Grab (GRAB) stock near $4.6 as GoTo takeover talks hit a snag — what to watch next week

Grab (GRAB) stock near $4.6 as GoTo takeover talks hit a snag — what to watch next week

NEW YORK, Jan 25, 2026, 05:42 ET — Market closed

Grab Holdings shares closed Friday 0.7% higher at $4.58, following reports that its planned acquisition of Indonesian rival GoTo hit fresh opposition from a state-linked shareholder. U.S. markets remain closed for the weekend and will reopen Monday. 1

This hurdle is significant since any agreement would reshape Southeast Asia’s ride-hailing and food delivery sectors, known for razor-thin margins and cautious regulators. Traders swiftly factored in potential gains from eased price competition alongside the threat of government intervention. 2

The report refocused attention on Indonesia, where draft regulations for the ride-hailing industry may alter how much platforms can charge drivers and what insurance requirements they face. If the financials change, the rationale for investing in scale could unravel. 3

Talks have hit a wall over Telkomsel’s roughly 2% stake in GoTo. The carrier is reportedly reluctant to sell near current valuations, having invested at much higher levels and concerned about potential losses tied to state capital. Telkomsel, majority-owned by state-controlled Telkom Indonesia, put in $300 million back in 2021 and added $150 million in convertible bonds the year before, according to the report. 4

Sources close to the situation told the publication that a different arrangement to acquire Telkomsel is under discussion, but no decision has been reached. Grab and GoTo both declined to comment. A Telkomsel spokesperson said the company does not respond to market speculation, rumours, or ongoing third-party talks. 3

GoTo’s market cap is roughly $4.2 billion, compared to about $18.5 billion for New York-listed Grab, the report noted — a disparity that clarifies why smaller stakes can carry outsized influence. 3

Antitrust issues remain a major hurdle. The report highlighted worries in Indonesia over fares, employment, and control of a national tech champion, adding that President Prabowo Subianto is facing pressure following driver protests. 3

Grab shares saw swings this week, climbing in the last two sessions after earlier declines. Friday’s volume hit roughly 62 million shares. The stock closed at $4.55 on Thursday and ticked up slightly to $4.58 on Friday, per historical data. 5

Some investors will shrug off the latest headlines as just noise — after all, these talks have been flickering on and off for years. Yet event risk often creeps up quietly. Just one comment from a regulator or a hint that Telkomsel is standing firm could shift expectations in a flash.

The downside is straightforward: Telkomsel stands firm, valuation gaps grow, or Indonesian regulators clamp down on commissions, making a merged setup less appealing. Even with a deal in place, regulators might impose conditions that undercut the pricing relief investors expect.

Traders will be watching closely next week for any official moves from Grab or GoTo, as well as updates on Indonesia’s ride-hailing decree. On Feb. 11, after the U.S. market closes, Grab is set to release its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results. A management call will follow at 7:00 p.m. ET that same day. 6

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