BHP stock price jumps toward a fresh high, but the next week hinges on Chile and China

BHP stock price jumps toward a fresh high, but the next week hinges on Chile and China

NEW YORK, Jan 25, 2026, 01:08 EST — Market closed

  • BHP’s shares listed in the U.S. rose 3.9% on Friday, closing at $67.52.
  • Investors are closely monitoring a fresh blockade near BHP’s Escondida copper mine in Chile, raising concerns over potential supply interruptions.
  • BHP is rerouting certain iron ore shipments away from China amid an ongoing sales ban on one of its products.

BHP Group’s U.S.-listed shares closed Friday up 3.9% at $67.52, hovering near their 52-week high. With markets closed Sunday, a packed news slate awaits Monday’s open. (Investing)

Traders are focused less on any one metal and more on BHP’s ability to keep shipments flowing amid tightening logistics in Chile. The bigger question: can the company hold onto pricing power as a standoff with China redirects some iron ore to alternative routes?

This matters because BHP’s earnings hinge on volume and realized prices, not fancy presentations. Any disruption to shipments, bigger discounts, or hesitant buyers hits margins and cash flow immediately.

In Chile, the blockade of the access road to BHP’s Escondida and Antofagasta Minerals’ Zaldivar mines picked back up on Saturday following police efforts to clear protests late Friday, industry sources reported. The disruption has stalled the movement of supplies and staff between these mines and Antofagasta city in the north. (Reuters)

BHP said on Friday that roadblocks were disrupting vehicle traffic and shift changes at Escondida. “Our company has been affected for four days by a third-party conflict,” Pablo Pisani, vice president of corporate affairs and communications for Escondida-BHP, said in a statement, calling on authorities and all involved parties to find a solution. (Reuters)

BHP has dispatched shipments of its Jimblebar Blend Fines (JMBF)—a medium-grade iron ore product made up of smaller particles—to Malaysia and Vietnam, two traders told Reuters. This follows a move by China’s state iron ore buyer to block Chinese mills and traders from purchasing the ore. The cargoes totaled around 95,000 metric tons and 75,000 metric tons, the sources said. Meanwhile, JMBF stocks at major Chinese ports surged 360% to 8.1 million tons as of Jan. 13. Traders also noted deeper discounts on some BHP medium-grade ores, including Newman fines, which are priced at $4.73 a ton for February shipments, compared to $2.48 for January, based on benchmark indices from Argus and Mysteel. (Reuters)

BHP’s jump on Friday wasn’t a solo act. Rio Tinto’s U.S.-listed shares climbed roughly 3.6%, Vale edged up around 2.8%, and Freeport-McMoRan gained about 2.6% in the previous session. It’s clear the major miners have been moving together, despite individual company risks bubbling up.

The coming sessions will reveal if those risks begin to price in. If the Chile roadblock spreads or disrupts routine shift swaps and deliveries, sentiment could sour fast—well before any clear drop in output shows up.

There’s a clearer downside scenario as well: China might maintain tight controls on restricted products, pushing prices lower and causing more ore to pile up at ports. At the same time, the risk of disruption on the copper side keeps a cloud over the stock.

BHP’s half-year earnings are due Feb. 17. Investors will watch closely for new details on iron ore prices, sales channels, and the status of operations at major sites. (Bhp)

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