New York, January 23, 2026, 21:01 (EST) — Market closed.
- SMCI dropped 2.3% on Friday, closing at $31.70 on volume that topped the average.
- Supermicro will report fiscal Q2 results on Feb. 3, with investors watching closely for updates on margins and shipment timing.
- This week’s Fed events, combined with a packed tech earnings slate, might send AI hardware stocks on a rollercoaster.
Shares of Super Micro Computer (SMCI) dropped 2.3% on Friday, closing at $31.70 and ending a two-day rally. Trading volume surged above recent norms. Despite the dip, the stock remains roughly 52% below its 52-week peak. 1
Friday’s sell-off puts the AI server maker on edge ahead of a major earnings report next week, with the market jittery over anything linked to data centers. Traders continue to reward flawless execution and swiftly punish any missteps.
Supermicro announced it will hold its fiscal second-quarter 2026 earnings call on Tuesday, Feb. 3, at 5:00 p.m. ET, streaming live on its investor relations site. This event now stands out as the key near-term trigger for the stock. 2
The backdrop is noisy. Intel’s sharp drop after a disappointing outlook shook sentiment late in the week, underscoring a broader tech theme: investors demand clear evidence that heavy AI investments are translating into revenue. “You have to actually put up the revenue growth to justify the run-up in stocks,” said Julian McManus, a portfolio manager at Janus Henderson. 3
Supermicro builds servers and rack systems designed to support high-end chips for AI tasks. In November, the company projected second-quarter revenue between $10 billion and $11 billion, following a miss in first-quarter targets attributed to delivery delays. 4
Bank of America maintained its Underperform rating and $34 price target this week, noting that while demand may remain steady, profitability is expected to lag. The bank expects gross margin—the portion of sales left after costs of building systems—to hover around 6.5% in the December quarter. It also flagged the possibility of free cash flow staying negative for years due to rising working-capital needs. Supermicro faces competition from bigger players like Dell Technologies and Hewlett Packard Enterprise, where aggressive bidding can put pressure on pricing for large contracts. 5
Interest rates remain a key driver for smaller, volatile tech stocks. The Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy meeting on Jan. 27-28 is shifting focus back to rate forecasts for the week ahead. 6
That said, the risks go both ways. Falling short on revenue, another delay in shipments, or weaker margins could easily weigh on the stock. This is particularly true given the recent cautious tone around pricing and costs.
SMCI enters Monday’s reopening with investors cautious, eyeing whether buyers jump in after Friday’s dip or hold back. Short-term flows could amplify any moves.
Feb. 3 is the next key date, as Supermicro will report earnings and field questions. Traders want to hear if there’s any shift in revenue trends, margin forecasts, or cash flow outlooks.
