cap on credit card interest rates for one year. Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser agreed the president’s focus on affordability is valid but argued that “capping rates would not be good for the U.S. economy,” and she doubts the measure will gain bipartisan support. 3
Risk appetite has sparked back to life—U.S. stocks climbed on Wednesday following Trump’s Davos remarks, where he dismissed any plans to use force for Greenland. A Federated Hermes portfolio manager noted the market seemed to be “bouncing back” off that diplomatic cue. 4
Capital One plans to report its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings after markets close on Thursday, targeting a release time of around 4:05 p.m. ET. The company will then hold a conference call at 5:00 p.m. ET. 5
Investors are zeroing in on the fundamentals: spending, delinquencies, charge-offs, and funding costs. A shift in the tone about consumer resilience could prove just as crucial as the headline profit figure.
This week hasn’t played out as a straightforward, fundamentals-driven trade. Tariff threats can flare up again just as fast as they died down, and even a stalled push for rate caps could squeeze valuations on card-heavy lenders.
Thursday’s earnings release and call will be the next catalyst. Investors will zero in on Capital One’s take on 2026 credit costs to gauge where COF heads next.
