New York, Jan 21, 2026, 21:15 EST — Market closed.
- Capital One shares rose 1.0% Wednesday, closing at $231.01.
- Traders are now focused on the lender’s fourth-quarter results, set to drop after Thursday’s close.
- Talk of a possible credit-card interest rate cap continues to weigh on bank and card stocks.
Shares of Capital One Financial Corporation climbed 1% to $231.01 on Wednesday, recovering some losses from the previous day ahead of the company’s earnings release scheduled for Thursday.
The immediate focus for the stock isn’t on daily fluctuations but on management’s comments amid Washington’s backdrop. President Donald Trump announced plans to push Congress to limit credit card interest rates to 10% for a year. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon fired back at Davos, saying the proposal “would remove credit from 80% of Americans.” 1
Bank shares dipped Tuesday as investors grappled with whether the White House’s push might lead to rules without new legislation, leaving uncertainty hanging over the sector. “For now, it’s an overhang,” said Brian Jacobsen, chief economic strategist at Annex Wealth Management, in a Reuters report. The Consumer Bankers Association warned a rate cap would “dry up access to credit.” 2
HSBC has lowered its price target for Capital One to $226 from $234, maintaining a “hold” rating, MarketBeat reported, citing MarketScreener. Price targets reflect where analysts expect a stock to trade, usually within the next 12 months. 3
Not all are pulling back. On Jan. 20, Morgan Stanley raised its target to $300 from $280 and kept an “overweight” rating, Benzinga’s recent calls show. 4
Capital One is gearing up to report its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings around 4:05 p.m. ET on Thursday, with a conference call scheduled for 5 p.m. ET, according to a Business Wire release. 5
Investors will focus on credit quality—a straightforward term covering delinquencies and charge-offs—and watch for any executive signals about shifts in consumer spending or funding costs. How the bank says it might react if lawmakers push for a rate cap could prove as important as the actual figures.
Integration is part of the picture as well. Discover merged into Capital One in May 2025, according to the lender’s customer help site, and investors remain focused on how costs and revenues will play out as the merged entity takes shape. 6
But the situation works both ways. A larger-than-anticipated increase in reserves for future credit losses, or cautious remarks on borrowers, can easily overshadow an earnings beat — and policy announcements can still hit at the worst possible time.
For COF, traders face Thursday with a straightforward agenda: earnings after the close, the 5 p.m. conference call, and watching closely for any shift in the rate-cap debate from chatter to concrete action.
